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Ultra T-Bond Sep '19 (UDU19)

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Ultra T-Bond Futures Market News and Commentary

10-year T-notes Close Slightly Lower on Trade Optimism

Mar T-notes (ZNH20) on Tuesday closed down -1.5 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield rose by +1.7 bp at 1.836%.

Mar T-notes on Tuesday traded mixed during the day and settled slightly lower. Stocks recovered from overnight losses on trade optimism, which pushed T-notes lower. Stocks recovered after Bloomberg reported Tuesday morning that U.S. and Chinese trade negotiators are laying the groundwork to delay a new round of U.S. tariffs on $160 billion of Chinese goods that is scheduled to be implemented this Sunday, Dec 15.

The market is unanimously expecting the FOMC at its 2-day meeting that begins Tuesday and ends Wednesday afternoon to leave interest rates unchanged with the funds-rate target at 1.50%/1.75% and the IOER (interest on excess reserves) rate at 1.55%.

Tuesday's U.S. economic data was mixed for T-notes after Q3 non-farm productivity was revised lower to -0.2%, weaker than expectations of -0.1%. However, Q4 unit labor costs were revised to +2.5%, weaker... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Ultra Treasury Bond
Contract Size
$100,000
Tick Size
32nds of a point ($31.25 per contract) rounded up to the nearest cent per contract; par is on the basis of 100 points
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (Settles 2:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$1,000
Margin/Maintenance
$4,730/4,300
First Notice Date
08/30/19
Expiration Date
09/19/19 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Ultra T-Bond Sep '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Sep Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Dec 3, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
933,976 (-4,973)
637,843 (-32,264)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
106,883 (-10,969)
469,429 (+4,581)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
44,145 (-195)
136,316 (-15,854)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
699,539 (+14,803)
82,107 (+3,166)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
61,096 (-11,470)
692,270 (+6,533)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
43,790 (+381)
4,290 (-2,067)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
182-20 +3.32%
on 09/13/19
198-31 -5.17%
on 08/28/19
-4-00 (-2.08%)
since 08/19/19
3-Month
172-31 +9.09%
on 07/12/19
198-31 -5.17%
on 08/28/19
+11-10 (+6.38%)
since 06/19/19

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10-year T-notes Close Slightly Lower on Trade Optimism

Mar T-notes (ZNH20) on Tuesday closed down -1.5 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield rose by +1.7 bp at 1.836%. Mar T-notes on Tuesday traded mixed during the day and settled slightly lower. Stocks recovered...

10-year T-notes Slightly Higher Amid Trade Uncertainty

Mar T-notes (ZNH20) this morning are up +1 tick. The 10-year T-note yield is down by -0.3 bp at 1.816%. Mar T-notes are slightly higher this morning, but fell back from their best levels, as stocks recovered...

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 8% Buy with a Average short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 190-15
1st Resistance Point 189-18
Last Price 188-22s
1st Support Level 187-05
2nd Support Level 185-21

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52-Week High 198-31
Last Price 188-22s
Fibonacci 61.8% 183-16
Fibonacci 50% 178-24
Fibonacci 38.2% 173-31
52-Week Low 158-16

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