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Silver Mar '19 (SIH19)

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Silver Futures Market News and Commentary

Gold and Silver Market News and Commentary

Feb Comex gold (GCG19) on Wednesday closed up +0.6 (+0.05%) and March silver closed up +0.055 (+0.36%). A weaker dollar on Wednesday lifted metals prices as did U.S. economic concerns as the partial shutdown of the government entered its 33rd day, which may lower growth and keep the Fed from raising interest rates. Gains in precious metals were limited by speculation the UK Parliament is moving closer to a plan to delay the March deadline for Brexit, which boosted GBP/USD to a 2-1/4 month high and curbed safe-haven demand for precious metals. Fund selling of silver continues as long silver positions in ETFs dropped to a new 2-3/4 year low on Tuesday. Gold prices also took a hit after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) cut its 2018 CPI forecast to 0.8% from 0.9% and cut its 2019 CPI forecast to 0.9% from a previous estimate of 1.4%, which is negative for gold demand as an inflation hedge. Global geopolitical concerns and stock market volatility have fueled demand for gold as a store of wealth after long gold positions in ETFs rose to a 5-3/4 year high last Friday.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Silver 5,000-oz
Contract Size
5,000 troy ounces
Tick Size
$0.005 per troy ounce ($25.00 per contract) (Settlement $0.001)
Trading Hours
7:25a.m. to 12:25p.m. (Globex 5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri)) CST
Exchange
COMEX
Point Value
$5,000
Margin/Maintenance
$3,960/3,600
First Notice Date
02/28/19 (35 days)
Expiration Date
03/27/19 (62 days)

Seasonal Chart

Silver Mar '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Dec 18, 2018

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
61,045 (-3,237)
96,521 (+4,360)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
74,023 (+2,887)
54,192 (-5,688)
Producers - Long / Short
11,690 (-959)
42,135 (+1,482)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
43,186 (-1,287)
48,217 (+3,869)
Managed Money - Long / Short
48,462 (+3,818)
46,673 (-7,125)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
25,561 (-931)
7,519 (+1,437)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
14.780 +3.72%
on 12/26/18
15.955 -3.92%
on 01/04/19
+0.510 (+3.44%)
since 12/24/18
3-Month
13.985 +9.62%
on 11/14/18
15.955 -3.92%
on 01/04/19
+0.535 (+3.62%)
since 10/24/18
52-Week
13.985 +9.62%
on 11/14/18
18.156 -15.57%
on 01/25/18
-2.702 (-14.98%)
since 01/24/18

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 16% Buy with a Weakest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 15.537
1st Resistance Point 15.458
Last Price 15.320
1st Support Level 15.288
2nd Support Level 15.197

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52-Week High 18.156
Fibonacci 61.8% 16.563
Fibonacci 50% 16.070
Fibonacci 38.2% 15.578
Last Price 15.320
52-Week Low 13.985

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InsideFutures Commentary

InsideFutures is a twice weekly newsletter that features a selection of the latest and best commodities commentary appearing on Barchart.com. Delivered every Wednesday and Friday morning to your inbox.

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