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Cocoa Dec '19 (CCZ19)

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Cocoa Futures Market News and Commentary

Cocoa Prices are Slightly Lower on Ample Global Cocoa Supplies

Mar ICE NY cocoa (CCH20) this morning is down -1 (-0.04%), and Mar ICE London cocoa #7 (CAH20) is down -1 (-0.05%).

Cocoa prices are slightly weaker this morning and posted 1-week lows on general commodity weakness due to the spreading Chinese coronavirus. Cocoa is also being undercut by last Friday's data from the International Cocoa Association (ICCO) showing that global 2018/19 cocoa ending stocks have risen +1.4% y/y to 1.538 MMT.

Another negative for cocoa prices was increased cocoa production in Ghana after the Ghana Cocoa Board today reported that it purchased 569,781 MT of cocoa from farmers during Oct 1-Jan 16, up +8.1% y/y.

Cocoa prices recovered from their worst levels after the Ivory Coast government reported today that Ivory Coast farmers sent 59,898 MT of cocoa to ports from Jan 20-26, down -8.6% y/y. On a cumulative basis, however, Ivory Coast farmers have sent a total of 1.411 MMT of cocoa to ports during Oct 1-Jan 26, up +8.5% y/y.

A bear... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Cocoa
Contract Size
10 metric tonnes (22,046 pounds)
Tick Size
$1.00 per metric tonne ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
3:45a.m. - 12:30p.m. (Settles 10:50a.m.) CST
Exchange
ICE/US
Point Value
$10
Margin/Maintenance
$2,090/1,900
First Notice Date
11/15/19
Expiration Date
12/13/19 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Cocoa Dec '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jan 21, 2020

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
104,406 (+2,506)
166,966 (+15,393)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
109,346 (+19,522)
52,465 (+7,366)
Producers - Long / Short
77,635 (+2,355)
153,139 (+14,665)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
17,658 (-273)
4,714 (+304)
Managed Money - Long / Short
92,724 (+17,555)
37,652 (+2,104)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
16,622 (+1,967)
14,813 (+5,262)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
2,590 +2.70%
on 12/02/19
2,783 -4.42%
on 11/18/19
-15 (-0.56%)
since 11/13/19
3-Month
2,323 +14.51%
on 09/16/19
2,783 -4.42%
on 11/18/19
+323 (+13.82%)
since 09/13/19
52-Week
2,165 +22.86%
on 08/20/19
2,783 -4.42%
on 11/18/19
+369 (+16.11%)
since 12/13/18

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 48% Buy with a Average short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 2,660
1st Resistance Point 2,660
Last Price 2,660s
1st Support Level 2,660
2nd Support Level 2,660

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52-Week High 2,783
Last Price 2,660s
Fibonacci 61.8% 2,547
Fibonacci 50% 2,474
Fibonacci 38.2% 2,401
52-Week Low 2,165

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