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Australian Dollar/U.S. Dollar (^AUDUSD)
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Australian Dollar/U.S. Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Slightly Lower as Mortgage Rates Climb in Negative Factor for U.S. Economy

The dollar index (DXY00) on Wednesday fell by -0.07% but stayed above Tuesday’s 2-week low.  On Wednesday, the dollar posted modest losses after the weekly MBA mortgage applications report showed the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate rose above 7% for the first time in 2 months, a negative factor for housing and the U.S. economy. 

Losses in the dollar were limited by hawkish comments from Fed Governor Bowman and Richmond Fed President Barkin and the hawkish minutes of the Jan 30-31 FOMC meeting.  Weakness in stocks on Wednesday also boosted some liquidity demand for the dollar.

U.S. weekly MBA mortgage applications fell -10.6% in the week ended Feb 16.  The home purchase sub-index fell -10.1% to a 3-month low, and the refinancing sub-index fell -11.4%.  The average 30-year fixed rate mortgage rose +19 bp to a 2-month high of 7.06% from 6.87% the prior week.

Fed Governor Bowman said that with the current economic environment, the time for an interest rate cut by t... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Feb 13, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
128,465 (+12,948)
37,480 (+1,994)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
47,405 (+8,163)
126,381 (+15,326)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
95,308 (+11,041)
1,754 (+41)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
34,259 (+2,181)
130,094 (+7,695)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
37,472 (+7,430)
29,589 (+9,332)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
6,861 (+228)
454 (+21)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
0.64428 +2.17%
on 02/13/24
0.66245 -0.64%
on 01/30/24
+0.00136 (+0.21%)
since 01/22/24
3-Month
0.64428 +2.17%
on 02/13/24
0.68711 -4.20%
on 12/28/23
+0.00393 (+0.60%)
since 11/22/23
52-Week
0.62705 +4.97%
on 10/26/23
0.68996 -4.60%
on 06/16/23
-0.02211 (-3.25%)
since 02/22/23

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 8% Buy with a Weakest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 0.66113
2nd Resistance Point 0.65922
1st Resistance Point 0.65718
Last Price 0.65824
1st Support Level 0.65323
2nd Support Level 0.65132
3rd Support Level 0.64928

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52-Week High 0.68996
Fibonacci 61.8% 0.66593
Fibonacci 50% 0.65850
Last Price 0.65824
Fibonacci 38.2% 0.65108
52-Week Low 0.62705

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