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Australian Dollar/U.S. Dollar (^AUDUSD)

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Australian Dollar/U.S. Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Retreats on Iran Optimism

The dollar index (DXY00) fell from a 6-week high on Wednesday and finished down by -0.24%.  The dollar gave up an early advance on Wednesday and moved lower after comments from President Trump that the US was in the “final stages” with Iran, which knocked crude oil prices down by more than -5%, which lowered inflation expectations and could prompt the Fed to ease monetary policy, a negative for the dollar.  Also, Wednesday’s stock rally reduced liquidity demand for the dollar.

The minutes of the April 28-29 FOMC meeting were hawkish and supportive of the dollar as “many” policymakers called for the Fed to drop its easing bias and signal its next move could be an interest rate increase.  Also, most of the meeting’s participants said that “some policy firming would likely become appropriate if inflation were to continue to run persistently above 2%.”

Swaps markets are discounting the odds at 7% for a 25 bp rate cut at the next FOMC meeting on June 16-17.

EUR/USD (^EU... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of May 12, 2026

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
93,647 (+1,375)
205,450 (+7,633)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
150,800 (+7,586)
65,810 (+1,270)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
38,739 (+1,201)
174,431 (+3,297)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
106,979 (+2,522)
59,428 (-155)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
87,122 (+5,047)
31,271 (+5,796)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
5,977 (+127)
500 (-99)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
0.70798 +1.12%
on 05/19/26
0.72776 -1.63%
on 05/06/26
-0.00191 (-0.27%)
since 04/20/26
3-Month
0.68334 +4.76%
on 03/30/26
0.72776 -1.63%
on 05/06/26
+0.00757 (+1.07%)
since 02/20/26
52-Week
0.63728 +12.34%
on 06/23/25
0.72776 -1.63%
on 05/06/26
+0.07345 (+11.43%)
since 05/20/25

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 80% Buy with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 0.72601
2nd Resistance Point 0.72186
1st Resistance Point 0.71629
Last Price 0.71582
1st Support Level 0.70657
2nd Support Level 0.70242
3rd Support Level 0.69685

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52-Week High 0.72776
Last Price 0.71582
Fibonacci 61.8% 0.69320
Fibonacci 50% 0.68252
Fibonacci 38.2% 0.67184
52-Week Low 0.63728

See More

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