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Gold Dec '25 (GCZ25)

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Gold Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Gains and Gold Plunges as Fed Rate Cut Expectations Fall

The dollar index (DXY00) rose by +0.13% on Friday as it recovered from Thursday’s 2-week low.  The dollar moved higher on Friday, following hawkish comments from Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, who argued against additional Fed rate cuts.  The dollar fell back from its best level on Friday after stocks rebounded from early losses, reducing liquidity demand for the dollar. 

The dollar also has carryover support from Thursday, when several Fed presidents said they favored keeping interest rates steady, knocking the chances of a Fed rate cut at next month’s FOMC meeting down to 42% from 70% last week.

Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid said, “I don’t think further cuts in interest rates will do much to patch over any cracks in the labor market, but could have longer-lasting effects on inflation as our commitment to our 2% objective increasingly comes into question.”

Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said it’s hard to suppo... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Gold 100-oz
Contract Size
100 fine troy ounces
Tick Size
0.10 (10 cents) per troy ounce ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 7:20a.m. - 12:30p.m.) (Settles 12:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
COMEX
Point Value
$100
Margin/Maintenance
$22,000/20,000
First Notice Date
11/28/25 (12 days)
Expiration Date
12/29/25 (43 days)

Seasonal Chart

Gold Dec '25
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Sep 23, 2025

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
82,971 (+5,104)
381,374 (+1,136)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
332,808 (+6,030)
66,059 (+5,691)
Producers - Long / Short
11,851 (+859)
79,003 (+2,627)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
49,618 (+3,153)
280,869 (-2,583)
Managed Money - Long / Short
198,826 (+3,479)
38,277 (+1,901)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
133,982 (+2,551)
27,782 (+3,790)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
3,901.3 +4.94%
on 10/28/25
4,398.0 -6.91%
on 10/20/25
-69.2 (-1.66%)
since 10/14/25
3-Month
3,353.4 +22.09%
on 08/20/25
4,398.0 -6.91%
on 10/20/25
+711.0 (+21.02%)
since 08/14/25
52-Week
2,685.9 +52.43%
on 11/15/24
4,398.0 -6.91%
on 10/20/25
+1,400.6 (+52.00%)
since 11/14/24

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Dollar Gains and Gold Plunges as Fed Rate Cut Expectations Fall

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GCZ25 : 4,094.2s (-2.39%)
SIZ25 : 50.686s (-4.67%)
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The dollar index (DXY00 ) is up by +0.15% as it recovers from Thursday's 2-week low. The dollar is moving higher today as a slump in stocks has boosted liquidity demand for the dollar. The dollar extended...

DXY00 : 99.299s (+0.14%)
GCZ25 : 4,094.2s (-2.39%)
SIZ25 : 50.686s (-4.67%)
^USDJPY : 154.543 (unch)
^EURUSD : 1.16211 (-0.11%)
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GCZ25 : 4,094.2s (-2.39%)
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Dollar Falls as the US Government Reopens

The dollar index (DXY00 ) fell to a 2-week low on Thursday and finished down by -0.33%. The dollar retreated on Thursday amid speculation that the reopening of the US government would allow the release...

DXY00 : 99.299s (+0.14%)
GCZ25 : 4,094.2s (-2.39%)
SIZ25 : 50.686s (-4.67%)
^USDJPY : 154.543 (unch)
^EURUSD : 1.16211 (-0.11%)
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Dollar Retreats as the US Government Reopens

The dollar index (DXY00 ) fell to a 2-week low today and is down by -0.29%. The dollar is falling today on speculation that the reopening of the US government will allow the release of delayed economic...

DXY00 : 99.299s (+0.14%)
GCZ25 : 4,094.2s (-2.39%)
SIZ25 : 50.686s (-4.67%)
^USDJPY : 154.543 (unch)
^EURUSD : 1.16211 (-0.11%)

Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Buy Signal with a Weak Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 4,377.8
2nd Resistance Point 4,296.5
1st Resistance Point 4,195.3
Last Price 4,094.2s
1st Support Level 4,012.8
2nd Support Level 3,931.5
3rd Support Level 3,830.3

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52-Week High 4,398.0
Last Price 4,094.2s
Fibonacci 61.8% 3,744.0
Fibonacci 50% 3,541.9
Fibonacci 38.2% 3,339.9
52-Week Low 2,685.9

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