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Cocoa #7 Jul '25 (CAN25)

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Cocoa #7 Futures Market News and Commentary

Cocoa Prices Finish Sharply Lower as the Supply Outlook Improves

May ICE NY cocoa (CCK25) Friday closed down -306 (-3.79%), and May ICE London cocoa #7 (CAK25) closed down -162 (-2.60%).

Cocoa prices Friday tumbled to 4-1/4 month lows and settled sharply lower.  Cocoa prices have been on the defensive over the past five weeks on an improving supply outlook.  On February 28,  the International Cocoa Organization (ICCO) forecasted a global cocoa surplus of 142,000 MT for 2024/25, the first surplus in 4 years.  ICCO also projected that 2024/25 global cocoa production will rise +7.8% y/y to 4.84 MMT.

The recovery in cocoa inventories is also bearish for prices.  Since falling to a 21-year low of 1,263,493 bags on January 24,  ICE-monitored cocoa inventories held in US ports have rebounded and climbed to a 4-1/2 month high of 1,784,552 bags Friday.  

Also on the bearish side, Nigeria reported on February 27 that its Jan cocoa exports jumped +27% y/y to 46,970 MT.  Nigeria is the world's fifth-largest cocoa producer.

Concern abo... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Cocoa #7
Contract Size
10 metric tonnes
Tick Size
GBP 1 per metric tonne (GBP 10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
9:30a.m. - 4:50p.m. GMT
Exchange
ICE/EU
Point Value
GBP 10
Expiration Date
07/16/25 (115 days)

Seasonal Chart

Cocoa #7 Jul '25
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jul Contracts
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
6,028 +1.64%
on 03/21/25
7,477 -18.06%
on 02/24/25
-1,173 (-16.07%)
since 02/21/25
3-Month
6,028 +1.64%
on 03/21/25
9,027 -32.13%
on 01/23/25
-2,385 (-28.02%)
since 12/20/24
52-Week
3,899 +57.14%
on 10/03/24
9,030 -32.15%
on 12/18/24
+1,973 (+47.50%)
since 03/21/24

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Cocoa Prices Finish Sharply Lower as the Supply Outlook Improves

May ICE NY cocoa (CCK25 ) Friday closed down -306 (-3.79%), and May ICE London cocoa #7 (CAK25 ) closed down -162 (-2.60%). Cocoa prices Friday tumbled to 4-1/4 month lows and settled sharply lower. Cocoa...

CCK25 : 7,765s (-3.79%)
CAN25 : 6,127s (-2.22%)
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DXY00 : 104.088s (+0.23%)
RMK25 : 5,515s (+0.33%)
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Dollar Strength Prompts Long Liquidation in Sugar Futures

May NY world sugar #11 (SBK25 ) today is down -0.20 (-1.00%), and May London ICE white sugar #5 (SWK25 ) is down -9.00 (-1.60%). Sugar prices are moderately lower as today's rally in the dollar index (DXY00...

DXY00 : 104.088s (+0.23%)
SBK25 : 19.72s (-1.40%)
SWK25 : 552.40s (-2.06%)
Cocoa Prices Tumble as the Supply Outlook Improves

May ICE NY cocoa (CCK25 ) today is down -374 (-4.63%), and May ICE London cocoa #7 (CAK25 ) is down -233 (3.74%). Cocoa prices today tumbled to 4-1/4 month lows. Cocoa prices have been on the defensive...

CCK25 : 7,765s (-3.79%)
CAN25 : 6,127s (-2.22%)
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DXY00 : 104.088s (+0.23%)
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CCK25 : 7,765s (-3.79%)
KCK25 : 391.40s (-0.19%)
OJK25 : 276.15s (+1.32%)

Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Sell Signal with a Soft Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 6,629
2nd Resistance Point 6,489
1st Resistance Point 6,308
Last Price 6,127s
1st Support Level 5,987
2nd Support Level 5,847
3rd Support Level 5,666

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52-Week High 9,030
Fibonacci 61.8% 7,070
Fibonacci 50% 6,465
Last Price 6,127s
Fibonacci 38.2% 5,859
52-Week Low 3,899

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