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Gold Jun '19 (GCM19)

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Gold Futures Market News and Commentary

Precious Metals Close Higher on Weak Stocks and a Weak Dollar

Jun Comex gold (GCM19) on Wednesday closed up +1.0 (+0.08%) and July silver closed up +0.039 (+0.27%). A weaker dollar Wednesday boosted precious metals prices as did a slide in stocks, which fueled safe-haven demand for precious metals. Stock prices retreated and precious metals rose Wednesday on fears of escalation of the U.S./China trade and tech war after a report said the U.S. was considering blacklisting Chinese video-surveillance firms. Silver prices also found support Wednesday on stronger-than-expected Japanese economic data after Japan Mar core machine orders unexpectedly rose +3.8% m/m, the biggest increase in 5 months and a positive factor for industrial metals demand. Gold also received a lift Wednesday on dovish comments from St. Louis Fed President Bullard (FOMC voter) who said he "wouldn't rule out" a Fed rate cut later this year. In addition, the higher risk of a no-deal Brexit is a supportive factor for gold as a safe-haven after UK Prime Minister May's revised Brexit plan on Tuesday was thoroughly panned by most MPs. The ongoing US/Chinese trade and tech conflict has boosted fund buying of gold as long gold positions in ETFs rose to a 2-week high Tuesday. However, concern the trade conflict will reduce global growth and demand for industrial metals has sparked fund liquidation of silver as long silver positions in ETFs fell to a 3-week low Tuesday. Gold prices fell back from their best levels on reduced inflation expectations that curb demand for gold as an inflation hedge after the 10-year T-note breakeven inflation rate on Wednesday fell to a 3-1/2 month low of 1.802%.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Gold 100-oz
Contract Size
100 fine troy ounces
Tick Size
0.10 (10 cents) per troy ounce ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 7:20a.m. - 12:30p.m.) (Settles 12:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
COMEX
Point Value
$100
Margin/Maintenance
$3,740/3,400
First Notice Date
05/31/19 (8 days)
Expiration Date
06/26/19 (34 days)

Seasonal Chart

Gold Jun '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jun Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of May 14, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
159,444 (+17,366)
296,627 (+58,190)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
226,361 (+40,560)
101,825 (-8,565)
Producers - Long / Short
37,635 (+18,353)
102,517 (+35,283)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
93,005 (-4,237)
165,306 (+19,657)
Managed Money - Long / Short
138,467 (+35,492)
85,921 (-7,507)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
87,894 (+5,068)
15,904 (-1,058)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1,267.3 +0.65%
on 05/02/19
1,304.2 -2.20%
on 05/14/19
+2.3 (+0.18%)
since 04/23/19
3-Month
1,267.3 +0.65%
on 05/02/19
1,341.4 -4.91%
on 02/25/19
-63.9 (-4.77%)
since 02/22/19
52-Week
1,184.8 +7.66%
on 08/16/18
1,356.0 -5.94%
on 02/20/19
-51.7 (-3.90%)
since 05/23/18

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 88% Sell with a Average short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Average. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is approaching oversold territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 1,279.5
1st Resistance Point 1,276.9
Last Price 1,275.3
1st Support Level 1,271.8
2nd Support Level 1,269.3

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52-Week High 1,356.0
Fibonacci 61.8% 1,290.6
Last Price 1,275.3
Fibonacci 50% 1,270.4
Fibonacci 38.2% 1,250.2
52-Week Low 1,184.8

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InsideFutures Commentary

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