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Natural Gas May '21 (NGK21)

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Natural Gas Futures Market News and Commentary

Nat-Gas Prices Recover Early Losses on the Outlook for Warmer US Temps

October Nymex natural gas (NGV24) on Thursday closed up by +0.064 (+2.80%).

Oct nat-gas prices Thursday recovered from a 1-week low and closed moderately higher on forecasts for warmer US temperatures that will boost nat-gas demand from electricity providers to run air conditioning.  Short-covering emerged Thursday in nat-gas futures after NatGasWeather said warmer-than-normal temperatures are expected across most of the US from September 26-October 3.

Nat-gas prices Thursday initially fell to a 1-week low after weekly EIA inventories rose more than expected.  The EIA reported that nat-gas inventories rose +58 bcf for the week of September 13, above expectations of +56 bcf.

Lower-48 state dry gas production Thursday was 100 bcf/day (-1.3% y/y), according to BNEF.  Lower-48 state gas demand Thursday was 72.5 bcf/day (+11.7% y/y), according to BNEF.  LNG net flows to US LNG export terminals Thursday were 13 bcf/day (+3.8% w/w), according to BNEF.

An increase in... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Natural Gas
Contract Size
10,000 MMBtu (million British thermal units)
Tick Size
0.001 per MMBtu ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:00a.m. - 1:30p.m.) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$10,000
Margin/Maintenance
$3,048/2,771
First Notice Date
04/29/21
Expiration Date
04/28/21 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Natural Gas May '21
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior May Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Sep 10, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
583,226 (-17,513)
508,791 (-6,597)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
292,094 (-4,657)
379,699 (-17,345)
Producers - Long / Short
221,169 (-11,996)
279,609 (-5,467)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
175,067 (+1,349)
42,192 (+5,736)
Managed Money - Long / Short
217,922 (-1,891)
268,899 (-21,466)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
74,172 (-2,766)
110,800 (+4,121)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
2.453 +19.24%
on 04/06/21
2.936 -0.37%
on 04/28/21
+0.306 (+11.68%)
since 03/26/21
3-Month
2.453 +19.24%
on 04/06/21
3.060 -4.41%
on 02/18/21
+0.223 (+8.25%)
since 01/28/21
52-Week
2.352 +24.36%
on 12/28/20
3.060 -4.41%
on 02/18/21
+0.347 (+13.46%)
since 04/28/20

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Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Buy Signal with a Maximum Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 3.019
2nd Resistance Point 2.978
1st Resistance Point 2.951
Last Price 2.925s
1st Support Level 2.883
2nd Support Level 2.842
3rd Support Level 2.815

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52-Week High 3.060
Last Price 2.925s
Fibonacci 61.8% 2.790
Fibonacci 50% 2.706
Fibonacci 38.2% 2.622
52-Week Low 2.352

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