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Coffee Mar '21 (KCH21)

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Coffee Futures Market News and Commentary

Arabica Coffee Closes at a 4-Month High on Outlook for Dry Conditions to Worsen in Minas Gerais

Mar arabica coffee (KCH21) on Friday closed up +0.80 (+0.63%), and March ICE Robusta coffee (RMH21) closed up +21 (+1.58%).

Coffee prices on Friday pushed higher, with arabica coffee at a 4-month nearest-futures high and robusta coffee at a 1-week high on concern that dry conditions in Brazil will worsen. Maxar late Thursday said that dry conditions would intensify across Minas Gerais, Brazil's largest arabica-growing region, over the next 6 to 10 days, which could cause strain to coffee trees and harm cherry growth.

Arabica prices were already underpinned by new Brazil coffee production estimates. Marex Solutions on Thursday estimated that Brazil's 2021 arabica coffee output would fall between 30% and 50% due to excessive heat and scant rainfall in Minas Gerais. However, Marex Solutions on Thursday projected that Brazil's 2021 robusta crop would increase by 10% to 15% versus last year's harvest.

Coffee prices have support on Tuesday's pro... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Coffee C Arabica
Contract Size
37,500 pounds (approximately 250 bags)
Tick Size
0.05 cents per pound ($18.75 per contract)
Trading Hours
3:15a.m. - 12:30p.m. (Settles 12:25p.m.) CST
Exchange
ICE/US
Point Value
$375
Margin/Maintenance
$4,455/4,050
First Notice Date
02/18/21 (32 days)
Expiration Date
03/19/21 (61 days)

Seasonal Chart

Coffee Mar '21
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jan 12, 2021

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
139,763 (+4,772)
180,243 (-2,642)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
60,960 (-3,500)
26,513 (+3,028)
Producers - Long / Short
82,370 (-688)
147,605 (-2,817)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
51,890 (+5,271)
27,135 (-14)
Managed Money - Long / Short
37,276 (-3,790)
23,623 (+2,053)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
23,684 (+290)
2,890 (+975)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
118.75 +7.92%
on 01/11/21
131.75 -2.73%
on 01/15/21
+3.50 (+2.81%)
since 12/15/20
3-Month
104.85 +22.22%
on 11/04/20
131.75 -2.73%
on 01/15/21
+16.05 (+14.32%)
since 10/15/20
52-Week
99.05 +29.38%
on 06/15/20
135.65 -5.53%
on 09/04/20
+2.15 (+1.71%)
since 01/15/20

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Arabica Coffee Closes at a 4-Month High on Outlook for Dry Conditions to Worsen in Minas Gerais

Mar arabica coffee (KCH21) on Friday closed up +0.80 (+0.63%), and March ICE Robusta coffee (RMH21) closed up +21 (+1.58%). Coffee prices on Friday pushed higher, with arabica coffee at a 4-month nearest-futures...

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Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Sell Signal with a Weak Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 135.95
2nd Resistance Point 133.85
1st Resistance Point 131.00
Last Price 128.15s
1st Support Level 126.05
2nd Support Level 123.95
3rd Support Level 121.10

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52-Week High 135.65
Last Price 128.15s
Fibonacci 61.8% 121.67
Fibonacci 50% 117.35
Fibonacci 38.2% 113.03
52-Week Low 99.05

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