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Gold Feb '19 (GCG19)

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Gold Futures Market News and Commentary

Gold and Silver Market News and Commentary

Feb Comex gold (GCG19) this morning is down -4.6 (-0.36%) and March silver is down -0.040 (-0.26%). A rally in stocks this morning has undercut precious metals prices on reduced safe-haven demand. Also, speculation that the UK Parliament is moving closer to a plan to delay the March deadline for Brexit has boosted GBP/USD to a 2-1/4 month high and curbed safe-haven demand for precious metals. Fund selling of silver continues as long silver positions in ETFs dropped to a new 2-3/4 year low on Tuesday. Gold prices also took a hit after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) cut its 2018 CPI forecast to 0.8% from 0.9% and cut its 2019 CPI forecast to 0.9% from a previous estimate of 1.4%, which is negative for gold demand as an inflation hedge. On the positive side today is a weaker dollar. Global geopolitical concerns and stock market volatility have fueled demand for gold as a store of wealth after long gold positions in ETFs rose to a 5-3/4 year high last Friday.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Gold 100-oz
Contract Size
100 fine troy ounces
Tick Size
0.10 (10 cents) per troy ounce ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 7:20a.m. - 12:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
COMEX
Point Value
$100
Margin/Maintenance
$3,740/3,400
First Notice Date
01/31/19 (8 days)
Expiration Date
02/26/19 (34 days)

Seasonal Chart

Gold Feb '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Feb Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Dec 18, 2018

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
132,148 (-2,137)
224,823 (+13,170)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
182,168 (+12,568)
106,208 (-2,893)
Producers - Long / Short
18,531 (-405)
78,969 (-4,147)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
93,951 (-1,581)
126,188 (+17,468)
Managed Money - Long / Short
100,828 (+10,886)
89,630 (-378)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
81,340 (+1,682)
16,578 (-2,515)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1,260.0 +1.89%
on 12/24/18
1,300.4 -1.28%
on 01/04/19
+25.7 (+2.04%)
since 12/21/18
3-Month
1,202.4 +6.77%
on 11/13/18
1,300.4 -1.28%
on 01/04/19
+40.9 (+3.29%)
since 10/23/18
52-Week
1,173.2 +9.43%
on 08/16/18
1,398.2 -8.18%
on 01/25/18
-85.1 (-6.22%)
since 01/23/18

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The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 16% Buy with a Weakest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 1,290.5
1st Resistance Point 1,286.9
Last Price 1,283.2
1st Support Level 1,277.9
2nd Support Level 1,272.5

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52-Week High 1,398.2
Fibonacci 61.8% 1,312.3
Fibonacci 50% 1,285.7
Last Price 1,283.2
Fibonacci 38.2% 1,259.1
52-Week Low 1,173.2

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InsideFutures Commentary

InsideFutures is a twice weekly newsletter that features a selection of the latest and best commodities commentary appearing on Barchart.com. Delivered every Wednesday and Friday morning to your inbox.

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