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Crude Oil WTI Feb '13 (CLG13)

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cmdty Insider - Crude Oil WTI Market Commentary


Dec WTI crude oil (CLZ18) this morning is up +$0.25 (+0.44%) per barrel and Jan Brent crude (CBF19) is up +$0.56 (+0.87%). Dec RBOB gasoline (RBZ18) is up +0.20 cents a gallon (+0.12%). Crude prices are higher this morning on signs of stronger U.S. energy demand after economic data showed that U.S. Oct retail sales rose more than expected by +0.8% m/m. Crude oil still has carry-over support from increased talk about OPEC+ production cuts in 2019. Reuters reported Wednesday that that OPEC+ is considering a reduction in crude output by -1.4 million bpd in 2019, more than the -1.0 million bpd cut that was discussed over the weekend in Abu Dhabi. Gains were limited by dollar strength this morning and after Wednesday afternoon's API data showed U.S. crude stockpiles rose +8.8 million bbl last week. Today's weekly EIA report is expected to show U.S. oil inventories rose +3.0 million bbl, the eighth consecutive weekly increase. U.S. crude oil inventories are currently 3.1% above the 5-year seasonal average, the highest such level since February.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Crude Oil West Texas Intermediate
Contract Size
1,000 U.S. barrels (42,000 gallons)
Tick Size
1 cent per barrel ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:00a.m. - 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$1,000
Margin/Maintenance
$3,410/3,100
First Notice Date
01/24/13
Expiration Date
01/22/13 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Crude Oil WTI Feb '13
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Feb Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Nov 6, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
771,639 (+25,142)
1,218,250 (+4,682)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
554,562 (-11,109)
150,779 (+17,746)
Producers - Long / Short
434,452 (+11,956)
439,192 (+15,718)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
160,976 (-6,548)
602,847 (-30,770)
Managed Money - Long / Short
241,906 (-13,332)
93,737 (+25,009)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
312,656 (+2,223)
57,042 (-7,263)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
88.20 +9.12%
on 12/24/12
96.40 -0.17%
on 01/22/13
+7.58 (+8.55%)
since 12/21/12
3-Month
85.16 +13.01%
on 11/07/12
96.40 -0.17%
on 01/22/13
+6.54 (+7.29%)
since 10/22/12

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 80% Buy with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Maximum. Long term indicators mostly agree with the trend.

The market is in highly overbought territory. Beware of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 97.29
1st Resistance Point 96.77
Last Price 96.24s
1st Support Level 95.35
2nd Support Level 94.45

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52-Week High 109.50
Fibonacci 61.8% 98.25
Last Price 96.24s
Fibonacci 50% 94.78
Fibonacci 38.2% 91.31
52-Week Low 80.06

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