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Natural Gas Jan '26 (NGF26)

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Natural Gas Futures Market News and Commentary

Nat-Gas Prices Climb on Colder US Weather Forecasts

March Nymex natural gas (NGH26) on Friday closed up by +0.051 (+1.70%).

March nat-gas prices on Friday settled higher on a shift in US weather forecasts to colder temperatures, potentially boosting heating demand for nat-gas.  On Friday, the Commodity Weather Group said that forecasts shifted colder, with below-normal temperatures expected across the US Midwest through February 24.  

US (lower-48) dry gas production on Friday was 113.4 bcf/day (+12.5% y/y), according to BNEF.  Lower-48 state gas demand on Friday was 91.6 bcf/day (-30.3% y/y), according to BNEF.  Estimated LNG net flows to US LNG export terminals on Friday were 19.8 bcf/day (+1.5% w/w), according to BNEF.

Projections for higher US nat-gas production are bearish for prices.  Last Tuesday, the EIA raised its forecast for 2026 US dry nat-gas production to 109.97 bcf/day from last month's estimate of 108.82 bcf/day.  US nat-gas production is currently near a record high, with active US nat-gas rigs post... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Natural Gas
Contract Size
10,000 MMBtu (million British thermal units)
Tick Size
0.001 per MMBtu ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:00a.m. - 1:30p.m.) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$10,000
Margin/Maintenance
$5,349/4,863
First Notice Date
12/30/25
Expiration Date
12/29/25 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Natural Gas Jan '26
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jan Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Feb 17, 2026

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
615,910 (+15,715)
441,112 (+359)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
205,853 (-2,395)
391,665 (+11,552)
Producers - Long / Short
288,953 (+7,217)
253,259 (-861)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
187,642 (+7,846)
48,538 (+568)
Managed Money - Long / Short
163,115 (-468)
189,880 (+18,109)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
42,738 (-1,927)
201,785 (-6,557)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
3.797 +23.44%
on 12/22/25
5.496 -14.72%
on 12/05/25
-0.163 (-3.36%)
since 11/28/25
3-Month
3.797 +23.44%
on 12/22/25
5.496 -14.72%
on 12/05/25
+0.497 (+11.86%)
since 09/29/25
52-Week
3.797 +23.44%
on 12/22/25
5.992 -21.78%
on 03/10/25
+0.119 (+2.61%)
since 12/27/24

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Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Sell Signal with a Average Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 5.192
2nd Resistance Point 4.956
1st Resistance Point 4.822
Last Price 4.687s
1st Support Level 4.452
2nd Support Level 4.216
3rd Support Level 4.082

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52-Week High 5.992
Fibonacci 61.8% 5.154
Fibonacci 50% 4.894
Last Price 4.687s
Fibonacci 38.2% 4.635
52-Week Low 3.797

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