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Crude Oil WTI Apr '19 (CLJ19)

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Crude Oil WTI Futures Market News and Commentary

Energy Complex Falls on Escalation on U.S./China Trade Tensions

Oct WTI crude oil (CLV19) this morning is down -0.73 (-1.32%), Oct Brent crude oil (CBV19) is down by -0.21 (-0.35%), and Oct RBOB gasoline (RBV19) is down by -0.0068 (-0.44%). The energy complex is moving lower today with Oct WTI crude at a 2-week low and Oct RBOB gasoline at a 1-week low as escalation of U.S./China trade tensions undercuts the prospects for economic growth and energy demand. Trade tensions intensified today after China's Ministry of Commerce said it will impose additional tariffs on $75 billion of U.S. goods in retaliation for U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods with some of the tariffs starting Sep 1 and the rest on Dec 15. Escalation of trade tensions sent the yuan down to a new 11-1/4 year low today of 7.1017 yuan/USD. A rally in the dollar index to a 3-week high today also weighed on energy prices as did U.S. economic data that showed Jul new home sales unexpectedly fell -12.8% to 635,000, weaker than expectations of +0.2% to 647,000. Crude prices recovered from their worst levels today after Fed Chair Powell said the Fed "will act as appropriate to sustain the expansion," which signals he may favor additional rate cuts to boost economic growth that would be positive for energy demand. Wednesday’s EIA data showed that U.S. crude oil inventories as of Aug 16 were +3.4% above the seasonal 5-year average, gasoline inventories were +4.2% above the 5-year average, and distillate inventories were -1.7% below the 5-year average. U.S. crude production was unchanged at 12.3 million bpd in the week of Aug 16, which was just slightly below May's record high of 12.4 million bpd.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Crude Oil West Texas Intermediate
Contract Size
1,000 U.S. barrels (42,000 gallons)
Tick Size
1 cent per barrel ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:00a.m. - 1:30p.m.) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$1,000
Margin/Maintenance
$4,015/3,650
First Notice Date
03/22/19
Expiration Date
03/20/19 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Crude Oil WTI Apr '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Apr Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Aug 13, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
715,157 (-45,637)
1,086,691 (-48,192)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
547,040 (+6,116)
164,896 (-387)
Producers - Long / Short
403,077 (-40,596)
382,808 (-27,413)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
138,885 (+5,347)
530,688 (-10,391)
Managed Money - Long / Short
277,969 (+13,033)
67,580 (-18,707)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
269,071 (-6,917)
97,316 (+18,320)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
54.52 +9.74%
on 03/08/19
60.12 -0.48%
on 03/20/19
+2.67 (+4.67%)
since 02/20/19
3-Month
43.00 +39.14%
on 12/24/18
60.12 -0.48%
on 03/20/19
+13.31 (+28.61%)
since 12/20/18
52-Week
43.00 +39.14%
on 12/24/18
76.01 -21.29%
on 10/03/18
+1.25 (+2.13%)
since 03/20/18

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 100% Buy and ranks in the Top 1% of all short term signal directions.

Longer term, the trend strength is Good. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is in highly overbought territory. Beware of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 61.18
1st Resistance Point 60.50
Last Price 59.83s
1st Support Level 58.77
2nd Support Level 57.72

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52-Week High 76.01
Fibonacci 61.8% 63.40
Last Price 59.83s
Fibonacci 50% 59.51
Fibonacci 38.2% 55.61
52-Week Low 43.00

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InsideFutures Commentary

InsideFutures is a twice weekly newsletter that features a selection of the latest and best commodities commentary appearing on Barchart.com. Delivered every Wednesday and Friday morning to your inbox.

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