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Lean Hogs Apr '21 (HEJ21)

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Lean Hogs Futures Market News and Commentary

Hog Market Ended Up Triple Digits

Lean hog futures closed the day with gains of $1.52 to $2.25. For April the $2.25 rally brought futures to the highest price level since Oct-Dec of 2019 (LOC high @ $77.10 11/5). Pork cutout futures ended the session with gains of $1.35 to $2.95. The 1/19 CME Lean Hog Index was 25 cents lower to $65.67. USDA’s National Average Base Hog price was up 56 cents to $55.46 on Friday PM. USDA reported 45,172 MT of pork export sales booked in the week ending 1/14. That was the largest weekly export sale since the end of September. The National Pork Carcass Cutout value was quoted at $82.83 in the PM report, up by $2.57. Weekly CFTC data showed lean hog spec traders were 2,664 contracts less net long to 36,078. A new outbreak of ASF was confirmed by China’s Ministry of Ag and Rural Affairs. The outbreak was in Guangdong on a 1,015 head farm, with 214 hogs killed. USDA estimates the week’s hog slaughter at 2.738m head through Saturday. YTD slaughter is 8.2% behind last year’s pace with 8.535m... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Lean Hogs
Contract Size
40,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.00025 per pound ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:30a.m. - 1:05p.m. (Settles 1:00p.m.) CST
Point Value
First Notice Date
04/15/21 (81 days)
Expiration Date
04/15/21 (81 days)

Seasonal Chart

Lean Hogs Apr '21
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Apr Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jan 19, 2021

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Commercials - Long / Short
71,536 (+1,831)
94,679 (-1,463)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
77,794 (-625)
42,726 (+1,292)
Producers - Long / Short
9,183 (+763)
85,213 (-2,776)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
58,390 (-149)
5,503 (+96)
Managed Money - Long / Short
55,761 (-1,499)
20,401 (+654)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
22,033 (+874)
22,325 (+638)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
69.725 +9.21%
on 12/23/20
76.250 -0.13%
on 01/22/21
+6.125 (+8.75%)
since 12/22/20
65.925 +15.51%
on 11/20/20
76.250 -0.13%
on 01/22/21
+6.450 (+9.25%)
since 10/22/20
58.100 +31.07%
on 04/06/20
76.250 -0.13%
on 01/22/21
+1.050 (+1.40%)
since 01/22/20

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Hog Market Ended Up Triple Digits

Lean hog futures closed the day with gains of $1.52 to $2.25. For April the $2.25 rally brought futures to the highest price level since Oct-Dec of 2019 (LOC high @ $77.10 11/5). Pork cutout futures ended...

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Cattle on Feed Snapshot

The Cattle on Feed report is out, here is the summary

Hogs Gaining Triple Digits

Midday lean hog futures prices are up $1.15 to $1.85 so far. Pork cutouts are $1.60 to $2.15 in the black. The 1/19 CME Lean Hog Index was 25 cents lower to $65.67. USDA’s National Average Base Hog price...

Cattle Gaining Triple Digits

Ahead of the monthly CoF report, live cattle are rallying $1.17 to $2.27. Front month feeders are also stronger with $1.65 to $4.05 gains. The CME Feeder Cattle Index recovered 38 cents on 1/20 to $133.19....

Daily Livestock Commentary (1.22.21)

Livestock markets surge as fund participation ramps up.

Cattle March Higher Ahead of USDA COF Data

Live cattle futures finished the Thursday session with gains of as much as $1.07 for April. Bulls are going boldly into the USDA Cattle on Feed report, with average estimates for a smaller On Feed number...

Hogs Mostly Higher

Feb futures missed out on the Thursday gains, closing 32 cents in the red. The other front months ended the day up 45 to 82 cents. China confirmed a fresh ASF outbreak in its rebuilding hog herd. Pork...

Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Buy Signal with a Weak Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 79.383
2nd Resistance Point 77.817
1st Resistance Point 76.983
Last Price 76.150s
1st Support Level 74.583
2nd Support Level 73.017
3rd Support Level 72.183

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52-Week High 76.250
Last Price 76.150s
Fibonacci 61.8% 69.317
Fibonacci 50% 67.175
Fibonacci 38.2% 65.033
52-Week Low 58.100

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