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Lean Hogs Jun '21 (HEM21)

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Lean Hogs Futures Market News and Commentary

Hogs Drop Another Triple Digits on Friday

Lean hog futures bounced back from midday lows but still closed the last trade day of the week with triple digit losses. June hogs were down the most, closing $3 in the red, extending the week’s loss to $7.25. USDA’s National Average Afternoon Base Hog price was $104.49 after a $1.71 increase. ECB prices were withheld for confidentiality. The CME Lean Hog Index was up another 33 cents on 4/14, to $103.03.

CFTC data showed managed money was 77,960 contracts net long in lean hogs on 4/13. The weekly CoT report shows new buying interest pushed managed money’s net position to the most net long since 11/7 of 2017.

Pork cutout futures closed the Friday session with $0.30 to $2.57 losses. USDA’s National Pork Carcass Cutout Value was reported at $112.09 this afternoon down by $1.28. USDA’s estimate for FI hog slaughter for the week through Saturday is 2.469m head. That left YTD slaughter at 39.141m head, trailing last year’s pace by 3.4%.  

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Contract Specifications

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Lean Hogs
Contract Size
40,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.00025 per pound ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:30a.m. - 1:05p.m. (Settles 1:00p.m.) CST
Point Value
First Notice Date
06/14/21 (58 days)
Expiration Date
06/14/21 (58 days)

Seasonal Chart

Lean Hogs Jun '21
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jun Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Apr 13, 2021

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Commercials - Long / Short
86,420 (+734)
165,516 (+4,652)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
123,446 (+1,804)
38,239 (-1,196)
Producers - Long / Short
18,324 (+517)
155,964 (+4,108)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
63,735 (-355)
5,191 (-28)
Managed Money - Long / Short
93,246 (+1,984)
17,630 (+1,402)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
30,200 (-180)
20,609 (-2,598)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
97.625 +4.17%
on 03/22/21
110.075 -7.61%
on 04/12/21
+0.725 (+0.72%)
since 03/16/21
82.500 +23.27%
on 01/20/21
110.075 -7.61%
on 04/12/21
+17.325 (+20.53%)
since 01/15/21
70.500 +44.26%
on 04/17/20
110.075 -7.61%
on 04/12/21
+31.125 (+44.10%)
since 04/16/20

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Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Buy Signal with a Soft Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 109.650
2nd Resistance Point 107.750
1st Resistance Point 104.725
Last Price 101.700s
1st Support Level 99.800
2nd Support Level 97.900
3rd Support Level 94.875

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52-Week High 110.075
Last Price 101.700s
Fibonacci 61.8% 94.957
Fibonacci 50% 90.287
Fibonacci 38.2% 85.618
52-Week Low 70.500

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