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Lean Hogs Dec '22 (HEZ22)
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Lean Hogs Futures Market News and Commentary

Hogs Extend Losses into Weekend

Front month hog prices were another triple digits lower to close the last trade day of the week. Dec and Feb futures gave back another 3% on the day. For Dec hogs that cemented the weekly pullback at $2.92, but the contract printed a very wide $6.68 range through the week. USDA’s National Average Base Hog price from Friday afternoon was $77.59, down by 50 cents. The CME Lean Hog Index was 50 cents higher on 9/20 to $87.17. 

CFTC’s weekly Commitment of Traders data showed lean hog spec traders were closing shorts and adding new longs through the week that ended 9/19. That extended their net long by 2,799 contracts to 40,985. Recent data from the CME had October OI down 7.8% on Thursday, and Dec OI down 1.6k contracts (but Dec OI was still net higher for the week through Thursday).

Pork cutout futures went into the weekend with Friday losses of $1.60 to $2.05. USDA’s National Pork Carcass Cutout Value for Friday was cited at $97.26 after another $1.49 drop. Bellies were $1... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Lean Hogs
Contract Size
40,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.00025 per pound ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:30a.m. - 1:05p.m. (Settles 1:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$400
Margin/Maintenance
$1,650/1,500
First Notice Date
12/14/22
Expiration Date
12/16/22 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Lean Hogs Dec '22
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Sep 12, 2023

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
73,897 (-6,236)
69,188 (-1,286)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
66,425 (+2,709)
67,155 (-2,693)
Producers - Long / Short
16,514 (-32)
57,811 (+843)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
55,049 (-3,456)
9,043 (+619)
Managed Money - Long / Short
55,886 (+3,067)
17,568 (-2,539)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
10,539 (-358)
49,587 (-154)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
80.550 +2.20%
on 11/28/22
86.575 -4.91%
on 11/15/22
-2.550 (-3.00%)
since 11/14/22
3-Month
72.975 +12.81%
on 10/04/22
89.800 -8.32%
on 10/21/22
-2.975 (-3.49%)
since 09/14/22
52-Week
72.975 +12.81%
on 10/04/22
91.350 -9.88%
on 08/16/22
+6.450 (+8.50%)
since 12/14/21

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Most Recent Stories

More News
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Yesterday, I was a guest on AgWeb's Markets Now to discuss the recent action in the grain markets. I also talked about the cattle and energy markets.

ZWY00 : 502-0s (+0.73%)
ZCY00 : 505-6s (+0.40%)
ZSY00 : 1258-0s (+0.16%)
LEY00 : 183.000s (+0.28%)
Fed pause, cattle stall and grains trade in range

On-Feed report; Beans close below $13.00

Cattle Markets Rally, Hogs Weak

Cattle Rallies in Front of COF Report

Cattle Rally Back for the Weekend

Friday’s cattle trade settled triple digits higher. The $2.10 gain in October left the lead month at a 15 cent gain for the week’s move, while Dec was still 47 cents in the red Fri/Fri. USDA reported...

LEV23 : 187.075s (+1.14%)
LEZ23 : 191.350s (+0.98%)
LEG24 : 195.550s (+0.76%)
GFU23 : 254.100s (+0.33%)
GFV23 : 259.150s (+0.53%)
Hogs Extend Losses into Weekend

Front month hog prices were another triple digits lower to close the last trade day of the week. Dec and Feb futures gave back another 3% on the day. For Dec hogs that cemented the weekly pullback at $2.92,...

HEV23 : 81.525s (-1.72%)
HEG24 : 75.350s (-3.09%)
KMV23 : 92.200s (-1.71%)
Shootin' the Bull about the Fed's agenda

In my opinion, a shift was felt in the financial and commodity markets this week.  As the Fed is tasked with lowering inflation, and rates believed the main tool of impact, the most recent bout of inflation...

Cattle on Feed

Cattle on Feed - 2023-09-22

FCX23 : 263.525s (+0.31%)
GFX23 : 263.525s (+0.31%)
LCZ23 : 191.350s (+0.98%)
LEZ23 : 191.350s (+0.98%)
Triple Digit Gains for Friday Cattle

The cattle board is up by $1.10 to $1.52 for the last trade day of the week. That has Oct futures back to break even for the week’s net move. USDA reported cash trade from $183 - $187 with most sales...

LEV23 : 187.075s (+1.14%)
LEZ23 : 191.350s (+0.98%)
LEG24 : 195.550s (+0.76%)
LEY00 : 183.000s (+0.28%)
GFU23 : 254.100s (+0.33%)
GFV23 : 259.150s (+0.53%)
Hogs Extending Drop

Following the sharp losses on Thursday, the Friday market has hogs another triple digits lower. Dec futures are again leading the way on a 2.9% pullback to follow the limit loss yesterday. USDA’s National...

HEV23 : 81.525s (-1.72%)
HEZ23 : 72.175s (-3.09%)
KMV23 : 92.200s (-1.71%)
Hogs Drop Sharply on Thursday

December futures ended yesterday with a limit loss of $3.75, as the other front months were $1.52 to $3.15 in the red. USDA’s National Average Base Hog price for Thursday was 71 cents lower to $78.09....

HEV23 : 81.525s (-1.72%)
HEG24 : 75.350s (-3.09%)
KMV23 : 92.200s (-1.71%)

Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Sell Signal with a Weak Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 82.975
2nd Resistance Point 82.775
1st Resistance Point 82.550
Last Price 82.325s
1st Support Level 82.125
2nd Support Level 81.925
3rd Support Level 81.700

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52-Week High 91.350
Fibonacci 61.8% 84.331
Last Price 82.325s
Fibonacci 50% 82.162
Fibonacci 38.2% 79.994
52-Week Low 72.975

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