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Natural Gas Sep '26 (NGU26)

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Natural Gas Futures Market News and Commentary

Forecasts for Near-Normal US Temps Undercut Nat-Gas Prices

August Nymex natural gas (NGQ26) on Monday closed down -0.104 (-3.62%).

Nat-gas prices sank to a 2.5-month nearest-futures low on Monday and settled sharply lower.  The outlook for cooler US weather, which diminishes the need for air conditioning, is weighing on nat-gas prices.  The Commodity Weather Group said on Monday that forecasts call for normal to below-normal temperatures across the central and eastern US for August 1-5.   

A bearish factor for nat-gas prices in the medium term is speculation that a powerful El Niño weather system will bring warmer-than-normal temperatures to the Northern Hemisphere this fall and winter, reducing nat-gas heating demand. 

US (lower-48) dry gas production on Monday was 113.1 bcf/day (+3.7% y/y), according to BNEF.  Lower-48 state gas demand on Monday was 81.4 bcf/day (+2.7% y/y), according to BNEF.  Estimated LNG net flows to US LNG export terminals on Monday were 18.1 bcf/day (+2.4% w/w), according to BNEF.

Projections... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Natural Gas
Contract Size
10,000 MMBtu (million British thermal units)
Tick Size
0.001 per MMBtu ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:00a.m. - 1:30p.m.) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$10,000
Margin/Maintenance
$3,196/2,906
First Notice Date
08/28/26 (32 days)
Expiration Date
08/27/26 (31 days)

Seasonal Chart

Natural Gas Sep '26
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Sep Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jul 21, 2026

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
545,825 (+9,513)
386,723 (+15,939)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
295,206 (+7,951)
466,344 (+477)
Producers - Long / Short
222,111 (+8,764)
255,218 (+13,739)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
210,606 (-1,131)
18,397 (+320)
Managed Money - Long / Short
233,978 (+6,809)
336,734 (+3,856)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
61,228 (+1,142)
129,610 (-3,379)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
2.760 +0.07%
on 07/28/26
3.261 -15.30%
on 06/29/26
-0.464 (-14.38%)
since 06/26/26
3-Month
2.760 +0.07%
on 07/28/26
3.375 -18.16%
on 06/01/26
-0.304 (-9.92%)
since 04/28/26
52-Week
2.760 +0.07%
on 07/28/26
4.412 -37.40%
on 12/05/25
-1.130 (-29.03%)
since 07/28/25

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Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Sell Signal with a Average Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 2.951
2nd Resistance Point 2.911
1st Resistance Point 2.849
Last Price 2.768
1st Support Level 2.747
2nd Support Level 2.707
3rd Support Level 2.645

See More

52-Week High 4.412
Fibonacci 61.8% 3.781
Fibonacci 50% 3.586
Fibonacci 38.2% 3.391
Last Price 2.768
52-Week Low 2.760

See More

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