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Robusta Coffee 10-T Mar '21 (RMH21)

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Robusta Coffee 10-T Futures Market News and Commentary

Coffee Prices Close with Moderate Losses on Rain in Brazil and a Rebound in ICE Coffee Inventories

Mar arabica coffee (KCH21) on Friday closed down -2.40 (-1.90%), and March ICE Robusta coffee (RMH21) closed down -13 (-0.98%).

Coffee prices on Friday posted moderate losses and robusta fell to a new 1-week low. Forecasts for weekend rain in Minas Gerais, Brazil's largest arabica coffee growing region, undercut coffee prices on Friday. A rebound in ICE coffee inventories is another bearish factor for coffee prices. ICE-monitored arabica coffee inventories on Thursday rose to a 5-1/2 month high of 1.571 mln bags, recovering further from the 20-3/4 year low of 1.096 mln bags posted on October 5. Also, ICE-monitored robusta coffee inventories climbed to a 9-1/2 month high Thursday, rebounding from the 2-year low of 10,808 lots posted on October 14.

Robusta prices dropped to a new 1-week low Friday on negative carry-over from Thursday when Conab forecast Brazil 2021 robusta coffee production may increase as much as 16% y/y to 16.6 million bags.

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Contract Specifications

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Contract
Robusta Coffee 10-Tonnes
Contract Size
10 metric tonnes
Tick Size
$1 per metric tonne ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
9:00a.m. - 5:30p.m. GMT
Exchange
ICE
Point Value
$10
Expiration Date
03/25/21 (61 days)

Seasonal Chart

Robusta Coffee 10-T Mar '21
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1,296 +1.08%
on 01/11/21
1,393 -5.96%
on 01/04/21
-69 (-5.00%)
since 12/22/20
3-Month
1,296 +1.08%
on 01/11/21
1,451 -9.72%
on 11/16/20
-3 (-0.23%)
since 10/22/20
52-Week
1,192 +9.90%
on 04/22/20
1,488 -11.96%
on 09/04/20
-135 (-9.34%)
since 01/22/20

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Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Sell Signal with a Soft Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 1,344
2nd Resistance Point 1,336
1st Resistance Point 1,323
Last Price 1,310s
1st Support Level 1,302
2nd Support Level 1,294
3rd Support Level 1,281

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52-Week High 1,488
Fibonacci 61.8% 1,375
Fibonacci 50% 1,340
Last Price 1,310s
Fibonacci 38.2% 1,305
52-Week Low 1,192

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