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Lean Hogs Jun '19 (HEM19)

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Lean Hogs Futures Market News and Commentary

Hogs Fall Triple Digits before Break

Going into Memorial Day weekend, lean hog futures closed $1.00 to $1.37 lower, save for June hogs which were 57 cents lower to $58.77 cwt. The CME Lean Hog index was another $1.39 lower on May 20, at $64.59. USDA National Average Afternoon Base Hog price was $1.42 higher to $39.37. The Commitment of Traders report showed managed money funds were 9,370 contacts net long on May 19. That was down 2,861 contracts from their previous net long on net new selling. Lean hog spec traders have been net long for 22 consecutive weeks, their previous net long lasted for 36 weeks. The National Pork Carcass Cutout Value was $96.75 on Friday after a $1.10 drop. The primals were mostly lower on Friday, save for Loins which were up $8.06 to $153.35. USDA estimated WTD hog slaughter under Federal Inspection at 2.130m head through Saturday. That is up 32k head from last week, but 180k below the same week last year. YTD hog slaughter is 50.09m hogs, compared to 50.65m from last year’s pace.

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Contract Specifications

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Lean Hogs
Contract Size
40,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.00025 per pound ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:30a.m. - 1:05p.m. (Settles 1:00p.m.) CST
Point Value
First Notice Date
Expiration Date
06/14/19 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Lean Hogs Jun '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jun Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of May 19, 2020

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Commercials - Long / Short
80,676 (-247)
90,729 (-3,260)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
69,699 (+1,074)
55,693 (+3,594)
Producers - Long / Short
32,357 (-424)
82,445 (-3,441)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
44,765 (-344)
4,730 (-340)
Managed Money - Long / Short
43,758 (+322)
34,478 (+3,265)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
25,941 (+752)
21,215 (+329)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
78.275 +1.41%
on 06/07/19
93.025 -14.67%
on 05/20/19
-9.750 (-10.94%)
since 05/14/19
78.275 +1.41%
on 06/07/19
99.825 -20.49%
on 04/05/19
-4.150 (-4.97%)
since 03/14/19
68.750 +15.45%
on 07/11/18
99.825 -20.49%
on 04/05/19
+3.425 (+4.51%)
since 06/14/18

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Hogs Fall Triple Digits before Break

Going into Memorial Day weekend, lean hog futures closed $1.00 to $1.37 lower, save for June hogs which were 57 cents lower to $58.77 cwt. The CME Lean Hog index was another $1.39 lower on May 20, at $64.59....

Cattle Market Lower at Close

At the sound of the week’s closing bell live cattle futures were down by as much as $1.10. The losses were mostly up front and Feb ’21 futures closed with 32 cent gains. Feeder cattle futures were...

Cattle Mixed Mostly Lower

Live cattle futures are higher in deferred contracts, with Feb ’21 up by 45 cents. The other front months are 45 to 72 cents lower ahead of the USDA COF report. Feeder cattle futures are up at midday...

Hog Market Lower for Friday Midday

After trading mixed on Thursday, the front month lean hog futures are all in the red at midday. Futures are down 52 cents to $1.00 so far, with July the weakest. The CME Lean Hog index was another $1.39...

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US & Chinese Tensions Back in Focus

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Lean Hogs See Lower Pork Supplies but Lots of Bacon

Nearby lean hog futures were up $0.72 to $2.47, while the deferred contracts fell back by 15 to 77 cents. The 05/19 CME Lean Hog index was another $1.06 lower to $65.98. USDA’s National Average Base...

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 72% Sell with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators mostly agree with the trend.

The market is in highly oversold territory. Beware of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 79.625
1st Resistance Point 79.500
Last Price 79.375s
1st Support Level 79.250
2nd Support Level 79.125

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52-Week High 99.825
Fibonacci 61.8% 87.954
Fibonacci 50% 84.287
Fibonacci 38.2% 80.621
Last Price 79.375s
52-Week Low 68.750

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