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Lean Hogs Aug '23 (HEQ23)
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Lean Hogs Futures Market News and Commentary

Hogs Extend Losses into Weekend

Front month hog prices were another triple digits lower to close the last trade day of the week. Dec and Feb futures gave back another 3% on the day. For Dec hogs that cemented the weekly pullback at $2.92, but the contract printed a very wide $6.68 range through the week. USDA’s National Average Base Hog price from Friday afternoon was $77.59, down by 50 cents. The CME Lean Hog Index was 50 cents higher on 9/20 to $87.17. 

CFTC’s weekly Commitment of Traders data showed lean hog spec traders were closing shorts and adding new longs through the week that ended 9/19. That extended their net long by 2,799 contracts to 40,985. Recent data from the CME had October OI down 7.8% on Thursday, and Dec OI down 1.6k contracts (but Dec OI was still net higher for the week through Thursday).

Pork cutout futures went into the weekend with Friday losses of $1.60 to $2.05. USDA’s National Pork Carcass Cutout Value for Friday was cited at $97.26 after another $1.49 drop. Bellies were $1... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Lean Hogs
Contract Size
40,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.00025 per pound ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:30a.m. - 1:05p.m. (Settles 1:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$400
Margin/Maintenance
$1,650/1,500
First Notice Date
08/14/23
Expiration Date
08/14/23 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Lean Hogs Aug '23
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Aug Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Sep 12, 2023

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
73,897 (-6,236)
69,188 (-1,286)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
66,425 (+2,709)
67,155 (-2,693)
Producers - Long / Short
16,514 (-32)
57,811 (+843)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
55,049 (-3,456)
9,043 (+619)
Managed Money - Long / Short
55,886 (+3,067)
17,568 (-2,539)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
10,539 (-358)
49,587 (-154)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
94.050 +8.72%
on 07/17/23
104.950 -2.57%
on 08/01/23
+6.050 (+6.29%)
since 07/14/23
3-Month
73.475 +39.16%
on 05/26/23
104.950 -2.57%
on 08/01/23
+16.175 (+18.79%)
since 05/12/23
52-Week
73.475 +39.16%
on 05/26/23
109.025 -6.21%
on 12/27/22
+1.775 (+1.77%)
since 08/12/22

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Most Recent Stories

More News
Cattle Markets Rally, Hogs Weak

Cattle Rallies in Front of COF Report

Cattle Rally Back for the Weekend

Friday’s cattle trade settled triple digits higher. The $2.10 gain in October left the lead month at a 15 cent gain for the week’s move, while Dec was still 47 cents in the red Fri/Fri. USDA reported...

LEV23 : 187.075s (+1.14%)
LEZ23 : 191.350s (+0.98%)
LEG24 : 195.550s (+0.76%)
GFU23 : 254.100s (+0.33%)
GFV23 : 259.150s (+0.53%)
Hogs Extend Losses into Weekend

Front month hog prices were another triple digits lower to close the last trade day of the week. Dec and Feb futures gave back another 3% on the day. For Dec hogs that cemented the weekly pullback at $2.92,...

HEV23 : 81.525s (-1.72%)
HEG24 : 75.350s (-3.09%)
KMV23 : 92.200s (-1.71%)
Shootin' the Bull about the Fed's agenda

In my opinion, a shift was felt in the financial and commodity markets this week.  As the Fed is tasked with lowering inflation, and rates believed the main tool of impact, the most recent bout of inflation...

Cattle on Feed

Cattle on Feed - 2023-09-22

FCX23 : 263.525s (+0.31%)
GFX23 : 263.525s (+0.31%)
LCZ23 : 191.350s (+0.98%)
LEZ23 : 191.350s (+0.98%)
Triple Digit Gains for Friday Cattle

The cattle board is up by $1.10 to $1.52 for the last trade day of the week. That has Oct futures back to break even for the week’s net move. USDA reported cash trade from $183 - $187 with most sales...

LEV23 : 187.075s (+1.14%)
LEZ23 : 191.350s (+0.98%)
LEG24 : 195.550s (+0.76%)
LEY00 : 183.000s (+0.28%)
GFU23 : 254.100s (+0.33%)
GFV23 : 259.150s (+0.53%)
Hogs Extending Drop

Following the sharp losses on Thursday, the Friday market has hogs another triple digits lower. Dec futures are again leading the way on a 2.9% pullback to follow the limit loss yesterday. USDA’s National...

HEV23 : 81.525s (-1.72%)
HEZ23 : 72.175s (-3.09%)
KMV23 : 92.200s (-1.71%)
Hogs Drop Sharply on Thursday

December futures ended yesterday with a limit loss of $3.75, as the other front months were $1.52 to $3.15 in the red. USDA’s National Average Base Hog price for Thursday was 71 cents lower to $78.09....

HEV23 : 81.525s (-1.72%)
HEG24 : 75.350s (-3.09%)
KMV23 : 92.200s (-1.71%)
Cattle Closed in the Red

Live cattle futures fell in tandem with the other ag futures, ending the session $1.77 to $2.02 in the red. The feeder cattle market settled lower by $0.80 to $2.87. USDA reported cash trade from $183...

LEV23 : 187.075s (+1.14%)
LEZ23 : 191.350s (+0.98%)
LEG24 : 195.550s (+0.76%)
GFU23 : 254.100s (+0.33%)
GFV23 : 259.150s (+0.53%)
We Are Now Covering Feeder Cattle In Our Grain Weekly Update

The strength in this market is measured by the fact that the June low held 38.2% of the contract high and low at 233.55, there was also a major Gann square at 233.96.

GFX23 : 263.525s (+0.31%)

Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Buy Signal with a Weak Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 102.883
2nd Resistance Point 102.567
1st Resistance Point 102.408
Last Price 102.250s
1st Support Level 101.933
2nd Support Level 101.617
3rd Support Level 101.458

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52-Week High 109.025
Last Price 102.250s
Fibonacci 61.8% 95.445
Fibonacci 50% 91.250
Fibonacci 38.2% 87.055
52-Week Low 73.475

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