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5-Year T-Note Jun '19 (ZFM19)

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5-Year T-Note Futures Market News and Commentary

T-Note Prices Close Lower as Stocks Stabilize

June 10-year T-notes on Friday settled down -10 ticks and the 10-year T-note yield rose up by +1.7 bp to 2.320%. A rebound in stock prices Friday reduced safe-haven demand for government debt and pushed T-note prices lower. Stocks rebounded from Thursday's sharp losses as short-covering emerged in technology stocks when President Trump said after Thursday's close that Huawei Technologies, the Chinese firm that was put on a U.S. blacklist, could be part of any trade pact with China. T-note prices found some support on Friday's U.S. Apr core capital goods report of -0.9%, weaker than expectations of -0.3%. Also, T-notes found support after the 10-year British gilt yield fell to a 1-3/4 year low of 0.945% on Friday when Boris Johnson, the front runner to replace outgoing UK Prime Minister May, said the UK must prepare for a no-deal Brexit. Jun 10-year T-notes on Thursday rallied to a contract and 1-1/2 year nearest-futures high after a sell-off in global equity markets sparked safe-haven demand for T-notes. Also, signs of a slowdown in U.S. manufacturing activity boosted T-note prices after Thursday's U.S. May Markit manufacturing PMI report of -2.0 to 50.6, weaker than expectations of unchanged at 52.6 and the slowest pace of expansion in more than 8 years. U.S. inflation expectations moved higher Friday as the 10-year T-note breakeven inflation expectations rate rose by +0.9 bp to 1.773%, recovering mildly from Thursday's 4-1/2 month low of 1.750%.
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