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Crude Oil WTI Oct '17 (CLV17)

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Crude Oil WTI Futures Market News and Commentary

Crude Oil is Undercut by OPEC+ Decision Delay on 2H Cuts and Expected Increase in EIA Inventories

Apr WTI crude oil (CLJ19) on Tuesday closed down -$0.06 (-0.10%) per barrel and May Brent crude (CBJ19) closed up +$0.07 (+0.10%). Apr RBOB gasoline (RBJ19) closed up +1.03 cents per gallon (+0.55%). The energy complex settled mixed Tuesday with May Brent crude at a 4-month high. A sell-off in the dollar index to a new 2-week low Tuesday was positive for energy prices, as was the early rally in the S&P 500 and the Euro Stoxx 50 stock indexes to 5+ month highs, which shows confidence in the economic outlook and energy demand. Another bullish factor was Tuesday afternoon's data from API that showed U.S. crude stockpiles fell -2.13 million bbl last week. The energy complex still has support from Monday when Saudi Arabian Energy Minister Khalid Al-Falih said that OPEC+ members are conforming well to the crude production cuts they agreed to in January and that compliance with the cuts will easily exceed 100 percent in March. In a bearish factor, however, Russia is insisting that OPEC+ delay a decision until June on extending the 1H production cuts into 2H, suggesting that Russia is becoming reluctant to extend its production cuts. On the negative side is the consensus for Wednesday's weekly EIA crude inventories to increase by +1.75 million bbl.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Crude Oil West Texas Intermediate
Contract Size
1,000 U.S. barrels (42,000 gallons)
Tick Size
1 cent per barrel ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:00a.m. - 1:30p.m.) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$1,000
Margin/Maintenance
$4,070/3,700
First Notice Date
09/22/17
Expiration Date
09/20/17 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Crude Oil WTI Oct '17
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Oct Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Mar 12, 2019

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Commercials - Long / Short
753,879 (-57,210)
1,123,382 (-45,282)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
500,169 (+2,513)
137,904 (-10,951)
Producers - Long / Short
458,130 (-24,928)
490,449 (-17,997)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
148,283 (+9)
485,467 (+5,006)
Managed Money - Long / Short
242,177 (+2,454)
58,369 (-5,287)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
257,992 (+59)
79,535 (-5,664)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
45.58 +10.60%
on 08/31/17
50.65 -0.47%
on 09/20/17
+1.75 (+3.60%)
since 08/18/17
3-Month
42.51 +18.58%
on 06/21/17
50.65 -0.47%
on 09/20/17
+6.39 (+14.52%)
since 06/20/17
52-Week
42.51 +18.58%
on 06/21/17
58.34 -13.59%
on 01/03/17
+1.39 (+2.84%)
since 09/20/16

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Crude Oil is Undercut by OPEC+ Decision Delay on 2H Cuts and Expected Increase in EIA Inventories

Apr WTI crude oil (CLJ19) on Tuesday closed down -$0.06 (-0.10%) per barrel and May Brent crude (CBJ19) closed up +$0.07 (+0.10%). Apr RBOB gasoline (RBJ19) closed up +1.03 cents per gallon (+0.55%)....

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Actionable analysis and ideas for ES, Crude, Gold and more goes out to brokerage clients each and every morning.

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 96% Buy with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Strong. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is approaching overbought territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 51.17
1st Resistance Point 50.79
Last Price 50.41s
1st Support Level 49.89
2nd Support Level 49.37

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52-Week High 58.34
Fibonacci 61.8% 52.29
Fibonacci 50% 50.42
Last Price 50.41s
Fibonacci 38.2% 48.56
52-Week Low 42.51

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