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Lean Hogs Pit Jul '15 (LHN15)

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Lean Hogs (Pit) Futures Market News and Commentary

Hogs Fall Lower into the Weekend

Lean hog futures posted Friday losses of 30 cents to $2.80, led by July, as June was down $1.55 this week. USDA’s national base hog price was reported at $93.85 on Friday PM, down $1.81 from the day prior. The CME Lean Hog Index was up 26 cents on June 3 at $92.51.

The weekly Commitment of Traders report from CFTC showed managed money in lean hog futures and options at their first net short position in nearly two years of 6,551 contracts, a flip of 19,536 contracts to the short side on that week.

USDA’s pork carcass cutout value from the Friday morning report was $3.05 at $101.18 per cwt. The belly was the only primal reported lower. USDA estimated federally inspected hog slaughter for this week at 2.428 million head. That is up 75,193 head from the same week last year.

Jun 26 Hogs  closed at $94.300, down $1.000,

Jul 26 Hogs  closed at $98.800, down $2.800

Aug 26 Hogs  closed at $97.225, down $2.050,

On the date of publication, Austin Sch... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Lean Hogs [Pit]
Contract Size
40,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.00025 per pound ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:30a.m. - 1:02p.m. CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$400
Margin/Maintenance
$1,320/1,200
First Notice Date
07/15/15
Expiration Date
07/15/15 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Lean Hogs Pit Jul '15
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Pit Contracts
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
73.600 +9.34%
on 06/22/15
80.475 unch
on 07/15/15
+3.275 (+4.24%)
since 06/15/15
3-Month
73.600 +9.34%
on 06/22/15
85.250 -5.60%
on 05/13/15
+3.275 (+4.24%)
since 04/15/15
52-Week
73.600 +9.34%
on 06/22/15
98.000 -17.88%
on 11/24/14
-13.725 (-14.57%)
since 07/15/14

More Lean Hogs (Pit) Quotes

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LEV26 : 234.125s (+0.14%)
LEQ26 : 241.650s (+0.05%)
LEM26 : 250.075s (+0.36%)
GFU26 : 350.825s (+0.21%)
GFQ26 : 353.900s (+0.15%)
GFV26 : 347.225s (+0.17%)
Hogs Fall Lower into the Weekend

Lean hog futures posted Friday losses of 30 cents to $2.80, led by July, as June was down $1.55 this week. USDA’s national base hog price was reported at $93.85 on Friday PM, down $1.81 from the day...

HEN26 : 98.800s (-2.76%)
HEM26 : 94.300s (-1.05%)
HEQ26 : 97.225s (-2.06%)
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Cattle Falling Back on Friday

Live cattle futures are mixed at midday, with contracts down 60 cents to 67 cents higher. Limits are expanded to $12.75 for today following the limit gains in feeders for Thursday. Cash trade has crept...

LEV26 : 234.125s (+0.14%)
LEQ26 : 241.650s (+0.05%)
LEM26 : 250.075s (+0.36%)
GFU26 : 350.825s (+0.21%)
GFQ26 : 353.900s (+0.15%)
GFV26 : 347.225s (+0.17%)
Hogs Falling Back on Friday

Lean hog futures are falling 97 cents to $2.62 at midday. USDA’s national base hog price was reported at $94.18 on Friday AM, down $1.46 from the day prior. The CME Lean Hog Index was up 26 cents on...

HEN26 : 98.800s (-2.76%)
HEM26 : 94.300s (-1.05%)
HEQ26 : 97.225s (-2.06%)
New World Screwworm Cases Could Create a Buying Opportunity in Hogs

August lean hog futures present a buying opportunity on more price strength.

HEQ26 : 97.225s (-2.06%)
New World Screwworm Case in Texas Rattles Cattle Markets. If Cattle Prices Collapse Further, It May Be the Media’s Fault.

My bias is that cattle futures trading will remain choppy and more volatile in the near term. However, I believe the NWS situation favors the cattle market bears over the intermediate to longer term.

LEQ26 : 241.650s (+0.05%)
GFQ26 : 353.900s (+0.15%)
LEQ26 : 241.650s (+0.05%)
GFQ26 : 353.900s (+0.15%)

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point N/A
2nd Resistance Point 80.475
1st Resistance Point 80.475
Last Price 80.475s
1st Support Level 80.475
2nd Support Level 80.475
3rd Support Level N/A

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52-Week High 98.000
Fibonacci 61.8% 88.679
Fibonacci 50% 85.800
Fibonacci 38.2% 82.921
Last Price 80.475s
52-Week Low 73.600

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