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White Sugar #5 Dec '19 (SWZ19)

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White Sugar #5 Futures Market News and Commentary

Sugar Prices Rebound on Higher Crude Prices and Strength in the Brazilian Real

Oct NY world sugar #11 (SBV19) this morning is up by +0.08 (+0.70%), and Oct ICE London white sugar #5 (SWV19) is up by +1.20 (+0.39%). Sugar prices are moving higher today on strength in crude prices and the Brazilian real. Higher crude prices benefit ethanol prices and may prompt Brazil's sugar mills to divert more cane crushing toward ethanol production rather than sugar production, thus reducing sugar supplies. A stronger real discourages export selling by Brazil's sugar producers. Sugar prices fell to 1-1/2 week lows Tuesday on the outlook for robust sugar production in India, the world's second-largest sugar producer. Researcher Marex Spectron said Monday that beneficial weather could boost India 2019/20 sugar production to 30 MMT, which would be 6% higher than the 28.2 MMT estimate from the Indian Sugar Mills Association. Ample monsoon rains in India should benefit India's sugar crop after India's Meteorological Department on Aug 8 said India's July monsoon rains were 298.4 mm, 4.6% more than the long-term average. A bullish factor for sugar was last Wednesday's report from Citigroup predicting a supply tightening to a 2019/20 global sugar deficit of -7.2 MMT from a 2018/19 surplus of +2.5 MMT. Sugar has support from Unica data on Aug 5 that showed sugar production in Brazil's Center-South region in the second half of July fell by -5.5% y/y to 2.478 MMT, with cumulative production in the 2019-20 marketing year through July falling -9.9% y/y to 13.334 MMT. Another positive for sugar was the action by India's cabinet on July 24 to create a buffer stock of 4 million MT of sugar for 1-year starting Aug 1 in an attempt to lock up supply and support domestic sugar prices.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
White Sugar #5
Contract Size
50 metric tonnes
Tick Size
10 cents per metric tonne ($5.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:45a.m. - 6:30p.m. GMT
Exchange
ICE
Point Value
$50
Expiration Date
11/15/19 (86 days)

Seasonal Chart

White Sugar #5 Dec '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
317.30 +0.85%
on 08/07/19
336.30 -4.85%
on 07/30/19
-6.40 (-1.96%)
since 07/19/19
3-Month
317.30 +0.85%
on 08/07/19
354.70 -9.78%
on 06/14/19
-20.80 (-6.10%)
since 05/21/19
52-Week
317.30 +0.85%
on 08/07/19
392.40 -18.45%
on 10/24/18
-12.20 (-3.67%)
since 08/21/18

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Most Recent Stories

More News
Sugar Prices Rebound on Higher Crude Prices and Strength in the Brazilian Real

Oct NY world sugar #11 (SBV19) this morning is up by +0.08 (+0.70%), and Oct ICE London white sugar #5 (SWV19) is up by +1.20 (+0.39%). Sugar prices are moving higher today on strength in crude prices...

Coffee Prices Move Higher on Strength in the Brazilian Real

Sep arabica coffee (KCU19) this morning is up +1.65 (+1.80%), and Sep ICE robusta coffee (RMU19) is up +5 (+0.39%). Coffee prices are higher today as strength in the Brazilian real against the dollar has...

Cocoa Prices Consolidate Recent Losses

Dec ICE NY cocoa (CCU19) this morning is up +13 (+0.60%), and Dec ICE London cocoa #7 (CAU19) is up +6 (+0.35%). Cocoa prices are higher today as they consolidate recent losses. Dec NY cocoa on Tuesday...

Cotton Market Down Despite Lower Condition Ratings

Cotton futures are 20 to 52 points lower this morning. Monday’s Crop Progress report indicated 32% of the bolls in TX opening as of Sunday, compared to the 15% average. In GA, 22% of the crop had bolls...

Softs Report 08/21/19

COTTON General Comments: Cotton was mixed in moderate to slow trading. News that the US and China were talking again helped support better demand [...]

Cotton Mixed at the Close

Cotton futures closed anywhere from up 58 points in October to 17 points lower in December. The US dollar index hit the highest level since August 1, but closed lower on the day. Monday’s Crop Progress...

Livestock report

Live cattle strong, Feeders wilt after strong gains, Hogs consolidating

Sugar Prices Fall to 1-1/2 Week Low on the Outlook for Robust India Sugar Output

Oct NY world sugar #11 (SBV19) on Tuesday closed down by -0.03 (-0.26%), and Oct ICE London white sugar #5 (SWV19) closed down by -1.30 (-0.42%). Sugar prices fell to 1-1/2 week lows Tuesday on the outlook...

Coffee Closes Higher on the Outlook for Adverse Weather in Brazil

Sep arabica coffee (KCU19) on Tuesday closed up +0.30 (+0.33%), and Sep ICE robusta coffee (RMU19) closed up +5 (+0.39%). Coffee prices erased early losses Tuesday and closed higher on short-covering after...

Cocoa Prices Close Lower on the Outlook for a Record Ivory Coast Cocoa Crop

Dec ICE NY cocoa (CCU19) on Tuesday closed down -17 (-0.78%), and Dec ICE London cocoa #7 (CAU19) closed down -19 (-1.11%). Cocoa prices retreated Tuesday with Dec NY cocoa at aa 8-1/4 month low and Dec...

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 96% Sell with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Strong. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is approaching oversold territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 323.20
1st Resistance Point 321.00
Last Price 319.60
1st Support Level 317.60
2nd Support Level 316.40

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52-Week High 392.40
Fibonacci 61.8% 363.71
Fibonacci 50% 354.85
Fibonacci 38.2% 345.99
Last Price 319.60
52-Week Low 317.30

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InsideFutures Commentary

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