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Coffee Mar '19 (KCH19)

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Coffee Futures Market News and Commentary

Coffee Prices Climb on Strength in the Brazilian Real

May arabica coffee (KCK19) this morning is up +0.65 (+0.65%) and May ICE robusta coffee (RMK19) is up +2 (+0.13%). Coffee prices moved higher this morning as strength in the Brazilian real against the dollar has sparked short-covering in coffee futures. Strength in the real discourages exports from Brazil's coffee producers. May arabica coffee on Thursday fell to a contract low and May robusta coffee fell to a 1-week low on signs of ample rain in Brazil's coffee-growing regions. Somar Meteorologia reported on Monday that 79.6 mm of rain fell in the past week in Minas Gerais, Brazil's biggest arabica coffee-growing region, or 186% of the historical average, which should boost soil moisture levels and coffee yields. Robusta coffee also found support today after Vietnam's provincial weather office said rain in Vietnam's Central Highlands, the country's largest coffee-growing region, will be lower than the historical average though the end of this month. On the negative side is increased supply in Vietnam, the world's biggest robusta producer, after Vietnam's General Department of Customs reported that Vietnam Jan coffee exports rose +19.4% m/m +41.1% y/y to 183,693 MT. Coffee prices are also seeing downward pressure from ample coffee supplies after the International Coffee Organization (ICO) last Monday reported that global coffee exports during Oct-Dec were up +8.1% y/y at 30.9 mln bags. In addition, ICE-monitored coffee inventories are just below the 4-1/2 year high of 2.489 mln bags posted on Jan 23.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Coffee C Arabica
Contract Size
37,500 pounds (approximately 250 bags)
Tick Size
0.05 cents per pound ($18.75 per contract)
Trading Hours
3:15a.m. - 12:30p.m. (Settles 12:25p.m.) CST
Exchange
ICE/US
Point Value
$375
Margin/Maintenance
$2,970/2,700
First Notice Date
02/20/19
Expiration Date
03/19/19 (25 days)

Seasonal Chart

Coffee Mar '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jan 29, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
158,028 (+6,249)
123,089 (+6,157)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
59,204 (+2,120)
103,056 (+2,201)
Producers - Long / Short
99,439 (+3,337)
100,284 (+3,886)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
40,654 (+446)
4,870 (-195)
Managed Money - Long / Short
33,389 (+533)
94,866 (+2,102)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
25,815 (+1,587)
8,190 (+99)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
96.00 +0.47%
on 02/21/19
107.15 -9.99%
on 01/25/19
-6.90 (-6.68%)
since 01/22/19
3-Month
96.00 +0.47%
on 02/21/19
115.15 -16.24%
on 11/29/18
-17.65 (-15.47%)
since 11/21/18
52-Week
96.00 +0.47%
on 02/21/19
134.90 -28.50%
on 05/02/18
-35.50 (-26.90%)
since 02/22/18

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Coffee Prices Climb on Strength in the Brazilian Real

May arabica coffee (KCK19) this morning is up +0.65 (+0.65%) and May ICE robusta coffee (RMK19) is up +2 (+0.13%). Coffee prices moved higher this morning as strength in the Brazilian real against the...

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Coffee Prices Drop on Weakness in the Real and Ample Rain in Brazil

March arabica coffee (KCH19) on Thursday closed down -1.45 (-1.49%) and March ICE robusta coffee (RMH19) closed down -12 (-0.79%). Coffee prices moved lower Thursday with Mar arabica coffee at a 2-month...

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 96% Sell with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Maximum. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is in highly oversold territory. Beware of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 97.83
1st Resistance Point 96.97
Last Price 96.45
1st Support Level 95.62
2nd Support Level 95.13

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52-Week High 134.90
Fibonacci 61.8% 120.04
Fibonacci 50% 115.45
Fibonacci 38.2% 110.86
Last Price 96.45
52-Week Low 96.00

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