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Ultra T-Bond Jun '20 (UDM20)

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Ultra T-Bond Futures Market News and Commentary

10-Year T-notes Settle at a 2-1/4 Month Low on Unexpected Strength in U.S. May Payrolls

Sep T-notes (ZNU20) on Friday closed down -22.5 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield rose +8.1 bp at 0.904%.

Sep 10-year T-notes on Friday tumbled to a 2-1/4 month low and the 10-year T-note yield climbed to a 2-1/4 month high of 0.956%. T-note prices sold off Friday on an unexpectedly strong U.S. May payroll report.

U.S. May non-farm payrolls unexpectedly rose +2.509 million, much stronger than expectations for a decline of -7.5 million. Also, the May unemployment rate unexpectedly fell -1.4 to 13.3%, showing a stronger labor market than expectations for an increase to 19.0%.

Another negative for T-notes was Friday's announcement from the Fed that it will cut its pace of Treasury buying to $4 billion a day from $4.5 billion a day starting Monday, June 8.

Friday's U.S. wage data was bullish for T-notes after the May avg hourly earnings report of -1.0% m/m and +6.7% y/y was weaker than expectations of +1.0% m/m and +8.5% y/y.

Friday's U.S. consumer credi... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Ultra Treasury Bond
Contract Size
$100,000
Tick Size
32nds of a point ($31.25 per contract) rounded up to the nearest cent per contract; par is on the basis of 100 points
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (Settles 2:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$1,000
Margin/Maintenance
$12,650/11,500
First Notice Date
05/29/20
Expiration Date
06/19/20 (13 days)

Seasonal Chart

Ultra T-Bond Jun '20
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jun Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jun 2, 2020

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
800,277 (-25,752)
576,726 (-46,400)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
97,480 (-27,360)
359,978 (-16,817)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
23,636 (+272)
165,262 (-4,363)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
578,199 (-2,422)
141,690 (+2,000)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
90,099 (-15,238)
461,371 (-35,432)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
47,180 (-9,952)
9,738 (+350)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
205-22 +1.64%
on 06/05/20
226-23 -7.79%
on 05/15/20
-13-09 (-5.97%)
since 05/05/20
3-Month
195-03 +7.16%
on 03/18/20
249-00 -16.04%
on 03/09/20
-2-00 (-0.95%)
since 03/05/20

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10-Year T-notes Plunge to a 2-1/4 Month Low on Unexpected Strength in U.S. May Payrolls

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Sep T-notes (ZNU20) on Thursday closed down -12.5 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield rose +6.4 bp at 0.810%. Sep 10-year T-notes on Thursday sold off to a 1-1/2 month low. The 10-year T-note yield climbed...

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 72% Sell with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.



Long term indicators mostly agree with the trend.

The market is in highly oversold territory. Beware of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 215-07
1st Resistance Point 212-05
Last Price 209-02s
1st Support Level 205-27
2nd Support Level 202-19

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52-Week High 249-00
Fibonacci 61.8% 222-19
Fibonacci 50% 214-15
Last Price 209-02s
Fibonacci 38.2% 206-10
52-Week Low 179-29

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InsideFutures Commentary

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