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Lean Hogs Jul '22 (HEN22)

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Lean Hogs Futures Market News and Commentary

Triple Digit Friday for Lean Hog Rally

Following the mid/late April to mid May weakness, lean hogs have bounced back more than $10 with another $1.10 to $3.57 of that coming on Friday’s trade. The National Average Base Hog price for Friday was $110.15 after a $1.18 slide. CME’s Lean Hog Index for 5/18 was $100.37, up by 29 cents. 

The weekly Commitment of Traders report showed lean hog spec traders were 10,045 contracts less net long on 5/17 than as of the 10th. That chopped their net long in half through the week, mainly via long liquidation, to 10,563 contracts. 

Pork cutout futures went home for the weekend with $1.45 to $2.92 gains. USDA’s National Pork Carcass Cutout value was $3.65 higher this afternoon to $107.11.  USDA’s federally inspected hog slaughter estimate for the week was 2.414m head. That was 39k higher wk/wk and 23k head more than the same week last year. Hog slaughter is still down 4.9% YTD from last year’s pace.  

Jun 22 Hogs  closed at $108.875, up $3.575,

Jul 22 Hogs  closed... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Lean Hogs
Contract Size
40,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.00025 per pound ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:30a.m. - 1:05p.m. (Settles 1:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$400
Margin/Maintenance
$2,090/1,900
First Notice Date
06/14/22 (24 days)
Expiration Date
07/15/22 (55 days)

Seasonal Chart

Lean Hogs Jul '22
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jul Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of May 17, 2022

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
81,203 (-1,150)
83,850 (-9,320)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
58,847 (-7,636)
51,082 (+959)
Producers - Long / Short
27,351 (-711)
80,235 (-8,280)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
51,263 (+539)
1,026 (-62)
Managed Money - Long / Short
40,921 (-8,246)
32,588 (+2,471)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
17,926 (+610)
18,494 (-1,512)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
97.375 +11.94%
on 05/12/22
121.075 -9.97%
on 04/22/22
-11.050 (-9.20%)
since 04/20/22
3-Month
97.375 +11.94%
on 05/12/22
126.950 -14.14%
on 03/31/22
-8.525 (-7.25%)
since 02/18/22
52-Week
86.675 +25.76%
on 09/15/21
126.950 -14.14%
on 03/31/22
+17.500 (+19.13%)
since 05/20/21

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Kansas wheat tour and Cattle-on-Feed

Cattle Fade into the Weekend

Fat cattle prices ended the day with a 7 cent gain in June to 42 to 57 cent losses in the other nearbys. The spot futures price to Feb ’23 stayed near a $19 deferred premium at the close. Feeder cattle...

LEM22 : 131.575s (+0.06%)
LEQ22 : 131.550s (-0.36%)
LEV22 : 137.425s (-0.42%)
GFK22 : 153.400s (-0.47%)
GFQ22 : 163.925s (-0.77%)
Triple Digit Friday for Lean Hog Rally

Following the mid/late April to mid May weakness, lean hogs have bounced back more than $10 with another $1.10 to $3.57 of that coming on Friday’s trade. The National Average Base Hog price for Friday...

HEM22 : 108.875s (+3.40%)
HEQ22 : 108.175s (+1.93%)
KMM22 : 114.350s (+2.63%)
Shootin' the Bull

In my opinion,  the fat market appears divided into two camps.  Those being, ample inventory to work through into August, and dwindling supplies afterwards.  The futures markets appear priced accordingly...

Cattle on Feed

Cattle on Feed - 2022-05-20

FCQ22 : 163.925s (-0.77%)
GFQ22 : 163.925s (-0.77%)
LCQ22 : 131.550s (-0.36%)
LEQ22 : 131.550s (-0.36%)
Cattle Futures Mixed Mostly Lower

Midday fat cattle prices are 20 cents firmer in June, now a 3 cent premium to August. The other nearbys are 35 to 42 cents in the red with trade cautious ahead of the monthly USDA COF report. Feeder cattle...

LEM22 : 131.575s (+0.06%)
LEQ22 : 131.550s (-0.36%)
LEV22 : 137.425s (-0.42%)
GFK22 : 153.400s (-0.47%)
GFQ22 : 163.925s (-0.77%)
Lean Hog Market Firm for Midday

Hogs have come off their early session losses with 22 to 55 cent gains through midday. The June contract is leading the Friday rally with a $2.25 gain. The National Average Base Hog price was $2.02 higher...

HEM22 : 108.875s (+3.40%)
HEQ22 : 108.175s (+1.93%)
KMM22 : 114.350s (+2.63%)
Cattle Spreads and the May 1 Cattle on Feed Report

Activity in cattle spreads during the month of April told us what was happening with placements and marketings, and ultimately the number of head on feed as of May 1. It doesn't matter if USDA agrees in...

LEM22 : 131.575s (+0.06%)
Cattle Look to Position Ahead of Cattle on Feed Report

Live cattle were up 2 to 32 cents in the nearby contracts on Thursday, with other contracts down 25 to 57 cents. Cash trade has seen a little action at $138 in the south this week, with sales in the north...

LEM22 : 131.575s (+0.06%)
LEQ22 : 131.550s (-0.36%)
LEV22 : 137.425s (-0.42%)
GFK22 : 153.400s (-0.47%)
GFQ22 : 163.925s (-0.77%)
Hogs Look to Close Out the Week

Lean hogs were down 27 cents to $1.72 in the front months on Thursday, with deferred contracts up 7 to 35 cents. The National Average Base Hog price for the Thursday PM report was $110.51 down $1.18 from...

HEM22 : 108.875s (+3.40%)
HEQ22 : 108.175s (+1.93%)
KMM22 : 114.350s (+2.63%)

Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Sell Signal with a Soft Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 115.758
2nd Resistance Point 112.467
1st Resistance Point 110.733
Last Price 109.000s
1st Support Level 105.708
2nd Support Level 102.417
3rd Support Level 100.683

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52-Week High 126.950
Fibonacci 61.8% 111.565
Last Price 109.000s
Fibonacci 50% 106.813
Fibonacci 38.2% 102.060
52-Week Low 86.675

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