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Natural Gas Oct '19 (NGV19)

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Natural Gas Futures Market News and Commentary

Natural Gas Prices Close Higher on Reduced U.S. Output and on Forecasts for Warmer US Temps

Jul Nymex natural gas (NGN20) on Friday closed up +0.022 (+1.20%).

Jul nat-gas prices on Friday recovered from a contract low and closed higher on lower U.S. nat-gas production and on forecasts for warmer weather. Also, Baker Hughes Friday afternoon reported that the number of active U.S. nat-gas drilling rigs fell by -2 rigs in the week of May 29 to 77 rigs, a record low for the data series that goes back to d1987.

Forecasts for warmer U.S. temperatures also fueled gains in nat-gas prices after the Commodity Weather Group Friday said temperatures in the U.S. Midwest and East would be above normal during June 3-12.

Jul nat-gas on Friday initially opened lower and posted a contract low on concern about weak demand from the pandemic. Data from BNEF showed that nat-gas demand from U.S. industrial consumers as of Friday was down -29% y/y at 16.3 bcf.

Demand concerns continue to thwart rally attempts in nat-gas. Poten & Partners said last Wednesday that about... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Natural Gas
Contract Size
10,000 MMBtu (million British thermal units)
Tick Size
0.001 per MMBtu ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:00a.m. - 1:30p.m.) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Point Value
First Notice Date
Expiration Date
09/26/19 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Natural Gas Oct '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Oct Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of May 26, 2020

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Commercials - Long / Short
564,837 (-20,780)
530,030 (-20,217)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
246,407 (-11,018)
304,584 (-13,976)
Producers - Long / Short
227,894 (-23,083)
238,870 (-8,151)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
238,773 (+11,227)
192,990 (-3,142)
Managed Money - Long / Short
201,438 (-11,091)
208,603 (+7,726)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
44,969 (+73)
95,981 (-21,702)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
2.175 +11.63%
on 08/27/19
2.710 -10.41%
on 09/17/19
+0.195 (+8.73%)
since 08/26/19
2.045 +18.73%
on 08/05/19
2.710 -10.41%
on 09/17/19
+0.153 (+6.73%)
since 06/26/19
2.045 +18.73%
on 08/05/19
3.000 -19.07%
on 03/19/19
-0.243 (-9.10%)
since 09/26/18

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Opinion rating is a Hold. Short term, the outlook is Falling.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 2.603
1st Resistance Point 2.515
Last Price 2.428s
1st Support Level 2.365
2nd Support Level 2.303

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52-Week High 3.000
Fibonacci 61.8% 2.635
Fibonacci 50% 2.523
Last Price 2.428s
Fibonacci 38.2% 2.410
52-Week Low 2.045

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InsideFutures Commentary

InsideFutures is a twice weekly newsletter that features a selection of the latest and best commodities commentary appearing on Delivered every Wednesday and Friday morning to your inbox.

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