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Hard Red Wheat Dec '18 (KEZ18)

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Hard Red Wheat Futures Market News and Commentary

Wheat Market News and Commentary

Wheat futures are mostly 2 to 4 cents lower this morning on Turnaround Tuesday selling after an up day. They closed Monday with 1 to 5 1/4 cent gains in most contracts, helped by decent export data. All wheat export inspections for the week that ended on Thursday December 13 were reported at 682,162 MT by USDA. That was 51.9% above the week prior and 9.1% larger than the same week a year ago. Wheat exports during the 18/19 MY have totaled 11.713 MMT (430.36 mbu) through 12/13, which is now 14.86% below the same week a in 2017. USDA will release the second round of MFP payments and left the second round at 14 cents/bu.--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
KC Hard Red Winter Wheat
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
KCBT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$1,430/1,300
First Notice Date
11/30/18
Expiration Date
12/14/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Hard Red Wheat Dec '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Dec 11, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
109,348 (+885)
128,284 (+5,739)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
102,078 (+4,433)
88,602 (+845)
Producers - Long / Short
53,599 (-1,013)
113,629 (+3,934)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
46,317 (+105)
5,223 (+12)
Managed Money - Long / Short
79,332 (+4,733)
78,590 (-192)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
22,746 (-300)
10,012 (+1,037)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
456-6 +7.83%
on 11/27/18
504-0 -2.28%
on 12/13/18
+11-4 (+2.39%)
since 11/14/18
3-Month
456-6 +7.83%
on 11/27/18
534-2 -7.81%
on 09/24/18
-23-6 (-4.60%)
since 09/14/18
52-Week
456-6 +7.83%
on 11/27/18
626-0 -21.33%
on 08/07/18
+7-6 (+1.60%)
since 12/14/17

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Wheat futures closed Monday with 1 to 5 1/4 cent gains in most contracts, helped by decent export data. All wheat export inspections for the week that ended on Thursday December 13 were reported at 682,162...

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 16% Sell with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 492-4
1st Resistance Point 492-4
Last Price 492-4s
1st Support Level 492-4
2nd Support Level 492-4

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52-Week High 626-0
Fibonacci 61.8% 561-3
Fibonacci 50% 541-3
Fibonacci 38.2% 521-3
Last Price 492-4s
52-Week Low 456-6

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