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Australian Dollar Jun '23 (A6M23)

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Australian Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Edges Lower as the Euro Climbs on Hawkish ECB Rate Cut

The dollar index (DXY00) Thursday retreated from a 1-week high and finished down by -0.33%.  The dollar slid Thursday after US weekly jobless claims unexpectedly increased, which signaled a weaker labor market that is dovish for Fed policy.  Also, strength in the euro weighed on the dollar as the euro moved higher after the ECB delivered a hawkish rate cut when it refrained from pre-committing to future interest rate cuts after cutting rates Thursday.

On the positive side for the dollar, Thursday’s as-expected US Aug PPI report dampened speculation that the Fed will cut interest rates by 50 bp at next week’s FOMC meeting.

US weekly initial unemployment claims unexpectedly rose +2,000 to 230,000, showing a slightly weaker labor market than expectations of a decline to 226,000.

US Aug PPI final demand eased to +1.7% y/y from +2.1% y/y in July, right on expectations and the smallest increase in 6 months.  Aug PPI ex-food and energy rose +2.4 % y/y, up from +2.3% y/y i... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Australian Dollar
Contract Size
AUD 100,000
Tick Size
0.00005 points ($5.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (Settles 2:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$100,000
Margin/Maintenance
$1,595/1,450
First Notice Date
06/19/23
Expiration Date
06/16/23 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Australian Dollar Jun '23
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jun Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Sep 3, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
87,254 (-375)
94,066 (+13,659)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
87,118 (+5,632)
94,982 (-5,663)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
56,612 (-1,103)
59,106 (+15,814)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
80,857 (+4,289)
88,522 (-6,186)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
19,335 (+903)
36,594 (-1,986)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
12,742 (+814)
N/A
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
0.64630 +6.20%
on 05/31/23
0.69000 -0.53%
on 06/16/23
+0.01965 (+2.95%)
since 05/16/23
3-Month
0.64630 +6.20%
on 05/31/23
0.69000 -0.53%
on 06/16/23
+0.01915 (+2.87%)
since 03/16/23
52-Week
0.62300 +10.17%
on 10/13/22
0.71935 -4.59%
on 02/02/23
-0.01770 (-2.51%)
since 06/16/22

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We will continue to look higher on cable, while the market is above 1.2873, especially after the current retracement, which can be correction because of a three-wave drop down to 1.3050 support

Dollar Edges Lower as the Euro Climbs on Hawkish ECB Rate Cut

The dollar index (DXY00 ) Thursday retreated from a 1-week high and finished down by -0.33%. The dollar slid Thursday after US weekly jobless claims unexpectedly increased, which signaled a weaker labor...

DXY00 : 101.040 (-0.32%)
^EURUSD : 1.10902 (+0.14%)
^USDJPY : 140.699 (-0.79%)
GCZ24 : 2,594.3 (+0.53%)
SIZ24 : 30.350 (+0.81%)
Dollar Slips and Gold Climbs to a Record High as ECB Cuts Interest Rates

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today fell back from a 1-week high and is down by -0.10%. The dollar slipped today after US weekly jobless claims unexpectedly increased, which signaled a weaker labor market...

DXY00 : 101.040 (-0.32%)
^EURUSD : 1.10902 (+0.14%)
^USDJPY : 140.699 (-0.79%)
GCZ24 : 2,594.3 (+0.53%)
SIZ24 : 30.350 (+0.81%)
Dollar Sees Support From Reduced Chance of 50 bp Fed Rate Cut Next Week

The dollar index (DXY00 ) Wednesday rose by +0.05%. The dollar Wednesday recovered from early losses and climbed to a 1-week high after the as-expected US Aug core CPI report diminished the chances of...

DXY00 : 101.040 (-0.32%)
^EURUSD : 1.10902 (+0.14%)
^USDJPY : 140.699 (-0.79%)
GCZ24 : 2,594.3 (+0.53%)
SIZ24 : 30.350 (+0.81%)
EURCAD Two-Year Bullish Sequence extends from the Blue Box

Hello traders, welcome to another trade review blog post where we discuss setups from the blue box. In this one, we will look at a recent setup on the EURCAD.

^EURCAD : 1.50624 (+0.15%)
Dollar Rebounds With T-Note Yields on Sticky US Core CPI

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is up by +0.05%. The dollar today recovered from early losses and climbed to a 1-week high after the as-expected US Aug CPI report diminished the chances of a 50 bp rate...

DXY00 : 101.040 (-0.32%)
^EURUSD : 1.10902 (+0.14%)
^USDJPY : 140.699 (-0.79%)
GCZ24 : 2,594.3 (+0.53%)
SIZ24 : 30.350 (+0.81%)
Dollar Slightly Higher on Reduced Speculation About a -50 bp Rate Cut

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Tuesday rose slightly by +0.08%, supported by reduced speculation about a 50 bp rate cut by the Fed. The swap markets are discounting the chances for a 50 bp rate cut at next...

DXY00 : 101.040 (-0.32%)
^EURUSD : 1.10902 (+0.14%)
^USDJPY : 140.699 (-0.79%)
GCZ24 : 2,594.3 (+0.53%)
SIZ24 : 30.350 (+0.81%)
Dollar Slightly Higher on Reduced Speculation About a -50 bp Rate Cut

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is up by +0.10%. The dollar today is slightly higher, supported by reduced speculation about a 50 bp rate cut by the Fed. The swap markets are discounting the chances...

DXY00 : 101.040 (-0.32%)
^EURUSD : 1.10902 (+0.14%)
^USDJPY : 140.699 (-0.79%)
GCZ24 : 2,594.3 (+0.53%)
SIZ24 : 30.350 (+0.81%)
DXY Coming Back To 101.60-102 Resistance

It’s going to be an important week, with the focus on the U.S. CPI inflation data, which could provide more clues on whether the Fed will go for 25 or even 50 basis point cut.

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 56% Buy with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators mostly agree with the trend.

The market is in highly overbought territory. Beware of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 0.69257
2nd Resistance Point 0.69128
1st Resistance Point 0.68882
Last Price 0.68635s
1st Support Level 0.68507
2nd Support Level 0.68378
3rd Support Level 0.68132

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52-Week High 0.71935
Last Price 0.68635s
Fibonacci 61.8% 0.68254
Fibonacci 50% 0.67118
Fibonacci 38.2% 0.65981
52-Week Low 0.62300

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