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Feeder Cattle Sep '21 (GFU21)

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Feeder Cattle Futures Market News and Commentary

Cattle Rally Triple Digits

Following Friday’s USDA reports, cattle futures climbed triple digits to close near the highs. October fats led the way with a $2.05 gain. Feeder cattle also gained triple digits, closing the session with $1.60 to $2.30 gains. The 7/22 CME Feeder Cattle Index was $152.03, up another 64 cents.

The reasoning for the rally was behind the Friday reports. NASS reported 11.29m head of cattle in 1,000+ capacity lots on July 1. That was a 1.29% drop from July 2020. Getting there, NASS saw 2.022m of June’s 11.699 m head marketed, against 1.67m placements. The bi-annual inventory count showed the beef cow herd was 650k head lighter than 2020 with 100k fewer replacement heifers – at 31.4m head and 4.3m head respectively as of 7/1. 

Wholesale Boxed Beef prices were higher on Monday morning, widening the spread back to $17.30. Choice boxes were up by 98 cents to $267.61, with Choice ribs at $414.96. Select boxes were 37 cents higher, with ribs to $351.86 cwt. Last week’s USDA estimat... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Feeder Cattle
Contract Size
50,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.00025 per pound ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:30a.m. - 1:05p.m. (Settles 1:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$500
Margin/Maintenance
$3,190/2,900
First Notice Date
09/30/21 (65 days)
Expiration Date
09/30/21 (65 days)

Seasonal Chart

Feeder Cattle Sep '21
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Sep Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jul 20, 2021

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
13,940 (-1,516)
8,576 (-1,921)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
15,060 (-271)
10,720 (+1,194)
Producers - Long / Short
7,059 (-674)
6,887 (-1,607)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
5,942 (-423)
750 (+105)
Managed Money - Long / Short
11,961 (+181)
6,588 (+1,067)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
3,099 (-452)
4,132 (+127)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
155.100 +6.27%
on 07/01/21
165.525 -0.42%
on 07/26/21
+3.575 (+2.22%)
since 06/25/21
3-Month
143.750 +14.66%
on 05/06/21
165.525 -0.42%
on 07/26/21
+12.550 (+8.24%)
since 04/26/21

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Shootin' the Bull

Traders pushed futures a dollar plus higher on the front end.  A trade above $130.00 October will lead me to recommend wrapping up any marketing's yet to be made. 

Cattle Rally Triple Digits

Following Friday’s USDA reports, cattle futures climbed triple digits to close near the highs. October fats led the way with a $2.05 gain. Feeder cattle also gained triple digits, closing the session...

LEQ21 : 123.450s (+1.60%)
LEZ21 : 133.975s (+1.27%)
GFQ21 : 162.200s (+1.33%)
GFU21 : 164.825s (+1.42%)
Lean Hogs Close Monday Mostly Higher

December hog futures ended the Monday session with a nickel loss, while the rest of the complex was green by 2 to 47 cents. USDA’s National Average Base hog price for Monday morning was $108 flat, with...

HEQ21 : 107.400s (+0.05%)
HEZ21 : 85.525s (-0.06%)
KMQ21 : 117.425s (+0.21%)
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Hogs Mixed on Monday

Lean hog futures are mixed at midday, with nearby August up a dime and other contracts slightly lower. USDA’s National Average Base hog price for Monday morning was $108 flat, with no comparison. Friday...

HEQ21 : 107.400s (+0.05%)
HEZ21 : 85.525s (-0.06%)
KMQ21 : 117.425s (+0.21%)
Cattle Shoot Higher on Bull Friendly USDA Reports

Live cattle futures are up $1.55 to 1.70 in the nearby contracts on Monday in follow through buying from Friday’s 2:00 pm CDT reports. Feeder cattle are also joining the crowd , with $2.10-2.30 gains...

LEQ21 : 123.450s (+1.60%)
LEZ21 : 133.975s (+1.27%)
GFQ21 : 162.200s (+1.33%)
GFU21 : 164.825s (+1.42%)
Cattle To React to Modestly Bullish USDA Numbers

Pre report positioning left futures 42 to 70 cents in the black for the weekend. Cash cattle trade continued to have two personalities. Northern sales have remained above the South’s market, at aprx....

LEQ21 : 123.450s (+1.60%)
LEZ21 : 133.975s (+1.27%)
GFQ21 : 162.200s (+1.33%)
GFU21 : 164.825s (+1.42%)
Hogs Mixed as Hams Lead Pork Values Higher

Lean hog futures were mixed going into the weekend. The nearbys were 5 to 90 cents stronger at the close, while deferred contracts fell 17 to 25 cents on Friday. USDA’s National Average Base hog price...

HEQ21 : 107.400s (+0.05%)
HEZ21 : 85.525s (-0.06%)
KMQ21 : 117.425s (+0.21%)

Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Sell Signal with a Weak Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 168.525
2nd Resistance Point 167.025
1st Resistance Point 165.925
Last Price 164.825s
1st Support Level 163.325
2nd Support Level 161.825
3rd Support Level 160.725

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52-Week High 165.525
Last Price 164.825s
Fibonacci 61.8% 154.180
Fibonacci 50% 150.675
Fibonacci 38.2% 147.170
52-Week Low 135.825

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