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Australian Dollar/U.S. Dollar (^AUDUSD)

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Australian Dollar/U.S. Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Slips with T-note Yields

The dollar index (DXY00) today is down -0.04%.  Today’s smaller-than-expected decline in weekly US jobless claims and the larger-than-expected decline in Jan existing home sales knocked T-note yields lower and are weighing on the dollar.  Also, strength in the Chinese yuan is pressuring the dollar, as the yuan rallied to a new 2.5-year high today.   Losses in the dollar are limited amid some carryover support from Wednesday’s better-than-expected US Jan payroll report that dampened speculation of additional Fed interest rate cuts.

US weekly initial unemployment claims fell -5,000 to 227,000, showing a slightly weaker labor market than expectations of 223,000.

US Jan existing home sales fell -8.4% m/m to a 16-month low of 3.91 million, weaker than expectations of 4.5 million.

The dollar sank to a 4-year low late last month when President Trump said he’s comfortable with the recent weakness in the dollar.  Also, the dollar remains under pressure as foreign investors... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Feb 3, 2026

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
92,582 (-7,444)
140,642 (+12,307)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
118,751 (+8,945)
92,633 (-10,027)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
33,794 (-2,573)
108,417 (+15,827)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
62,654 (-3,149)
81,456 (-3,696)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
98,448 (+5,469)
39,039 (-9,214)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
13,524 (+2,021)
1,450 (-370)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
0.66673 +6.32%
on 01/15/26
0.71471 -0.82%
on 02/12/26
+0.03785 (+5.64%)
since 01/12/26
3-Month
0.64214 +10.39%
on 11/21/25
0.71471 -0.82%
on 02/12/26
+0.05471 (+8.36%)
since 11/12/25
52-Week
0.59155 +19.83%
on 04/09/25
0.71471 -0.82%
on 02/12/26
+0.08093 (+12.89%)
since 02/12/25

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^USDCAD : 1.36301 (+0.39%)
^USDJPY : 152.736 (-0.35%)
^USDCHF : 0.76959 (-0.28%)
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^NZDUSD : 0.60379 (-0.18%)
^GBPUSD : 1.36243 (-0.03%)
^AUDUSD : 0.70885 (-0.55%)
^USDCAD : 1.36301 (+0.39%)
^USDJPY : 152.736 (-0.35%)
^EURUSD : 1.18675 (-0.03%)
^USDCHF : 0.76959 (-0.28%)
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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 100% Buy with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

Relative Strength just crossed below 70%. The market has dropped from overbought territory. Beware of a potential mean reversion.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 0.72320
2nd Resistance Point 0.71875
1st Resistance Point 0.71575
Last Price 0.70867
1st Support Level 0.70830
2nd Support Level 0.70385
3rd Support Level 0.70085

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52-Week High 0.71471
Last Price 0.70867
Fibonacci 61.8% 0.66766
Fibonacci 50% 0.65313
Fibonacci 38.2% 0.63860
52-Week Low 0.59155

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