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Australian Dollar/U.S. Dollar (^AUDUSD)

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Australian Dollar/U.S. Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Climbs with T-Note Yields

The dollar index (DXY00) today recovered from an early 1-1/2 week low and is up +0.12%. The dollar is seeing support from higher T-note yields but is being undercut by reduced liquidity demand due to today’s rally in stocks.  The yen today fell to a 33-year low against the dollar.

US Mar capital goods new orders nondefense ex-aircraft and parts, a proxy for capital spending, rose +0.2% m/m, right on expectations.

The markets are discounting the chances for a -25 bp rate cut at 3% for the next FOMC meeting on April 30-May 1 and 16% for the following meeting on June 11-12.

EUR/USD (^EURUSD) today is down by -0.05%.   The euro today fell back from a 1-1/2 week high and is mildly lower.  Strength in the dollar today is undercutting the euro. Also, divergence between the ECB and Fed is weighing on the euro, with the ECB expected to start cutting interest rates in June while the Fed delays rate cuts until later in the year.

The euro today initially moved higher aft... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Apr 16, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
169,334 (+17,913)
52,990 (+3,179)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
42,365 (+11,809)
143,448 (+20,551)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
140,993 (+13,793)
4,217 (+214)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
30,826 (-2,323)
134,025 (+10,994)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
29,853 (+17,532)
54,428 (+11,596)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
6,677 (+212)
418

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
0.63624 +2.12%
on 04/19/24
0.66444 -2.21%
on 04/09/24
-0.00168 (-0.26%)
since 03/22/24
3-Month
0.63624 +2.12%
on 04/19/24
0.66673 -2.55%
on 03/08/24
-0.00797 (-1.21%)
since 01/24/24
52-Week
0.62705 +3.62%
on 10/26/23
0.68996 -5.83%
on 06/16/23
-0.01988 (-2.97%)
since 04/24/23

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^EURUSD : 1.06944 (-0.07%)
Elliott Wave Theory Suggests EURJPY Remains Bullish

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^EURJPY : 166.095 (+0.24%)
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^EURJPY : 166.095 (+0.24%)
Aussie Breaking Out Of A Triangle, Searching For Support

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^CADJPY : 113.348 (+0.03%)
AUDJPY Elliott Wave: Forecasting the Path

Hello fellow traders.  In this technical blog we’re going to take a quick look at the Elliott Wave charts of (AUDJPY) Forex pair, published in members area of the website. As our members know we have...

^AUDJPY : 100.886 (+0.46%)
EURGBP Elliott Wave : Selling The Rallies at Blue Box Area

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^EURGBP : 0.85888 (-0.09%)

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 72% Sell with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 0.65535
2nd Resistance Point 0.65219
1st Resistance Point 0.65043
Last Price 0.64985
1st Support Level 0.64551
2nd Support Level 0.64235
3rd Support Level 0.64059

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52-Week High 0.68996
Fibonacci 61.8% 0.66593
Fibonacci 50% 0.65850
Fibonacci 38.2% 0.65108
Last Price 0.64985
52-Week Low 0.62705

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