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Sugar #11 Mar '19 (SBH19)

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Sugar #11 Futures Market News and Commentary

Sugar Market News and Commentary

March NY world sugar #11 (SBH19) on Wednesday closed up +0.04 (+0.31%) and March ICE London white sugar (SWH19) closed up +2.10 (+0.60%). Sugar prices finished higher Tuesday on strength in the Brazilian real against the dollar, which discourages exports by Brazil's sugar producers. Another positive for sugar is strength in Chinese sugar demand after the China's Customs General Administration reported that China 2018 sugar imports rose +22% y/y to 2.8 MMT. Gains were limited by weakness in crude oil prices that are negative for ethanol prices and may prompt Brazil's sugar mills to divert more cane crushing toward sugar production rather than ethanol production, thus increasing sugar supplies. In a supportive factor, the Indian Sugar Mills Association on Tuesday cut its 2018/19 sugar output estimate for India, the world’s second-biggest sugar producer, to 30.7 MMT from October's 31.75 MMT forecast. On the bearish side, Brazil's hydrous ethanol prices fell for a third straight week as ethanol prices fell to 1.6044 per liter in the week ended Jan 18, the lowest in 4 months. Sugar prices still have support from last Tuesday's data from Unica showing that 2018/19 Brazil Center-South sugar production through December was down -26.5% y/y at 26.339 MMT.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Sugar #11
Contract Size
112,000 pounds (50 long tonnes)
Tick Size
0.01 cents per pound ($11.20 per contract)
Trading Hours
2:30a.m. - 12:00p.m. CST
Exchange
ICE/US
Point Value
$1,120
Margin/Maintenance
$1,047/952
First Notice Date
03/01/19 (37 days)
Expiration Date
02/28/19 (36 days)

Seasonal Chart

Sugar #11 Mar '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Dec 18, 2018

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
470,585 (+22,539)
487,203 (-7,903)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
163,519 (+1,778)
162,957 (+25,971)
Producers - Long / Short
263,408 (+24,686)
429,093 (-8,912)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
187,218 (-2,805)
38,151 (+351)
Managed Money - Long / Short
114,706 (-1,874)
143,888 (+28,162)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
48,813 (+3,652)
19,069 (-2,191)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
11.69 +10.95%
on 01/03/19
13.27 -2.26%
on 01/16/19
+0.63 (+5.11%)
since 12/21/18
3-Month
11.69 +10.95%
on 01/03/19
14.24 -8.92%
on 10/24/18
-0.84 (-6.08%)
since 10/23/18
52-Week
10.80 +20.09%
on 09/27/18
15.27 -15.06%
on 02/08/18
-1.75 (-11.89%)
since 01/23/18

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Sugar Market News and Commentary

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Coffee Market News and Commentary

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Cocoa Market News and Commentary

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Sugar Market News and Commentary

March NY world sugar #11 (SBH19) this morning is up +0.03 (+0.33%) and March ICE London white sugar (SWH19) is up +1.60 (+0.46%). Sugar prices are higher this morning on the heels of gains in crude oil....

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 56% Buy with a Average short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is approaching overbought territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 13.08
1st Resistance Point 13.03
Last Price 12.97s
1st Support Level 12.89
2nd Support Level 12.80

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52-Week High 15.27
Fibonacci 61.8% 13.56
Fibonacci 50% 13.03
Last Price 12.97s
Fibonacci 38.2% 12.51
52-Week Low 10.80

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