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Australian Dollar/U.S. Dollar (^AUDUSD)
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Australian Dollar/U.S. Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Supported by a Hawkish Fed

The dollar index (DXY00) on Friday rose by +0.19%.  The dollar Friday rallied to a new 6-1/2 month high on carryover support from Wednesday when the FOMC signaled one more +25 bp rate hike this year and projected that the fed funds rate next year would be +50 bp higher than its June forecast. 

Hawkish comments Friday from several policymakers gave the dollar a boost.  Also, Friday’s better-than-expected U.S. manufacturing PMI news was bullish for the dollar.  The dollar was undercut Friday by stock market gains, which reduced liquidity demand for the dollar. 

The U.S. Sep S&P manufacturing PMI rose +1.0 to 48.9, stronger than expectations of 48.2.

San Francisco Fed President Daly said she is not ready to declare victory in the fight against inflation and said it is unlikely that inflation will reach the Fed's 2% goal in 2024.

Fed Governor Bowman said, "I continue to expect that further rate hikes will likely be needed to return inflation to 2% in a timely way... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Sep 19, 2023

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
158,199 (-6,762)
48,187 (-21,784)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
36,780 (-10,529)
133,726 (+6,884)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
129,555 (+17,538)
1,600 (-1,919)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
32,287 (-5,376)
137,146 (+1,923)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
29,212 (-6,387)
40,468 (+8,212)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
2,152 (+34)
926 (-16)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
0.63577 +1.31%
on 09/06/23
0.65220 -1.25%
on 08/30/23
+0.00180 (+0.28%)
since 08/22/23
0.63577 +1.31%
on 09/06/23
0.68948 -6.59%
on 07/14/23
-0.03153 (-4.67%)
since 06/22/23
0.61703 +4.38%
on 10/13/22
0.71578 -10.02%
on 02/02/23
-0.02022 (-3.04%)
since 09/22/22

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 88% Sell with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 0.65300
2nd Resistance Point 0.64974
1st Resistance Point 0.64691
Last Price 0.64407
1st Support Level 0.64082
2nd Support Level 0.63756
3rd Support Level 0.63473

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52-Week High 0.71578
Fibonacci 61.8% 0.67806
Fibonacci 50% 0.66641
Fibonacci 38.2% 0.65475
Last Price 0.64407
52-Week Low 0.61703

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