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Natural Gas Nov '11 (NGX11)

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Natural Gas Futures Market News and Commentary

Forecasts for Cooler US Temps Knock Nat-Gas Prices Lower

July Nymex natural gas (NGN24) on Friday closed down by -0.078 (-2.64%).  

July nat-gas prices Friday posted moderate losses.  Updated weather forecasts that call for cooler US temperatures that will curb air-conditioning usage weighed on nat-ga prices Friday.  The Commodity Weather Group said Friday that half of the eastern region of the US faces cooler temperatures from June 19-23.  

The outlook for hot summer temperatures in the US is a bullish factor for nat-gas prices.  Last Tuesday, the National Weather Service (NWS) said that "the vast majority of the lower 48 US states could see above-average temperatures for the next three months, and for a good portion of states, a hotter-than-normal summer is the most likely scenario."

Lower-48 state dry gas production Friday was 99.6 bcf/day (unchanged y/y), according to BNEF.  Lower-48 state gas demand Friday was 71.6 bcf/day (+3.4% y/y), according to BNEF.  LNG net flows to US LNG export terminals Friday were 12.5 bcf... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Natural Gas
Contract Size
10,000 MMBtu (million British thermal units)
Tick Size
0.001 per MMBtu ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:00a.m. - 1:30p.m.) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$10,000
Margin/Maintenance
$3,245/2,950
First Notice Date
10/28/11
Expiration Date
10/27/11 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Natural Gas Nov '11
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Nov Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jun 11, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
536,925 (-12,423)
446,174 (-17,685)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
271,285 (+6,302)
374,043 (+9,395)
Producers - Long / Short
198,969 (-363)
283,187 (-13,738)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
200,283 (-5,409)
25,314 (+2,704)
Managed Money - Long / Short
218,173 (+10,459)
175,783 (-15,641)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
53,112 (-4,157)
198,260 (+25,036)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
3.447 +2.23%
on 10/13/11
3.881 -9.20%
on 09/28/11
-0.351 (-9.06%)
since 09/27/11
3-Month
3.447 +2.23%
on 10/13/11
4.460 -20.99%
on 07/28/11
-0.922 (-20.74%)
since 07/27/11
52-Week
3.447 +2.23%
on 10/13/11
5.106 -30.98%
on 06/09/11
-1.058 (-23.09%)
since 10/27/10

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point N/A
2nd Resistance Point 3.645
1st Resistance Point 3.584
Last Price 3.524s
1st Support Level 3.479
2nd Support Level 3.435
3rd Support Level N/A

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52-Week High 5.106
Fibonacci 61.8% 4.472
Fibonacci 50% 4.276
Fibonacci 38.2% 4.081
Last Price 3.524s
52-Week Low 3.447

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