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New Zealand Dollar Mar '25 (N6H25)

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New Zealand Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Gains on Reduced Fed Rate Cut Expectations

The dollar index (DXY00) today is up by +0.05%.  The dollar is climbing with T-note yields today after the hawkish US Jan payroll report reduced the chances to 8% from 16% for a Fed rate cut at next month’s FOMC meeting.  Despite Jan nonfarm payrolls climbing less than expected, Dec payrolls were revised higher, and the Jan unemployment rate fell to an 8-month low, while Jan average hourly earnings rose more than expected, hawkish factors for Fed policy. The dollar also garnered support on Thursday night’s comments from Dallas Fed President Logan, who said she’s skeptical about additional Fed interest rate cuts. 

However, the dollar fell back from its best levels today after the University of Michigan US Feb consumer sentiment index unexpectedly fell to a 7-month low.

US Jan nonfarm payrolls rose +143,000, weaker than expectations of +175,000, but Dec was revised upward to +307,000 from the previously reported +256,000.  The Jan unemployment rate unexpectedly fell -0.1 t... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
New Zealand Dollar
Contract Size
NZD 100,000
Tick Size
0.00005 points ($5.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (Settles 2:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$100,000
Margin/Maintenance
$1,430/1,300
First Notice Date
03/17/25 (38 days)
Expiration Date
03/17/25 (38 days)

Seasonal Chart

New Zealand Dollar Mar '25
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jan 28, 2025

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
72,468 (-5,308)
22,817 (-1,118)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
7,898 (-1,040)
54,929 (-5,232)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
58,569 (-2,589)
3,405 (+633)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
12,358 (-1,126)
49,074 (-4,453)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
5,309 (-3,179)
23,244 (+1,015)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
3,295 (+550)
1,188 (-3,541)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
0.55195 +2.58%
on 02/03/25
0.57270 -1.13%
on 01/24/25
+0.00175 (+0.31%)
since 01/07/25
3-Month
0.55195 +2.58%
on 02/03/25
0.60325 -6.14%
on 11/08/24
-0.03645 (-6.05%)
since 11/07/24
52-Week
0.55195 +2.58%
on 02/03/25
0.63755 -11.19%
on 09/30/24
-0.04230 (-6.95%)
since 02/07/24

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Dollar Gains on Reduced Fed Rate Cut Expectations

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is up by +0.05%. The dollar is climbing with T-note yields today after the hawkish US Jan payroll report reduced the chances to 8% from 16% for a Fed rate cut at next month’s...

DXY00 : 108.037 (+0.32%)
GCJ25 : 2,886.6 (+0.34%)
SIH25 : 32.240 (-1.18%)
^USDJPY : 151.319 (-0.09%)
^EURUSD : 1.03333 (-0.48%)
Dollar Slightly Higher as T-Note Yields Climb

The dollar index (DXY00 ) Thursday rose by +0.07%. The dollar on Thursday rose modestly after US Q1 nonfarm productivity rose as expected. Also, higher T-note yields on Thursday were favorable for the...

DXY00 : 108.037 (+0.32%)
GCJ25 : 2,886.6 (+0.34%)
SIH25 : 32.240 (-1.18%)
^USDJPY : 151.319 (-0.09%)
^EURUSD : 1.03333 (-0.48%)
Which Way is the Dollar Index Heading?

The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency against the other world reserve currencies, broke out to the upside after the early November U.S. election. However, it ran out of upside steam at the...

$DXY : 108.04 (+0.32%)
UUP : 29.44 (+0.48%)
UDN : 16.86 (-0.30%)
Dollar Firms on Higher T-Note Yields

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is up by +0.29%. The dollar today is higher on some mild short covering after two days of losses. The dollar also garnered some support after US Q1 nonfarm productivity...

DXY00 : 108.037 (+0.32%)
GCJ25 : 2,886.6 (+0.34%)
SIH25 : 32.240 (-1.18%)
^USDJPY : 151.319 (-0.09%)
^EURUSD : 1.03333 (-0.48%)
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What Will It Be Today that Moves Markets?

Markets are still relearning not to move on every statement or action from the US administration, but hearing into Thursday's session volatility is expected to stay high.

$DXY : 108.04 (+0.32%)
ZCH25 : 487-4s (-1.56%)
ZSH25 : 1049-4s (-1.04%)
Dollar Falls and Gold Rallies as Bond Yields Tumble

The dollar index (DXY00 ) Wednesday fell by -0.30% and posted a 1-week low. The dollar added to Tuesday's sharp losses Wednesday after the 10-year T-note yield dropped to a 7-week low. Also, stronger-than-expected...

DXY00 : 108.037 (+0.32%)
GCJ25 : 2,886.6 (+0.34%)
SIH25 : 32.240 (-1.18%)
^USDJPY : 151.319 (-0.09%)
^EURUSD : 1.03333 (-0.48%)
Dollar Tumbles as Bond Yields Slide and the Yen Strengthens

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is down by -0.50% at a 1-week low. The dollar added to Tuesday's sharp losses today after the 10-year T-note yield dropped to a 7-week low. Also, stronger-than-expected...

DXY00 : 108.037 (+0.32%)
GCJ25 : 2,886.6 (+0.34%)
SIH25 : 32.240 (-1.18%)
^USDJPY : 151.319 (-0.09%)
^EURUSD : 1.03333 (-0.48%)

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 56% Sell with a Average short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 0.57337
2nd Resistance Point 0.57138
1st Resistance Point 0.56947
Last Price 0.56620
1st Support Level 0.56557
2nd Support Level 0.56358
3rd Support Level 0.56167

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52-Week High 0.63755
Fibonacci 61.8% 0.60485
Fibonacci 50% 0.59475
Fibonacci 38.2% 0.58465
Last Price 0.56620
52-Week Low 0.55195

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