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Cocoa Mar '19 (CCH19)

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Cocoa Futures Market News and Commentary

Cocoa Prices Close Lower on Robust Cocoa Output in West Africa

May ICE NY cocoa (CCK19) on Wednesday closed down -33 (-1.40%) and May ICE London cocoa (CAH19) closed down -12 (-0.68%). Cocoa prices moved lower Wednesday on signs of strong cocoa production in West Africa. Monday's data from the Ivory Coast, the world's biggest cocoa producer, showed that Ivory Coast farmers sent 1.451 MMT of cocoa to ports during Oct 1-Feb 17, up +8.3% from the same time last year. Last Monday's data from Ghana, the world's second-biggest cocoa producer, showed strong output as cocoa purchases from Ghana cocoa farmers rose +15.4% y/y to 644,318 MT during the first seventeen weeks of the harvest from Oct 5-Jan 31. Another bearish factor is an increase in current supplies after cocoa stockpiles held at port warehouses monitored by the ICE Futures U.S. exchange rose to a 3-1/2 month high of 3.87 mln bags on Monday. May NY cocoa rallied to a 1-month high Tuesday on weather concerns in West Africa. Forecasts for above-normal temperatures with dry conditions over the next week in West Africa may increase stress on Ivory Coast and Ghana cocoa crops.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Cocoa
Contract Size
10 metric tonnes (22,046 pounds)
Tick Size
$1.00 per metric tonne ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
3:45a.m. - 12:30p.m. (Settles 10:50a.m.) CST
Exchange
ICE/US
Point Value
$10
Margin/Maintenance
$2,090/1,900
First Notice Date
02/14/19
Expiration Date
03/14/19 (21 days)

Seasonal Chart

Cocoa Mar '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jan 29, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
123,431 (-4,938)
153,394 (-3,460)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
67,018 (+47)
39,942 (-1,286)
Producers - Long / Short
89,876 (-3,002)
137,942 (-3,900)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
21,196 (-2,436)
3,093 (-60)
Managed Money - Long / Short
47,855 (-2,242)
36,429 (-926)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
19,163 (+2,289)
3,513 (-360)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
2,161 +6.34%
on 01/31/19
2,348 -2.13%
on 02/19/19
-9 (-0.39%)
since 01/18/19
3-Month
2,095 +9.69%
on 12/05/18
2,439 -5.78%
on 12/31/18
+108 (+4.93%)
since 11/20/18
52-Week
2,008 +14.44%
on 10/01/18
2,855 -19.51%
on 05/14/18
+84 (+3.79%)
since 02/20/18

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Cocoa Prices Close Lower on Robust Cocoa Output in West Africa

May ICE NY cocoa (CCK19) on Wednesday closed down -33 (-1.40%) and May ICE London cocoa (CAH19) closed down -12 (-0.68%). Cocoa prices moved lower Wednesday on signs of strong cocoa production in West...

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 56% Buy with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is approaching overbought territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 2,335
1st Resistance Point 2,317
Last Price 2,298s
1st Support Level 2,289
2nd Support Level 2,279

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52-Week High 2,855
Fibonacci 61.8% 2,531
Fibonacci 50% 2,432
Fibonacci 38.2% 2,332
Last Price 2,298s
52-Week Low 2,008

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InsideFutures Commentary

InsideFutures is a twice weekly newsletter that features a selection of the latest and best commodities commentary appearing on Barchart.com. Delivered every Wednesday and Friday morning to your inbox.

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