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Lean Hogs Dec '21 (HEZ21)

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Lean Hogs Futures Market News and Commentary

Hogs Down by Triple Digits so far

Midday lean hog futures are $0.77 to $1.22 in the red. USDA’s National Average Base hog price for Tuesday morning was another 39 cents weaker to $63.25. CME’s 10/22 Lean Hog Index $82.98, down by another 72 cents. 

Dalian Live Hog Prices gapped higher on Monday, to extend their recovery. Hog futures on the Dalian began trading in January at 25k yuan. Prices descended all the way until bottoming at 11,415 yuan on 9/30. Monday’s close had prices back to 15,210 yuan/MT (~ $1.081/lb).  

Pork cutout futures are mixed for midday, though the December contract has an 82 cent drop. USDA’s National Pork Carcass Cutout Value for this morning was $95.37, following bump of 79 cents. USDA estimated Monday’s FI hog slaughter at 478k head. That compares to 487k head last year. 

Dec 21 Hogs  are at $72.925, down $1.275,

Apr 22 Hogs  are at $79.650, down $1.025

Dec 21 Pork Cutout  is at $91.050, down $0.825,

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Lean Hogs
Contract Size
40,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.00025 per pound ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:30a.m. - 1:05p.m. (Settles 1:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$400
Margin/Maintenance
$2,090/1,900
First Notice Date
12/14/21 (49 days)
Expiration Date
12/14/21 (49 days)

Seasonal Chart

Lean Hogs Dec '21
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Oct 19, 2021

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
75,285 (-321)
124,341 (-5,408)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
99,071 (-8,810)
33,889 (-2,448)
Producers - Long / Short
10,500 (-3,152)
114,714 (-7,396)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
60,910 (+280)
5,752 (-563)
Managed Money - Long / Short
72,851 (-6,541)
13,586 (-113)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
26,220 (-2,269)
20,303 (-2,335)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
72.525 +0.07%
on 10/26/21
85.675 -15.29%
on 09/30/21
-4.225 (-5.50%)
since 09/24/21
3-Month
71.275 +1.82%
on 09/16/21
86.250 -15.86%
on 07/27/21
-12.950 (-15.14%)
since 07/26/21
52-Week
62.000 +17.06%
on 10/29/20
89.550 -18.96%
on 06/10/21
+9.575 (+15.20%)
since 10/26/20

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Most Recent Stories

More News
Feeder Cattle January 2022

Feeder Cattle are exhibiting weakness

Cattle Futures Adding to Rally

Front month fat cattle futures are up 30 to 52 cents for midday. So far feeder cattle futures are mixed, but mostly higher as well. October contracts expire on Thursday for feeder cattle, currently $155.65,...

LEV21 : 126.825s (+1.44%)
LEG22 : 136.375s (+1.21%)
GFV21 : 155.975s (+0.22%)
GFX21 : 159.775s (+0.82%)
Hogs Down by Triple Digits so far

Midday lean hog futures are $0.77 to $1.22 in the red. USDA’s National Average Base hog price for Tuesday morning was another 39 cents weaker to $63.25. CME’s 10/22 Lean Hog Index $82.98, down by another...

HEZ21 : 72.575s (-2.19%)
HEJ22 : 79.125s (-1.92%)
KMZ21 : 90.400 (-1.61%)
Hogs Still Fighting Seasonal Cash Market Weakness

Hog trading left the board mixed at the close on Monday between 15 and 42 cents of UNCH. December hogs were the outlier, having closed 87 cents stronger, as contracts tightened the Dec to Feb carry to...

HEZ21 : 72.575s (-2.19%)
HEJ22 : 79.125s (-1.92%)
KMZ21 : 90.400 (-1.61%)
Cattle Futures Rally As Expected Following COF Report

Monday’s triple digit post-report response is a tough act to follow. October fats were 92 cents higher, while the other front months were $1.05 to $1.25 in the black. Cash trade was slow on Monday. Last...

LEV21 : 126.825s (+1.44%)
LEG22 : 136.375s (+1.21%)
GFV21 : 155.975s (+0.22%)
GFX21 : 159.775s (+0.82%)
Morning Comments; Tuesday, October 26th, 2021

Buying Fades Overnight

Hog Futures Close Mixed on Monday

Hog trading to start the week resulted in gains between 15 and 32 cents, and losses of less than 42 cents. December hogs were the outlier, having closed 87 cents stronger, as contracts tightened the Dec...

HEZ21 : 72.575s (-2.19%)
HEJ22 : 79.125s (-1.92%)
KMZ21 : 90.400 (-1.61%)
Cattle Gain a Dollar Plus on CoF report

Live cattle futures followed the CoF report on Friday with triple digit gains. October fats were 92 cents higher, while the other front months were $1.05 to $1.25 in the black. Cash trade was slow on Monday....

LEV21 : 126.825s (+1.44%)
LEG22 : 136.375s (+1.21%)
GFV21 : 155.975s (+0.22%)
GFX21 : 159.775s (+0.82%)
Shootin' the Bull

With fourth quarter placements already having been anticipated to be lower, it appears that producers got started a month early.  I anticipate a trend of lower placements to begin. 

Livestock Report

Markets higher but cattle markets pull back off highs

Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Sell Signal with a Strong Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 74.725
2nd Resistance Point 74.275
1st Resistance Point 73.425
Last Price 72.575s
1st Support Level 72.125
2nd Support Level 71.675
3rd Support Level 70.825

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52-Week High 89.550
Fibonacci 61.8% 79.026
Fibonacci 50% 75.775
Last Price 72.575s
Fibonacci 38.2% 72.524
52-Week Low 62.000

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