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Natural Gas Jun '19 (NGM19)

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Natural Gas Futures Market News and Commentary

Natural Gas Falls Back from a 1-1/2 Week High on Forecasts for Warmer Weather in the Central U.S.

Nov Nymex natural gas (NGX19) on Wednesday closed down -0.36 (-1.54%). Nov nat-gas prices erased an early rally Wednesday as they retreated from a 1-1/2 week high and closed lower after an updated weather forecast from the Global Forecast System turned temperatures warmer in the central U.S. during Oct 26-30. Nat-gas prices had earlier moved higher in the past several days and posted a 1-1/2 week high early Wednesday on forecasts for widespread cold weather across the central U.S., which would boost nat-gas demand for heat. The Commodity Weather Group on Wednesday projected colder-than-normal temperatures for the U.S. Midwest during Oct 26-30. Maxar on Tuesday said it expects below-normal temperatures across most of the eastern two-thirds of the U.S. during Oct 25-29. Money managers have record high net short positions for this time of year in seven gas contracts in data going back to 2014, which provides some fuel for a potential short-covering rally. High U.S. nat-gas production continues to be a bearish factor with lower-48 nat-gas production Wednesday up +8.1% y/y at 93.101 bcf/d. Strong U.S. nat-gas output has caused U.S. nat-gas inventories to rise sharply in recent months to the current level of +14.5% y/y from -22.3% y/y in March. Another negative for nat-gas prices is the consensus for this Thursday's weekly EIA nat-gas inventories to climb by 108 bcf, well above the 5-year average for this time of year of 81 bcf. Last Thursday's +98 bcf increase in nat-gas supplies pushed nat-gas inventories up to a 1-3/4 year high of 3,415 bcf the week of Oct 4. Inventories are up +15.5% y/y but are still -0.3% below the 5-year average.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Natural Gas
Contract Size
10,000 MMBtu (million British thermal units)
Tick Size
0.001 per MMBtu ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:00a.m. - 1:30p.m.) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$10,000
Margin/Maintenance
$2,200/2,000
First Notice Date
05/30/19
Expiration Date
05/29/19 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Natural Gas Jun '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jun Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Oct 8, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
586,146 (+32,781)
457,689 (-9,405)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
179,292 (-2,280)
339,294 (+39,174)
Producers - Long / Short
211,844 (-9,442)
221,740 (-17,552)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
236,485 (+21,737)
98,132 (-12,339)
Managed Money - Long / Short
105,689 (-6,716)
275,194 (+42,458)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
73,603 (+4,436)
64,100 (-3,284)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
2.514 +4.73%
on 05/07/19
2.700 -2.48%
on 05/20/19
+0.040 (+1.54%)
since 04/29/19
3-Month
2.477 +6.30%
on 04/25/19
2.941 -10.47%
on 03/19/19
-0.230 (-8.03%)
since 02/28/19
52-Week
2.477 +6.30%
on 04/25/19
2.941 -10.47%
on 03/19/19
-0.018 (-0.68%)
since 05/25/18

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Most Recent Stories

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Natural Gas Falls Back from a 1-1/2 Week High on Forecasts for Warmer Weather in the Central U.S.

Nov Nymex natural gas (NGX19) on Wednesday closed down -0.36 (-1.54%). Nov nat-gas prices erased an early rally Wednesday as they retreated from a 1-1/2 week high and closed lower after an updated weather...

Energy Complex Closes Higher on a Fall in the Dollar Index to a 1-Month Low

Nov WTI crude oil (CLX19) on Wednesday closed up by +0.55 (+1.04%), Dec Brent crude oil (CBZ19) closed up +0.68 (+1.16%), and Nov RBOB gasoline (RBX19) closed up +0.0104 (+0.64%). The energy complex moved...

Natural Gas Rallies for Below-Normal U.S. Temps Through End-October

Nov Nymex natural gas (NGX19) this morning is up +0.10 (+0.43%). Nov nat-gas prices rallied for a third day today and posted a 1-1/2 week high on forecasts for widespread cold weather across the central...

Energy Complex Climbs on a Fall in the Dollar Index to a 1-Month Low

Nov WTI crude oil (CLX19) this morning is up by +0.62 (+1.17%), Dec Brent crude oil (CBZ19) is up +0.64 (+1.09%), and Nov RBOB gasoline (RBX19) is up +0.0102 (+0.63%). The energy complex is moving higher...

Whispers. The Energy Report 10/16/19

The oil market is struggling as the whisper number on weekly oil inventories are seeming to get bigger. Tonight we get the American Petroleum Institute [...]

Upside Bias = Upside Day

Yesterday the markets migrated higher based on fundamentals of market correlation. Will this continue today? Read on to learn more...

Natural Gas (NG) Daily MACD Trying to Positively Cross Ahead of Storage

Natural Gas (NG) soared over 2.5% yesterday on the continuous contract, and has arguably broken above a 2 week plus downtrend resistance line (on the 4hr chart). Significantly, NG is trying to form its...

Natural Gas Settles Higher on Forecasts for Below-Normal Temps in the Central U.S.

Nov Nymex natural gas (NGX19) on Tuesday closed up +0.59 (+2.59%). Nov nat-gas prices rallied for a second day Tuesday and posted a 1-week high on forecasts for widespread cold weather across the central...

Energy Complex Settles Mixed as Global Demand Picture Remains Murky

Nov WTI crude oil (CLX19) on Tuesday closed down by -0.78 (-1.46%), Dec Brent crude oil (CBZ19) closed down -0.61 (-1.03%), and Nov RBOB gasoline (RBX19) closed up +0.0012 (+0.07%). The energy complex...

Midday Market Minute

Stocks are surging on strong earnings, data and Brexit hopes. Crude Oil is battling off session lows following a better risk enviornment and Gold is doing just the opposite. Let's talk the tradable...

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 40% Sell with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Average. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 2.682
1st Resistance Point 2.657
Last Price 2.633s
1st Support Level 2.594
2nd Support Level 2.556

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52-Week High 2.941
Fibonacci 61.8% 2.764
Fibonacci 50% 2.709
Fibonacci 38.2% 2.654
Last Price 2.633s
52-Week Low 2.477

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InsideFutures Commentary

InsideFutures is a twice weekly newsletter that features a selection of the latest and best commodities commentary appearing on Barchart.com. Delivered every Wednesday and Friday morning to your inbox.

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