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Gold Dec '17 (GCZ17)

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Gold Futures Market News and Commentary

Precious Metals Settle Higher as Trade Tensions Undercut Stocks

Dec Comex gold (GCZ19) on Tuesday closed up +4.1 (+0.27%), and Sep silver (SIU19) closed up +0.208 (+1.23%). Metals prices moved higher Tuesday after increased trade tensions undercut stocks and boosted safe-haven demand for precious metals. Trade tensions rose after U.S. Secretary of State Pompeo said Tuesday that Huawei Technologies is not the only Chinese company that poses risks to the U.S. The yuan fell -0.14% Tuesday to 7.0605 yuan/USD, near last Tuesday's 11-1/4 year low of 7.0726 yuan/USD. Another positive for gold was Brexit concern after the EU on Tuesday rejected UK Prime Minister Johnson's demand to remove the Irish border backstop from the Brexit withdrawal agreement, thus increasing the chances of a no-deal Brexit on the Oct 31 deadline. Tuesday's economic data was mixed for metals. Eurozone June construction output rose by only +1.0% y/y, the slowest pace of increase in 5 months, which was dovish for ECB policy. However, the German July PPI rose +0.1% m/m and +1.1% y/y, slightly stronger than expectations of unch m/m and +1.0% y/y, which was slightly hawkish for ECB policy. Ongoing trade and geopolitical tensions, along with dovish central bank expectations, have sparked fund buying of precious metals as long gold positions in ETFs rose to a 6-1/4 year high Monday and long silver positions in ETFs rose to a new record high Monday.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Gold 100-oz
Contract Size
100 fine troy ounces
Tick Size
0.10 (10 cents) per troy ounce ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 7:20a.m. - 12:30p.m.) (Settles 12:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
COMEX
Point Value
$100
Margin/Maintenance
$4,950/4,500
First Notice Date
11/30/17
Expiration Date
12/27/17 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Gold Dec '17
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Aug 13, 2019

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Commercials - Long / Short
136,823 (-187)
460,550 (-785)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
346,223 (-4,335)
56,133 (-1,880)
Producers - Long / Short
20,942 (-635)
159,798 (-1,109)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
96,263 (-1,371)
281,134 (-1,495)
Managed Money - Long / Short
245,631 (-3,056)
22,020 (+166)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
100,592 (-1,279)
34,113 (-2,046)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1,236.5 +4.08%
on 12/12/17
1,297.0 -0.77%
on 11/28/17
-7.4 (-0.57%)
since 11/27/17
3-Month
1,236.5 +4.08%
on 12/12/17
1,308.4 -1.64%
on 10/16/17
-0.8 (-0.06%)
since 09/27/17
52-Week
1,152.0 +11.72%
on 12/28/16
1,362.4 -5.53%
on 09/08/17
+134.0 (+11.62%)
since 12/27/16

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 8% Buy with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak.

The market is in highly overbought territory. Beware of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 1,289.0
1st Resistance Point 1,288.0
Last Price 1,287.0s
1st Support Level 1,285.0
2nd Support Level 1,283.0

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52-Week High 1,362.4
Last Price 1,287.0s
Fibonacci 61.8% 1,282.0
Fibonacci 50% 1,257.2
Fibonacci 38.2% 1,232.4
52-Week Low 1,152.0

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InsideFutures Commentary

InsideFutures is a twice weekly newsletter that features a selection of the latest and best commodities commentary appearing on Barchart.com. Delivered every Wednesday and Friday morning to your inbox.

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