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Crude Oil WTI Mar '19 (CLH19)

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Crude Oil WTI Futures Market News and Commentary

Crude and Gasoline Market News and Commentary

Mar WTI crude oil (CLG19) this morning is up +$0.45 (+0.83%) per barrel and Apr Brent crude (CBJ19) is up +$0.55 (+0.85%). Mar RBOB gasoline (RBH19) is up +1.50 cents per gallon (+0.99%). The energy complex is higher for a fourth day today with Mar WTI crude at a 1-week high and Apr Brent crude and Mar RBOB gasoline at 2-3/4 month highs. The report of progress in trade talks between China and the U.S. is positive for the economic outlook and energy demand and pushed energy prices higher this morning after Chinese President Xi Jinping said the trade talks will continue next week. Also, an increase in the crack spread to a 1-1/2 month high this morning is positive for energy prices as it encourages refiners to purchase crude to refine into gasoline. In addition, signs of U.S. economic strength gave the energy complex a lift after the Feb Empire manufacturing index rose +4.9 to 8.8, stronger than expectations of +3.1 to 7.0. Energy prices have seen support this week on the prospects for lower global crude production. Russian Energy Minister Novak said on Thursday that Russia is accelerating its crude production cuts and has curbed output by about 140,000 bpd since December to 11.3 million bpd. Also, Saudi Energy Minister Khalid Al-Falih on Tuesday said that Saudi Arabia will cut its crude production to 9.8 million bpd next month, the lowest in 11 months and well below the 10.3 million bpd output target agreed in the OPEC+ deal. On the negative side is this morning's rally in the dollar index to a 1-3/4 month high.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Crude Oil West Texas Intermediate
Contract Size
1,000 U.S. barrels (42,000 gallons)
Tick Size
1 cent per barrel ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:00a.m. - 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$1,000
Margin/Maintenance
$4,290/3,900
First Notice Date
02/22/19 (7 days)
Expiration Date
02/20/19 (5 days)

Seasonal Chart

Crude Oil WTI Mar '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jan 15, 2019

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Commercials - Long / Short
811,898 (-8,430)
1,121,322 (+25,719)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
498,357 (-359)
191,432 (-30,073)
Producers - Long / Short
469,416 (-23,478)
500,125 (+17,218)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
157,324 (+6,390)
436,039 (-157)
Managed Money - Long / Short
204,610 (+2,202)
108,148 (-34,561)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
293,747 (-2,561)
83,284 (+4,488)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
51.23 +7.96%
on 02/11/19
55.75 -0.79%
on 02/04/19
+2.92 (+5.57%)
since 01/15/19
3-Month
42.67 +29.62%
on 12/24/18
58.55 -5.53%
on 11/16/18
-1.79 (-3.13%)
since 11/15/18
52-Week
42.67 +29.62%
on 12/24/18
76.29 -27.50%
on 10/03/18
-0.78 (-1.39%)
since 02/15/18

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 48% Buy with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak. Long term indicators are in flux.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 55.66
1st Resistance Point 55.03
Last Price 55.30
1st Support Level 53.43
2nd Support Level 52.46

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52-Week High 76.29
Fibonacci 61.8% 63.45
Fibonacci 50% 59.48
Fibonacci 38.2% 55.51
Last Price 55.30
52-Week Low 42.67

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InsideFutures Commentary

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