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Australian Dollar/U.S. Dollar (^AUDUSD)

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Australian Dollar/U.S. Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Index Climbs to a 2-Week High on Weakness in EUR/USD and Strength in USD/JPY

The dollar index (DXY00) on Friday rose +0.026 (+0.03%). Sep euro-fx futures (E6U9) closed down -0.0011 (-0.09%), and EUR/USD (^EURUSD) fell -0.0015 (-0.14%). Sep yen futures (J6U9) closed down by -0.0017 (-0.17%), and USD/JPY (^USDJPY) rose +0.18 (+0.17%). The dollar index moved higher Friday for a fourth day and posted a 2-week high on weakness in EUR/USD and strength in USD/JPY. EUR/USD tumbled to a 2-week low Friday on bearish carry-over from ECB Governing member Rehn's comments Thursday that it is better for the ECB "to overshoot than undershoot" on stimulus. Rehn's comments suggest he favors the ECB boosting stimulus measures when it meets next on September 12. The dollar gave up most of its gains Friday afternoon on comments from Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari who said recession risks have risen "quite a bit" and the Fed will "probably" cut interest rates since it is better to be early than late when responding to an economic slowdown. Friday's U.S. economic data was mixed for the dollar. U.S. July housing starts unexpectedly fell -4.0% to a 5-month low of 1.191 million, weaker than expectations of +0.2% to 1.256 million. Also, the University of Michigan U.S. Aug consumer sentiment fell -6.3 to a 7-month low of 92.1, weaker than expectations of -1.4 to 97.0. However, July building permits, a proxy for future construction, rose +8.4% to a 7-month high of 1.336 million, stronger than expectations of +3.1% to 1.270 million. The yuan fell slightly Friday by -0.13% to 7.0428 yuan/USD, modestly above Tuesday's 11-1/4 year low of 7.0726 yuan/USD. Trade tensions eased slightly Friday after President Trump late Thursday said he had a call scheduled "very soon" with Chinese President Xi Jinping on trade. USD/JPY moved higher Friday as a rally in stocks curbed the safe-haven demand for the yen. GBP/USD rose +0.51% Friday to a 1-week high, which limited strength in the dollar, on speculation UK opposition Labour Party leader Corbyn will find support to stop a no-deal Brexit. Big Picture Dollar Factors: Bullish factors for the dollar index include (1) the Fed's go-slow approach to cutting interest rates, (2) relative strength in the U.S. economy, and (3) the repatriation of U.S. corporate overseas cash under the 2018 tax law. Bearish factors include (1) market expectations for four Fed rate cuts through the end of 2020, (2) trade tensions and Washington political uncertainty, and (3) the wide U.S. budget and current account deficits. Bearish factors for EUR/USD include (1) expectations for the ECB to cut interest rates by -10 bp at its September meeting and to restart its QE program, (2) weak Eurozone economic growth, (3) the extremely low 10-year bund yield of -0.727%, which illustrates the euro's poor interest rate differentials, and (4) Brexit risks.

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Aug 13, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
107,151 (+5,778)
33,598 (-4,145)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
36,304 (-6,010)
99,216 (+1,391)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
88,556 (+6,786)
7,457 (-4,693)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
13,458 (-155)
56,714 (-1,984)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
34,400 (-6,694)
59,802 (+3,392)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
0 (-700)
1,800 (unch)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
0.66772 +1.48%
on 08/07/19
0.70805 -4.30%
on 07/19/19
-0.02351 (-3.35%)
since 07/16/19
3-Month
0.66772 +1.48%
on 08/07/19
0.70805 -4.30%
on 07/19/19
-0.01131 (-1.64%)
since 05/16/19
52-Week
0.66377 +2.09%
on 01/03/19
0.73932 -8.35%
on 12/04/18
-0.04827 (-6.65%)
since 08/16/18

Most Recent Stories

More News
EURUSD Looks To Recapture The 1. 1026 Support Zone

EURUSD looks to recapture the 1.1026 support zone as it retains its broader weakness.

Stock market gyrates as the economic picture gets blurred

You're not the only one confused about where the economy is headed. Just look at the stock market, where perplexed investors have been sending stocks on a wild ride in August.

AIG : 54.31 (+1.06%)
USDCHF Bounces Off Lower Prices On Correction

USDCHF bounces off lower prices on correction the past week. This has opened the door for more gain in the new week.

US stocks end turbulent week with broad gains

You're not the only one confused about where the economy is headed. Just look at the stock market, where perplexed investors have been sending stocks on a wild ride in August.

JPM : 107.72 (+2.40%)
BAC : 27.03 (+2.97%)
AIG : 54.31 (+1.06%)
Today's Stock, Metal, and Energy Forecasts, Aug 16 2019

Take a look at today's market summary!

Bearish Turn For GBPJPY Near 130.04! - Elliott Wave Analysis

GBPJPY is recovering in a three-wave move from the lows, however it can be only temporary, as it can be part of a higher degree fourth wave correction.

Anticipated Central Bank Easing Supports Stock Index Futures

U.S. stock index futures advanced due to hopes of more stimulus from central banks .

Global risk tone relaxing a bit as US 10s2s spread trades wider, back above zero.

S&P futures +26. Bonds, Eurodollars, and gold trading off yesterdays highs. Still no love for EURUSD as the ECBs Rhen hints at monetary policy bazooka in September. Bunds...

Weaker Prices Expected On EURGBP! - Elliott Wave Analysis

A powerful reversal pattern on the EURGBP is suggesting even more bearish price activity!

Global stocks recover some ground at end of turbulent week

LONDON (AP) — Global stock markets looked set to end a turbulent week on a positive note although worries about the U.S. economy and the trade conflict between the U.S. and China still have the potential...

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 100% Sell with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Maximum. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 0.68048
1st Resistance Point 0.67904
Last Price 0.67761
1st Support Level 0.67661
2nd Support Level 0.67562

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52-Week High 0.73932
Fibonacci 61.8% 0.71046
Fibonacci 50% 0.70155
Fibonacci 38.2% 0.69263
Last Price 0.67761
52-Week Low 0.66377

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