U.S. Dollar Index Futures Market News and Commentary
The dollar index (DXY00) on Tuesday rose +0.156 (+0.16%). September euro-fx futures (E6U9) closed down -0.0028 (-0.24%), and EUR/USD (^EURUSD) fell -0.0024 (-0.21%). September yen futures (J6U9) closed up +0.15 (+0.16%) at a 5-1/2 month high, and USD/JPY (^USDJPY) fell -0.17 (-0.16%) to a 5-1/2 month low. The dollar index on Tuesday recovered from a new 3-month low and moved higher on comments from St. Louis Fed President Bullard who said it might be time for a rate cut but "the economic situation does not call for a 50 bp rate cut." Also, EUR/USD fell back from a 3-month high Tuesday and moved lower after the 10-year German bund yield tumbled to a new record low of -0.335%, which weakened the euro's interest rate differentials. Tuesday's U.S. economic news was mostly dollar negative after May new home sales unexpectedly fell -7.8% to a 5-month low of 626,000 (weaker than expectations of +1.6% to 684,000) and the Conference Board's U.S. Jun consumer confidence fell -9.8 to a 1-3/4 year low of 121.5 (weaker than expectations of -3.1 to 131.0). Also, simmering U.S./Iran tensions have boosted the safe-haven demand for the yen and sent USD/JPY down to a new 5-1/2 month low after Iran on Tuesday said that new sanctions by the U.S. on Iran have closed off any diplomatic solution. The dollar remains under pressure on speculation the Fed will move to cut interest rates as soon as July, faster than other global central banks will move.