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Feeder Cattle Jan '19 (GFF19)

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cmdty Insider - Feeder Cattle Market Commentary


Live cattle futures were mixed on Friday, with front months higher and deferred contracts lower. Feeder cattle futures were down 15 cents to $1.325, with Jan up 1.89% on the week. The CME feeder cattle index was down $1.10 on November 15 at $147.83. Wholesale boxed beef prices were lower on Friday afternoon. Choice boxes were down 64 cents at $212.91, with the Select cutout value a penny lower at $197.57. USDA estimated FI cattle slaughter WTD through Saturday @ 641,000 head. That is 1,000 above the previous week and even with the same week last year. Cash cattle trade wound up around $114 in most regions on Friday, with a few dressed sales of $178 reported in NE. Export sales of beef in the week that ended on 11/8 were tallied at 13,594 MT this morning, with weekly shipments at 17,043 MT. The large spec funds in live cattle futures and options trimmed 8,707 contracts from their CFTC net long position of 54,421 contracts as of Tuesday. In feeder cattle futures and options, they held the largest recorded net short position on record on 11/13 at -4,823 contracts.Dec 18 Cattle closed at $115.350, up $0.200,Feb 19 Cattle closed at $119.725, up $0.625,Apr 19 Cattle closed at $121.550, up $0.600,Jan 19 Feeder Cattle closed at $146.525, down $1.325Mar 19 Feeder Cattle closed at $143.975, down $0.575Apr 19 Feeder Cattle closed at $144.325, down $0.675--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Feeder Cattle
Contract Size
50,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.025 cents per pound ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:30a.m. - 1:05p.m. CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$500
Margin/Maintenance
$3,080/2,800
First Notice Date
01/31/19 (75 days)
Expiration Date
01/31/19 (75 days)

Seasonal Chart

Feeder Cattle Jan '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jan Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Nov 13, 2018

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
15,103 (+76)
8,927 (-260)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
18,101 (-1,095)
20,965 (-30)
Producers - Long / Short
4,988 (+304)
7,759 (-614)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
9,055 (-474)
108 (+108)
Managed Money - Long / Short
11,722 (-1,857)
16,646 (+436)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
6,379 (+762)
4,319 (-466)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
142.675 +2.70%
on 11/13/18
152.425 -3.87%
on 10/24/18
-3.425 (-2.28%)
since 10/16/18
3-Month
142.675 +2.70%
on 11/13/18
156.575 -6.42%
on 10/02/18
-2.475 (-1.66%)
since 08/16/18
52-Week
134.225 +9.16%
on 04/04/18
156.575 -6.42%
on 10/02/18
-0.325 (-0.22%)
since 01/25/18

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 40% Sell with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 148.342
1st Resistance Point 147.433
Last Price 146.525s
1st Support Level 145.983
2nd Support Level 145.442

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52-Week High 156.575
Fibonacci 61.8% 148.037
Last Price 146.525s
Fibonacci 50% 145.400
Fibonacci 38.2% 142.763
52-Week Low 134.225

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