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Lean Hogs May '19 (HEK19)

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Lean Hogs Futures Market News and Commentary

Hogs Push Higher on Friday

Lean hogs saw gains of 20 to 87 cents across most contracts on Friday, with May down 25 cents and sticking close to the index ahead of next week’s expiration.  USDA’s National Average Base Hog negotiated price was down 94 cents in the Friday PM report at $88.41. The CME Lean Hog Index was unchanged on May 8 at $91.28.

USDA’s quarterly production estimates for pork saw an overall decrease to the 2024 number by 26 million lbs to 28.064 billion. Much of that was in Q1, Q3, and Q4, with Q2 seeing an increase.

Weekly Commitment of Traders data showed specs bailing on 20,208 contracts from their net long position to 65,171 contracts as of 5/7.

USDA’s National Pork Carcass Cutout Value was back up $1.34 in the Friday afternoon print at $99.77. The butt ($7.13) led the way higher, with the ham ($3.42) and belly ($1.46) the other two primals reported higher. USDA estimated this week’s federally inspected hog slaughter at 2.39 million head through Saturday. That is 17,000 he... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Lean Hogs
Contract Size
40,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.00025 per pound ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:30a.m. - 1:05p.m. (Settles 1:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$400
Margin/Maintenance
$1,650/1,500
First Notice Date
05/14/19
Expiration Date
05/14/19 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Lean Hogs May '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior May Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of May 7, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
103,759 (+1,500)
135,522 (-9,994)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
100,612 (-16,056)
62,256 (-2,474)
Producers - Long / Short
18,674 (-869)
114,606 (-9,076)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
73,890 (+2,419)
9,721 (-868)
Managed Money - Long / Short
76,246 (-17,369)
10,208 (+3,476)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
24,366 (+1,313)
52,048 (-5,950)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
81.700 +2.26%
on 05/07/19
91.225 -8.41%
on 04/16/19
-6.050 (-6.75%)
since 04/12/19
3-Month
62.650 +33.36%
on 02/20/19
93.250 -10.40%
on 04/05/19
+15.850 (+23.41%)
since 02/14/19
52-Week
62.650 +33.36%
on 02/20/19
93.250 -10.40%
on 04/05/19
+10.850 (+14.92%)
since 05/14/18

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Most Recent Stories

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Hogs Push Higher on Friday

Lean hogs saw gains of 20 to 87 cents across most contracts on Friday, with May down 25 cents and sticking close to the index ahead of next week’s expiration. USDA’s National Average Base Hog negotiated...

HEK24 : 91.725s (-0.27%)
HEM24 : 98.375s (+0.67%)
HEN24 : 101.450s (+0.40%)
Live Cattle Turn Around to Close Friday Higher

Live cattle saw initial weakness on Friday, as contracts closed with gains of 20 to 55 cents. Cash was mixed around this week, with the South seeing action anywhere from $183-185, and the North at $186-187....

LEM24 : 176.150s (+0.11%)
LEQ24 : 174.125s (+0.23%)
LEV24 : 177.425s (+0.24%)
GFK24 : 238.800s (+0.06%)
GFQ24 : 250.900s (-0.06%)
GFU24 : 251.975s (-0.04%)
Shootin' the Bull about recognition

In my opinion, some changes were noticed this week.  Of the one most notable was further recognition of the agenda in place by others.  As the impact from becomes more obvious, it has begun to make cattle...

Cattle Mixed Around on Friday

Live cattle are posting mixed trade on Friday, as contracts are down 55 cents to 22 higher across the board. Cash trade has been slow to develop this week, with trade reported this morning at $184-185...

LEM24 : 176.150s (+0.11%)
LEQ24 : 174.125s (+0.23%)
LEV24 : 177.425s (+0.24%)
GFK24 : 238.800s (+0.06%)
GFQ24 : 250.900s (-0.06%)
GFU24 : 251.975s (-0.04%)
Hogs Mostly Higher on Friday

Lean hogs are showing 60 cent to $1.02 stronger trade on Friday , with May down 27 cents and sticking close to the index ahead of next week’s expiration. USDA’s National Average Base Hog negotiated...

HEK24 : 91.725s (-0.27%)
HEM24 : 98.375s (+0.67%)
HEN24 : 101.450s (+0.40%)
WASDE

WASDE - 2024-05-10

ZSN24 : 1219-0s (+0.87%)
ZSPAUS.CM : 11.5612 (+0.86%)
ZSBAUS.CM : -0.6287 (-1.04%)
ZSDAUS-BIW.CM : 4,506,573 (unch)
ZSYAUS-BIW.CM : 52.03 (unch)
XSU24 : 4,068s (-1.48%)
XTN24 : 4,630s (-0.86%)
ZCN24 : 469-6s (+2.90%)
ZCPAUS.CM : 4.4617 (+2.93%)
ZCBAUS.CM : -0.2357 (-2.39%)
XVN24 : 2,446s (-0.24%)
XEU24 : 62.20 (-0.26%)
Cattle Look to Round Out the Week

Live cattle felt weaker on Thursday, as contracts were down 45 to 90 cents across the board on the day. Cash trade has been slow to develop this week, with the Central Stockyards Fed Cattle Exchange selling...

LEM24 : 176.150s (+0.11%)
LEQ24 : 174.125s (+0.23%)
LEV24 : 177.425s (+0.24%)
GFK24 : 238.800s (+0.06%)
GFQ24 : 250.900s (-0.06%)
GFU24 : 251.975s (-0.04%)
Hogs Switch Focus to Friday After Lower Thursday Trade

Lean hogs fell 55 cents to $1.40 across the board on Thursday. USDA’s National Average Base Hog negotiated price was down $2.44 in the Thursday afternoon report at $89.35. The CME Lean Hog Index was...

HEK24 : 91.725s (-0.27%)
HEM24 : 98.375s (+0.67%)
HEN24 : 101.450s (+0.40%)

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point N/A
2nd Resistance Point 83.850
1st Resistance Point 83.700
Last Price 83.550s
1st Support Level 83.475
2nd Support Level 83.400
3rd Support Level N/A

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52-Week High 93.250
Last Price 83.550s
Fibonacci 61.8% 81.561
Fibonacci 50% 77.950
Fibonacci 38.2% 74.339
52-Week Low 62.650

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