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Gold Aug '25 (GCQ25)

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Gold Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Firms on Rising T-Note Yields

The dollar index (DXY00) today is up by +0.30%.  The dollar recovered from overnight losses and climbed to a 1.5-week high due to stronger T-note yields.  The 10-year T-note yield rose to a 2-week high today at 4.43%, which strengthened the dollar's interest rate differentials.  Weakness in the yen is also benefiting the dollar as the yen tumbled to a 2-week low against the dollar today.  Gains in the dollar are limited as stocks rebounded after President Trump late Monday signaled that he is open to further negotiations on tariffs.   

Late Monday, President Trump said he's still open to additional negotiations and that the August 1 deadline for higher tariff rates was "not 100% firm," adding, "we're not going to be unfair" and would look favorably on countries continuing to offer additional concessions. 

The markets are discounting a 5% chance of a -25 bp rate cut at the July 29-30 FOMC meeting.

EUR/USD (^EURUSD) today is down by -0.15% and posted a new 1-week low... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Gold 100-oz
Contract Size
100 fine troy ounces
Tick Size
0.10 (10 cents) per troy ounce ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 7:20a.m. - 12:30p.m.) (Settles 12:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
COMEX
Point Value
$100
Margin/Maintenance
$16,500/15,000
First Notice Date
07/31/25 (23 days)
Expiration Date
08/27/25 (50 days)

Seasonal Chart

Gold Aug '25
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Aug Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jul 1, 2025

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
68,820 (-4,503)
304,889 (+1,006)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
258,631 (+2,554)
56,651 (-4,422)
Producers - Long / Short
12,005 (-314)
61,418 (-1,316)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
37,260 (-3,323)
223,916 (+3,188)
Managed Money - Long / Short
165,086 (+1,257)
34,726 (-3,975)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
93,545 (+1,297)
21,925 (-447)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
3,250.5 +2.05%
on 06/30/25
3,476.3 -4.58%
on 06/16/25
-29.6 (-0.88%)
since 06/06/25
3-Month
3,008.7 +10.25%
on 04/09/25
3,539.3 -6.28%
on 04/22/25
+301.8 (+10.01%)
since 04/08/25
52-Week
2,477.4 +33.89%
on 07/25/24
3,539.3 -6.28%
on 04/22/25
+823.6 (+33.03%)
since 07/08/24

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Dollar Firms on Rising T-Note Yields

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is up by +0.30%. The dollar recovered from overnight losses and climbed to a 1.5-week high due to stronger T-note yields. The 10-year T-note yield rose to a 2-week high...

DXY00 : 97.534 (+0.06%)
GCQ25 : 3,315.4 (-0.82%)
SIU25 : 36.830 (-0.20%)
^USDJPY : 146.720 (+0.44%)
^EURUSD : 1.17237 (+0.13%)
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The dollar index (DXY00 ) Monday rose by +0.30% and posted a 1.5-week high. The weakness in stocks on Monday boosted some liquidity demand for the dollar. The dollar extended its gains Monday when President...

DXY00 : 97.534 (+0.06%)
GCQ25 : 3,315.4 (-0.82%)
SIU25 : 36.830 (-0.20%)
^USDJPY : 146.720 (+0.44%)
^EURUSD : 1.17237 (+0.13%)
Trade Tensions Boost the Dollar

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is up by +0.14% at a 1-week high. The weakness in stocks today has boosted some liquidity demand for the dollar. Also, comments from President Trump that he will start...

DXY00 : 97.534 (+0.06%)
GCQ25 : 3,315.4 (-0.82%)
SIU25 : 36.830 (-0.20%)
^USDJPY : 146.720 (+0.44%)
^EURUSD : 1.17237 (+0.13%)
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The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Thursday rose by +0.42%. The dollar rallied after the stronger-than-expected US payroll report of +147,000 suggested continued strength in the US economy. The dollar also...

DXY00 : 97.534 (+0.06%)
GCQ25 : 3,315.4 (-0.82%)
SIU25 : 36.830 (-0.20%)
^USDJPY : 146.720 (+0.44%)
^EURUSD : 1.17237 (+0.13%)
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Gold prices fell significantly on Friday morning after a surprisingly strong jobs report for June prompted traders to reassess the likelihood of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in the near...

Dollar Moves Higher on Stronger-Than-Expected US Payroll Report

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is up +0.36%. The dollar is higher after the stronger-than-expected US payroll report of +147,000 suggested continued strength in the US economy. The dollar is also seeing...

DXY00 : 97.534 (+0.06%)
GCQ25 : 3,315.4 (-0.82%)
SIU25 : 36.830 (-0.20%)
^USDJPY : 146.720 (+0.44%)
^EURUSD : 1.17237 (+0.13%)

Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Sell Signal with a Soft Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 3,410.8
2nd Resistance Point 3,381.9
1st Resistance Point 3,362.3
Last Price 3,316.2
1st Support Level 3,313.8
2nd Support Level 3,284.9
3rd Support Level 3,265.3

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52-Week High 3,539.3
Last Price 3,316.2
Fibonacci 61.8% 3,133.7
Fibonacci 50% 3,008.4
Fibonacci 38.2% 2,883.0
52-Week Low 2,477.4

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