For Vietnam coffee: Too much rain & another typhoon may compromise a great coffee crop

(KCZ25) (KCH26) (RMX25) (RMF26) 

(NSRGY) (KDP) (SJM) (SBUX) (QSR) 
 

“For Vietnam coffee: Too much rain & another typhoon may compromise a great coffee crop”

by Jim Roemer - Meteorologist - Commodity Trading Advisor - Principal, Best Weather Inc. & Climate Predict - Publisher, Weather Wealth Newsletter         

          Edited by Scott Mathews

• November 4, 2025 

Image Source: graphic conceived by BestWeather, Inc

Our WeatherWealth newsletter has coffee traders, producers and processors in a dozen countries who depend on our analysis of weather and other fundamentals. While Brazil's multi-year drought helped coffee prices soar to over $4.00 per pound, the longer-term prospects of a weak La Niña and something we call a negative Antarctic Oscillation Index (-AAO) is bringing about relief for Brazil’s coffee crop. However, the crop in Vietnam is in trouble from flooding due to the fact that what was a big robusta coffee crop will be compromised a bit by yet another typhoon that will hit Vietnam's key central highlands regions later this week.

So…  what are the differences between these two types of coffee? Let's  put  faces  on  this  couple  of  “characters” !

Our Weather Spider helps traders gauge the potential market direction. While we have been longer term bearish coffee, in the short term tight stocks of coffee and a typhoon hitting Vietnam may keep this market in a bull trend. Also, the market is waiting to hear new news about any Trade Tariff agreements, or not.

A great Vietnam coffee crop and previous very bearish (-3) crop sentiment was scaled back to a (-1) as damage will be done from excess moisture (+4 bullish scale) this week. We recently alerted our clients to this potential.

EDITOR'S  NOTE: 

How does one trade coffee and other markets on Jim Roemer’s forecasts? 

• Understanding his Weather Spiders,
• Knowing the timing of seasonal price tendencies,
• Following technical analysis, and
• Discerning the particulars of weather's fundamentals for each commodity. 

We issue over 110 reports a year with trading strategies for various Ag and Energy futures contracts

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Thanks for your interest in Commodity Weather Intelligence !!!

Jim Roemer, Scott Mathews, and the BestWeather Team

Mr. Roemer owns Best Weather Inc., offering weather-related blogs for commodity traders and farmers. He is also a co-founder of Climate Predict, a detailed long-range global weather forecast tool. As one of the first meteorologists to become an NFA-registered Commodity Trading Advisor, he has worked with major hedge funds, Midwest farmers, and individual traders for over 35 years. With a special emphasis on interpreting market psychology, coupled with his short and long-term trend forecasting in grains, softs, and the energy markets, he commands a unique standing among advisors in the commodity risk management industry.