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Crude Oil WTI Jun '14 (CLM14)

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Crude Oil WTI Futures Market News and Commentary

Crude and Gasoline Market News and Commentary

Mar WTI crude oil (CLG19) on Tuesday closed down -$1.03 (-1.91%) per barrel and Mar Brent crude (CBH19) closed down -$1.20 (-1.91%). Mar RBOB gasoline (RBG19) closed down -5.00 cents per gallon (-3.41%). Crude prices fell back from a 1-1/2 month high in overnight trade and closed lower after global equity markets sold off, which reduces confidence in the economic outlook and energy demand. Concern about global economic growth is another negative for energy prices after the IMF on Monday downgraded its world growth estimate for the second time in three months as it cut its global 2019 GDP estimate to 3.5% from an Oct estimate of 3.7%, the slowest pace in three years. Worries about a slowdown in China, the world's second-biggest crude consumer, is another bearish factor for energy prices after China Q4 GDP slowed to a 6.4% y/y pace, the weakest pace of growth since 2009. Finally, a plunge in the crack spread to a 1-3/4 year low was negative for the energy complex since that reduces incentive for refiners to purchase crude oil to refine it into gasoline. On the positive side, OPEC Secretary-General Barkindo said OPEC+ members are starting to make "sharp reductions" to implement their supply accord and the market "has started to respond positively." Crude oil prices posted a 1-1/2 month high in overnight trade on optimism the U.S.-China trade war may soon be settled and on positive carry-over from last Friday's Baker Hughes report that active U.S. oil rigs the week ended Jan 18 fell by -21 rigs to an 8-month low of 852 rigs.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Crude Oil West Texas Intermediate
Contract Size
1,000 U.S. barrels (42,000 gallons)
Tick Size
1 cent per barrel ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:00a.m. - 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$1,000
Margin/Maintenance
$4,702/4,275
First Notice Date
05/22/14
Expiration Date
05/20/14 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Crude Oil WTI Jun '14
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jun Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Dec 18, 2018

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
820,153 (+18,950)
1,154,438 (+22,283)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
502,715 (-1,869)
193,107 (-1,971)
Producers - Long / Short
495,670 (+27,814)
478,536 (+28,660)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
151,655 (-2,047)
503,074 (+440)
Managed Money - Long / Short
195,923 (-11,064)
128,627 (+16,280)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
306,792 (+9,195)
64,480 (-18,251)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
98.74 +3.75%
on 05/01/14
103.83 -1.34%
on 04/21/14
-0.93 (-0.90%)
since 04/17/14
3-Month
96.42 +6.24%
on 03/17/14
104.10 -1.59%
on 04/16/14
+1.55 (+1.54%)
since 02/20/14

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 80% Buy with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Strong. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is approaching overbought territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 103.21
1st Resistance Point 102.82
Last Price 102.44s
1st Support Level 102.09
2nd Support Level 101.75

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52-Week High 104.10
Last Price 102.44s
Fibonacci 61.8% 97.95
Fibonacci 50% 96.06
Fibonacci 38.2% 94.16
52-Week Low 88.01

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