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Arabica Coffee 4/5 Jul '25 (XFN25)

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Arabica Coffee 4/5 Futures Market News and Commentary

Coffee Prices Retreat on the Outlook for Ample Supplies

March arabica coffee (KCH26) on Friday closed down -6.90 (-1.83%), and January ICE robusta coffee (RMF26) closed down -84 (-2.00%).

Coffee prices fell sharply on Friday, with robusta posting a 2.5-month low.  The outlook for ample coffee supplies is weighing on prices.  Last Thursday, Conab, Brazil's crop forecasting agency, raised its total Brazil 2025 coffee production estimate by 2.4% to 56.54 million bags, from a September estimate of 55.20 million bags.  

Robusta coffee remains under pressure amid concerns about abundant supplies.  Vietnam's National Statistics Office reported last Friday that Vietnam's Nov coffee exports jumped +39% y/y to 88,000 MT and that Jan-Nov coffee exports rose +14.8% y/y to 1.398 MMT.

Arabica coffee has support from Wednesday when exporter group Cecafe reported that Brazil's Nov green coffee exports fell -27% y/y to 3.3 million bags.  

Below-normal precipitation in Brazil is supportive of coffee prices.  Somar Meteorologia repo... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Arabica Coffee Type 4/5
Contract Size
100 bags weighting 60-net kilograms each
Tick Size
USD 0.05 per 60-net kilogram bag ($5.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
9:00a.m. - 4:00p.m. (4:30p.m. - 6:00p.m. after hours T+1)
Exchange
BM&F Bovespa
Point Value
$100
Expiration Date
07/23/25 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Arabica Coffee 4/5 Jul '25
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jul Contracts
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
346.10 +9.33%
on 07/07/25
460.00 -17.74%
on 06/30/25
-34.15 (-8.28%)
since 06/23/25
3-Month
346.10 +9.33%
on 07/07/25
518.00 -26.95%
on 04/28/25
-107.45 (-22.12%)
since 04/23/25
52-Week
265.90 +42.31%
on 08/05/24
518.00 -26.95%
on 04/28/25
+98.15 (+35.02%)
since 07/23/24

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CTK26 : 64.91s (-0.22%)
CTH26 : 63.83s (-0.22%)
CTZ24 : 71.40s (-1.37%)
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March NY world sugar #11 (SBH26 ) on Friday closed up +0.25 (+1.68%), and March London ICE white sugar #5 (SWH26 ) closed up +5.20 (+1.23%). Sugar prices settled sharply higher on Friday, with NY sugar...

SBH26 : 15.10s (+1.68%)
^USDBRL : 5.41880 (+0.19%)
SWH26 : 429.40s (+1.23%)
Cocoa Prices Settle Mixed on Currency Fluctuations

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DXY00 : 98.399s (+0.05%)
CCH26 : 6,279s (-0.14%)
CAH26 : 4,555s (+1.29%)
Coffee Prices Retreat on the Outlook for Ample Supplies

March arabica coffee (KCH26 ) on Friday closed down -6.90 (-1.83%), and January ICE robusta coffee (RMF26 ) closed down -84 (-2.00%). Coffee prices fell sharply on Friday, with robusta posting a 2.5-month...

RMH26 : 3,999s (-2.63%)
KCH26 : 369.30s (-1.83%)
Cotton Slipping at Friday’s Midday

Cotton futures are back to slightly weaker trade on Friday, with contracts down 2 to 5 points in the nearbys. Crude oil futures are up 5 cents per barrel at $57.64, with the US dollar index $0.21 lower...

CTK26 : 64.91s (-0.22%)
CTH26 : 63.83s (-0.22%)
CTZ24 : 71.40s (-1.37%)
Brazilian Real Strength Spurs Short Covering in Sugar Futures

March NY world sugar #11 (SBH26 ) today is up +0.22 (+1.48%), and March London ICE white sugar #5 (SWH26 ) is up +4.30 (+1.01%). Sugar prices are moving sharply higher today, with NY sugar posting a 2-week...

SBH26 : 15.10s (+1.68%)
SWH26 : 429.40s (+1.23%)
Cocoa Prices Consolidate Recent Gains

March ICE NY cocoa (CCH26 ) today is up +7 (+0.11%), and March ICE London cocoa #7 (CAH26 ) is up +68 (+0.51%). Cocoa prices are moving higher today, consolidating this week's gains. Cocoa prices rallied...

CCH26 : 6,279s (-0.14%)
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Coffee Prices Slip as Supply Concerns Ease

March arabica coffee (KCH26 ) today is down -7.50 (-1.99%), and January ICE robusta coffee (RMF26 ) is down -78 (-1.85%). Coffee prices are sharply lower today, with robusta falling to a 2.5-month low....

RMH26 : 3,999s (-2.63%)
KCH26 : 369.30s (-1.83%)
Will Cocoa Remain Above the Critical Long-Term Technical Support?

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CCH26 : 6,279s (-0.14%)

Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Buy Signal with a Soft Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 378.40
2nd Resistance Point 378.40
1st Resistance Point 378.40
Last Price 378.40s
1st Support Level 378.40
2nd Support Level 378.40
3rd Support Level 378.40

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52-Week High 518.00
Fibonacci 61.8% 421.70
Fibonacci 50% 391.95
Last Price 378.40s
Fibonacci 38.2% 362.20
52-Week Low 265.90

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