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Coffee Jul '19 (KCN19)

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Coffee Futures Market News and Commentary

Coffee Prices Close Higher with Arabica Coffee at a 2-1/4 year High on Fund Buying

Mar arabica coffee (KCH20) on Thursday closed up +2.05 (+1.52%), and Jan ICE Robusta coffee (DFF0) closed up +22 (+1.56%).

Coffee prices moved higher Thursday with Mar arabica coffee at a new 13-month high and nearest-futures Dec arabica coffee at a 2-1/4 year high. Coffee prices have rallied sharply this week as the outlook for tighter global coffee inventories has fueled fund buying of coffee futures. The International Coffee Organization (ICO) is forecasting a global 2019/20 coffee deficit of -502,000 bags compared with a +3.7 million bag global surplus in 2018/19.

Strength in the Brazilian real also gave arabica coffee prices a lift as the Brazilian real climbed +0.42% on Thursday to a new 1-month high against the dollar. A stronger real discourages export selling from Brazil's coffee producers.

Arabica coffee also has support on Tuesday's data from Guatemala's National Coffee Association showing that Guatemala Nov coffee exports fell -19.2% y/y to 49,910 ba... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Coffee C Arabica
Contract Size
37,500 pounds (approximately 250 bags)
Tick Size
0.05 cents per pound ($18.75 per contract)
Trading Hours
3:15a.m. - 12:30p.m. (Settles 12:25p.m.) CST
Exchange
ICE/US
Point Value
$375
Margin/Maintenance
$3,300/3,000
First Notice Date
06/28/19
Expiration Date
07/19/19 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Coffee Jul '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jul Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Dec 3, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
143,120 (+3,855)
167,634 (+12,516)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
60,397 (+6,802)
38,798 (-2,586)
Producers - Long / Short
86,935 (+2,616)
150,632 (+11,020)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
47,633 (+1,757)
8,450 (+2,014)
Managed Money - Long / Short
44,998 (+7,184)
30,721 (-3,984)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
15,399 (-382)
8,077 (+1,398)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
98.00 +8.01%
on 06/20/19
113.05 -6.37%
on 07/08/19
+9.60 (+9.97%)
since 06/19/19
3-Month
87.60 +20.83%
on 05/07/19
113.05 -6.37%
on 07/08/19
+12.95 (+13.94%)
since 04/18/19
52-Week
87.60 +20.83%
on 05/07/19
134.05 -21.04%
on 10/19/18
-14.95 (-12.38%)
since 07/19/18

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Going higher

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 40% Buy with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 105.85
1st Resistance Point 105.85
Last Price 105.85s
1st Support Level 105.85
2nd Support Level 105.85

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52-Week High 134.05
Fibonacci 61.8% 116.31
Fibonacci 50% 110.82
Last Price 105.85s
Fibonacci 38.2% 105.34
52-Week Low 87.60

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