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Crude Oil Brent Apr '19 (CBJ19)

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Crude Oil Brent Futures Market News and Commentary

Crude Oil Higher on Venezuelan Concerns

May WTI crude oil (CLK19) is recovering from Monday's 1-1/2 week low and is up +1.06 (+1.80%), while May Brent crude oil (CBK19) is up +0.77 (+1.15%). May RBOB gasoline (RBK19) is up +0.0170 (+0.90%) at $1.9063 per gallon and is just mildly below last Friday's 4-1/2 month high of $1.9110. The energy sector is higher on today's upward rebound in U.S. and European stock indexes and on concern about Venezuelan oil supplies. Venezuelan oil supplies could drop further on continued power outages and on a deteriorating US/Russian situation. U.S. Secretary of State Pompeo on Monday warned Russia about sending military personnel to Venezuela and said that the U.S. and other regional countries will not "stand idly by" as Russia exacerbates tensions caused by the "illegitimate" Maduro regime. Oil prices also received support after Russian Energy Minister Novak today said that Russia is on track to meet its production-cut promises under the OPEC+ production agreement for 1H-2019. Mr. Novak also said Russia would agree to an OPEC+ Joint Ministerial Monitoring meeting on May 19, which suggested that Russia may be on board with continuing the 1H production cuts into 2H. There was some concern last week about Russia's commitment to production cuts in 2H after Russia insisted on deferring the 2H production cut decision to the last minute in June. On the bearish side, the Coast Guard on Monday reopened the Houston Ship Channel for daytime traffic after the recent full closure due to the cloud of benzene and liquid runoff from the petrochemical storage fire in Houston.The consensus for Wednesday's weekly EIA report is for a -3.0 million bbl decline in U.S. crude oil inventories, a -3.0 million bbl decline in gasoline inventories, and a -500,000 bbl decline in distillate inventories. U.S. crude oil inventories last week plunged by -9.59 million bbls and gasoline inventories fell by -4.587 million bbls. U.S. crude oil inventories are currently -1.0% below the 5-year seasonal average, while gasoline inventories are slightly above average by +0.8%. U.S. oil production in last week's EIA report rose by 100,000 bpd to match the record high of 12.1 million first posted in February.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Brent Crude Oil
Contract Size
42,000 U.S. Gallons
Tick Size
1 cent per barrel ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:00p.m. - 6:00p.m. (EST)
Exchange
ICE/EU
Point Value
$1,000
Margin/Maintenance
$3,300/3,000
First Notice Date
03/14/19
Expiration Date
02/28/19 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Crude Oil Brent Apr '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Apr Contracts
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
59.61 +10.77%
on 01/29/19
67.73 -2.51%
on 02/22/19
+6.22 (+10.40%)
since 01/28/19
3-Month
50.48 +30.80%
on 12/26/18
67.73 -2.51%
on 02/22/19
+6.55 (+11.01%)
since 11/28/18
52-Week
50.48 +30.80%
on 12/26/18
85.27 -22.56%
on 10/03/18
+4.87 (+7.96%)
since 02/28/18

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Crude Oil Higher on Venezuelan Concerns

May WTI crude oil (CLK19) is recovering from Monday's 1-1/2 week low and is up +1.06 (+1.80%), while May Brent crude oil (CBK19) is up +0.77 (+1.15%). May RBOB gasoline (RBK19) is up +0.0170 (+0.90%)...

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May WTI crude oil (CLK19) on Monday edged to a new 1-week low and closed the day mildly lower by -0.22 (-0.37%). May Brent crude oil held above last Friday's 1-week low and closed +0.18 (+0.27%). May...

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 40% Buy with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Minimum. Long term indicators mostly agree with the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 66.74
1st Resistance Point 66.38
Last Price 66.03s
1st Support Level 65.67
2nd Support Level 65.32

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52-Week High 85.27
Fibonacci 61.8% 71.98
Fibonacci 50% 67.88
Last Price 66.03s
Fibonacci 38.2% 63.77
52-Week Low 50.48

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