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Lean Hogs Feb '23 (HEG23)

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Lean Hogs Futures Market News and Commentary

Hogs Firm Up on Friday

Lean hog futures ended the last trade day of the week with 35 to 52 cent gains. October was the outlier with a 22 cent pullback by the close. For the week, October hogs were down by a net 3.67% and December by a net 7.9%. The National Average Afternoon Base Hog price was $85.08 in the PM report after a $3.27 drop. The CME Lean Hog Index for 9/28 was 46 cents weaker to $95.14.  

Weekly CFTC data had managed money lean hog traders 23,535 contracts less net long through the week that ended 9/27. That came via 8.5k longs closed and 15k new spec shorts added during the week, and left the group just 41,129 contracts net long – a 12wk low. 

NASS counted a 73.8m head hog inventory on Sep 1. Market hogs were shown as 67.648m head. The breeding herd was 6.152m head. The June August pig crop was 33.581m head – on 11.13 pigs per litter. All were smaller than the average trade guesses going into the H&P report. 

Pork cutout futures went into the weekend with 40 to 50 cent gains... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Lean Hogs
Contract Size
40,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.00025 per pound ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:30a.m. - 1:05p.m. (Settles 1:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$400
Margin/Maintenance
$1,925/1,750
First Notice Date
02/14/23 (135 days)
Expiration Date
02/14/23 (135 days)

Seasonal Chart

Lean Hogs Feb '23
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Feb Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Sep 27, 2022

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
71,741 (+356)
103,334 (-9,616)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
83,521 (-5,657)
43,890 (+4,827)
Producers - Long / Short
20,132 (+1,865)
97,018 (-9,159)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
46,670 (-1,073)
1,377 (-21)
Managed Money - Long / Short
70,110 (-8,914)
31,006 (+15,322)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
13,411 (+3,257)
12,884 (-10,495)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
78.975 +0.57%
on 09/29/22
92.575 -14.20%
on 09/20/22
-9.200 (-10.38%)
since 08/30/22
3-Month
78.975 +0.57%
on 09/29/22
93.300 -14.87%
on 08/16/22
-8.350 (-9.51%)
since 06/30/22
52-Week
72.425 +9.67%
on 10/21/21
93.325 -14.89%
on 04/20/22
+3.375 (+4.44%)
since 09/30/21

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Most Recent Stories

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Annexure, global liquidity and tighter grain stocks

Currency, Commodity, Equity volatility

Shootin' the Bull

In my opinion, a great deal has taken place this week.  Manipulation is running rampant in 2 super power countries and 1 not as super power.  The US continues to manipulate rates in an attempt to quell...

Hogs Firm Up on Friday

Lean hog futures ended the last trade day of the week with 35 to 52 cent gains. October was the outlier with a 22 cent pullback by the close. For the week, October hogs were down by a net 3.67% and December...

HEV22 : 89.225s (-0.25%)
HEG23 : 79.425s (+0.44%)
KMV22 : 98.300s (-0.25%)
Cattle Market Ends Weaker on Friday

Feeder cattle led the way lower on Friday with losses of as much as $3.20 in the November contract. Fat cattle futures went home with 32 to 85 cent losses as well. For the week, October fats gave back...

LEV22 : 143.275s (-0.59%)
LEZ22 : 147.050s (-0.49%)
LEG23 : 150.650s (-0.46%)
GFV22 : 174.175s (-1.78%)
GFX22 : 174.625s (-1.80%)
TFM Closing Commentary 09-30-2022

Take the Stress Out of Your Marketing Strategy. No hedge account. No margin calls. Just comprehensive, common-sense guidance at a great value. Learn more: https://www.totalfarmmarketing.com/tfm-cash-plus/...

Agricultural Prices

Agricultural Prices - 2022-09-30

ZSX22 : 1370-0 (+0.38%)
ZSPAUS.CM : 13.1536 (-3.40%)
ZSBAUS.CM : -0.4938 (-0.61%)
ZSDAUS-BIW.CM : 4,721,766 (+2.09%)
ZSYAUS-BIW.CM : 52.80 (+0.57%)
XSX22 : 5,429s (+1.61%)
XTX22 : 6,052s (+0.03%)
ZCZ22 : 686-0 (+1.25%)
ZCPAUS.CM : 6.6102 (-0.37%)
ZCBAUS.CM : -0.1648 (-174.67%)
XVF23 : 2,771s (+0.18%)
XEX22 : 89.71 (-0.06%)
Hogs Off Highs, but Still Gaining

Lean hog futures are trading with midday gains of 5 to 60 cents – following the NASS report and weekend covering after 8 consecutive red candles. The National Average Base Hog price was $85.08 in the...

HEV22 : 89.225s (-0.25%)
HEG23 : 79.425s (+0.44%)
KMV22 : 98.300s (-0.25%)
Cattle Markets Red at Midday

Front month cattle futures are trading 42 to 97 cents in the red so far for Friday. Feeders are down $2.07 to $2.80 weaker. Thursday’s cash market was mostly light with sales from $143 - $147. The bulk...

LEV22 : 143.275s (-0.59%)
LEZ22 : 147.050s (-0.49%)
LEG23 : 150.650s (-0.46%)
GFV22 : 174.175s (-1.78%)
GFX22 : 174.625s (-1.80%)
TFM Midday Update 09-30-2022

Take the Stress Out of Your Marketing Strategy. No hedge account. No margin calls. Just comprehensive, common-sense guidance at a great value. Learn more: https://www.totalfarmmarketing.com/tfm-cash-plus/...

TFM Morning Update 09-30-2022

Take the Stress Out of Your Marketing Strategy. No hedge account. No margin calls. Just comprehensive, common-sense guidance at a great value. Learn more: https://www.totalfarmmarketing.com/tfm-cash-plus/...

Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Sell Signal with a Maximum Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 81.950
2nd Resistance Point 81.275
1st Resistance Point 80.350
Last Price 79.425s
1st Support Level 78.750
2nd Support Level 78.075
3rd Support Level 77.150

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52-Week High 93.325
Fibonacci 61.8% 85.341
Fibonacci 50% 82.875
Fibonacci 38.2% 80.409
Last Price 79.425s
52-Week Low 72.425

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