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Australian Dollar/U.S. Dollar (^AUDUSD)

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Australian Dollar/U.S. Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Index Drops to a Fresh 3-Month Low on Fed Rate Cut Expectations

The dollar index (DXY00) on Monday fell -0.228 (-0.24%) to a 3-month low. September euro-fx futures (E6U9) closed up +0.0031 (+0.28%) at a 3-month high, and EUR/USD (^EURUSD) rose +0.0028 (+0.25%) to a 3-month high. September yen futures (J6U9) closed up +0.07 (+0.08%), and USD/JPY (^USDJPY) rose +0.03 (+0.03%). The dollar index fell Monday for a fourth consecutive session and posted a fresh 3-month low. The dollar continues to weaken on speculation the Fed will move to cut interest rates as soon as July, faster than other global central banks will move. A decline in T-note yields on Monday also weighed on the dollar since lower yields weaken the dollar's interest rate differentials. Another bearish factor was Monday's U.S. data that showed the Jun Dallas Fed manufacturing activity unexpectedly fell -6.8 to a 3-year low of -12.1, weaker than expectations of +3.3 to -2.0. A negative for EUR/USD was Monday's data that showed the German Jun IFO business climate index fell -0.5 to a 4-1/2 year low of 97.4.

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jun 18, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
103,974 (-24,216)
24,195 (-29,699)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
43,352 (+10,905)
108,215 (+12,542)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
76,023 (+7,461)
4,639 (-179)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
13,591 (-512)
63,982 (+5,668)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
50,062 (+14,500)
56,901 (+10,740)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
2,462 (-2,461)
1,700 (-1,087)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
0.68315 +1.87%
on 06/18/19
0.70219 -0.90%
on 06/07/19
+0.00330 (+0.48%)
since 05/24/19
3-Month
0.68315 +1.87%
on 06/18/19
0.72053 -3.42%
on 04/17/19
-0.01524 (-2.14%)
since 03/25/19
52-Week
0.66377 +4.84%
on 01/03/19
0.74837 -7.01%
on 07/10/18
-0.04527 (-6.11%)
since 06/25/18

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EURUSD eyes further upside pressure on bull pressure as we enter a new week. Support comes in at the 1.1300

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 16% Sell with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 0.69969
1st Resistance Point 0.69785
Last Price 0.69606
1st Support Level 0.69315
2nd Support Level 0.69029

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52-Week High 0.74837
Fibonacci 61.8% 0.71605
Fibonacci 50% 0.70607
Fibonacci 38.2% 0.69609
Last Price 0.69604
52-Week Low 0.66377

See More

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