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Cotton #2 Jul '12 (CTN12) ICEUS

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3-Month Performance
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
67.70 +4.64%
on 06/28/12
89.48 -20.83%
on 06/20/12
-2.06 (-2.83%)
since 06/08/12
66.10 +7.17%
on 06/04/12
92.86 -23.71%
on 04/24/12
-18.46 (-20.67%)
since 04/09/12

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Brugler report

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Cotton futures posted small gains on Friday, but Dec16 ended the week 67 points lower than a week ago. Crude oil futures added another 62 cents/barrel to the January '17 contract to settle Friday trade at $51.68/barrel; up $5.62/barrel on the week. The US dollar was weaker again on Friday and finished the week about 830 points lower. The US unemployment rate dropped to 4.6%, the lowest since 2007. However, several people quit looking for work, with the labor participation rate dropping. Job growth continues to be positive, and this number reinforces ideas the Fed will hike short term interest rates next week. Chinese futures at Zhengzhou were lower by triple digits on Friday. The AWP is 60.66 for the coming week. Managed money accounts collectively added another 2,921 contracts to their net long position during the week ending November 29. The data shows them with their largest net long position ever reported in cotton futures and options. Dec 16 Cotton settled at 71.980, up 18 points, Mar 17 Cotton settled at 71.040, up 14 points May 17 Cotton settled at 71.530, up 19 points Jul 17 Cotton settled at 71.540, up 25 points

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 72% Sell with a Average short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Strong. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is approaching oversold territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.

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Contract Specifications

Barchart Symbol CT
Contract Cotton #2
Exchange Symbol CT
Exchange ICEUS
Point Value $500
Tick Size 0.01 cents per pound ($5.00 per contract)
Margin/Maintenance $1,980/1,800

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Support & Resistance

2nd Resistance Point 70.84
1st Resistance Point 70.84
Last Price 70.84s
1st Support Level 70.84
2nd Support Level 70.84

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