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Natural Gas Mini Jul '26 (QGN26)

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Natural Gas Mini Futures Market News and Commentary

Nat-Gas Prices Fade As Forecasts Turn a Bit Cooler

August Nymex natural gas (NGQ26) on Friday closed down -0.045 (-1.54%), falling back towards last week’s 2.25-month nearest-futures low.

Nat-gas prices fell back as US natural gas inventories remain well above the 5-year average and weather forecasts shifted a bit cooler.  Commodity Weather Group is still forecasting above-average temperatures in the interior West through August 7, but lower temperatures than previously thought.

A bearish factor for nat-gas prices in the medium term is speculation that a powerful El Niño weather system will bring warmer-than-normal temperatures to the Northern Hemisphere this fall and winter, reducing nat-gas heating demand. 

US (lower-48) dry gas production on Friday was 111.6 bcf/day (+2.9% y/y), according to BNEF.  Lower-48 state gas demand on Friday was 77.6 bcf/day (-6.5% y/y), according to BNEF.  Estimated LNG net flows to US LNG export terminals on Friday were 18.2 bcf/day (+3.7% w/w), according to BNEF.

Projections fo... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
E-Mini Natural Gas
Contract Size
2,500 MMBtu (million British thermal units)
Tick Size
0.005 per MMBtu ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$2,500
Margin/Maintenance
$842/766
First Notice Date
06/25/26
Expiration Date
06/25/26 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Natural Gas Mini Jul '26
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jul Contracts
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
2.975 +12.37%
on 05/26/26
3.395 -1.53%
on 06/01/26
+0.322 (+10.66%)
since 05/22/26
3-Month
2.895 +15.47%
on 04/30/26
3.430 -2.54%
on 03/27/26
+0.033 (+1.00%)
since 03/25/26
52-Week
2.895 +15.47%
on 04/30/26
4.360 -23.33%
on 12/05/25
-0.913 (-21.45%)
since 06/25/25

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Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Sell Signal with a Weak Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 3.544
2nd Resistance Point 3.444
1st Resistance Point 3.394
Last Price 3.343s
1st Support Level 3.244
2nd Support Level 3.144
3rd Support Level 3.094

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52-Week High 4.360
Fibonacci 61.8% 3.800
Fibonacci 50% 3.627
Fibonacci 38.2% 3.455
Last Price 3.343s
52-Week Low 2.895

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