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Silver Jul '25 (SIN25)

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Silver Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Retreats on Soft US CPI Report

The dollar index (DXY00) Tuesday fell by -0.79%.  The dollar retreated Tuesday after the US Apr CPI was weaker-than-expected and showed the smallest increase in 4 years, a dovish factor for Fed policy.  Also, Tuesday’s stock rally curbed liquidity demand for the dollar.

US Apr CPI rose +2.3% y/y, slightly weaker than expectations of +2.4% y/y and the smallest year-on-year increase in 4 years.  Apr CPI ex-food and energy rose +2.8% y/y, unchanged from March and right on expectations. 

The markets are discounting the chances at 8% for a -25 bp rate cut after the June 17-18 FOMC meeting.

EUR/USD (^EURUSD) Tuesday rose by +0.87%.  Tuesday’s weaker dollar was supportive of the euro.  Also, Tuesday’s economic news showed the German May ZEW survey expectations of economic growth rose more than expected, which is bullish for the euro.  In addition, Tuesday’s increase in the 10-year German bund yield to a 1-month high strengthened the euro’s interest rate differentials.

... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Silver 5,000-oz
Contract Size
5,000 troy ounces
Tick Size
$0.005 per troy ounce ($25.00 per contract) (Settlement $0.001)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 7:25a.m. - 12:25p.m.) (Settles 12:25p.m.) CST
Exchange
COMEX
Point Value
$5,000
Margin/Maintenance
$16,500/15,000
First Notice Date
06/30/25 (47 days)
Expiration Date
07/29/25 (76 days)

Seasonal Chart

Silver Jul '25
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jul Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of May 6, 2025

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
32,146 (-9,094)
99,949 (-10,555)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
70,335 (+36)
21,083 (+727)
Producers - Long / Short
3,370 (-2,964)
34,069 (-3,264)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
24,951 (+885)
62,055 (-276)
Managed Money - Long / Short
43,606 (+1,282)
13,724 (+2,138)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
26,729 (-1,246)
7,359 (-1,411)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
31.860 +1.63%
on 05/01/25
34.015 -4.81%
on 04/25/25
-0.092 (-0.28%)
since 04/14/25
3-Month
27.845 +16.29%
on 04/07/25
35.800 -9.55%
on 03/28/25
-1.114 (-3.33%)
since 02/14/25
52-Week
27.845 +16.29%
on 04/07/25
36.100 -10.30%
on 10/22/24
+2.050 (+6.76%)
since 05/14/24

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I've seen some discussion about the supposed correlation between gold and wheat as a reason to be bullish the latter (or bearish the former).

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Dollar Retreats on Soft US CPI Report

The dollar index (DXY00 ) Tuesday fell by -0.79%. The dollar retreated Tuesday after the US Apr CPI was weaker-than-expected and showed the smallest increase in 4 years, a dovish factor for Fed policy....

DXY00 : 100.621 (-0.38%)
GCM25 : 3,195.8 (-1.60%)
SIN25 : 32.565 (-1.62%)
^USDJPY : 146.047 (-0.97%)
^EURUSD : 1.12236 (+0.35%)
Ratio Drops to 98:1- Markets Move Past the Recession Fears!

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Gold and the U.S. Dollar: An Evolving Relationship?

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Dollar Edges Lower on Fed-Friendly US CPI Report

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is down by -0.38%. The dollar today is mildly lower after the US Apr CPI was weaker-than-expected and showed the smallest increase in 4 years, a dovish factor for Fed policy....

DXY00 : 100.621 (-0.38%)
GCM25 : 3,195.8 (-1.60%)
SIN25 : 32.565 (-1.62%)
^USDJPY : 146.047 (-0.97%)
^EURUSD : 1.12236 (+0.35%)
Dollar Soars and Gold Sinks on US-China Tariff Relief

The dollar index (DXY00 ) Monday rallied sharply to a 1-month high and finished up by +1.48%. The dollar surged Monday after the US and China agreed to temporarily lower tariffs on each other's products....

DXY00 : 100.621 (-0.38%)
GCM25 : 3,195.8 (-1.60%)
SIN25 : 32.565 (-1.62%)
^USDJPY : 146.047 (-0.97%)
^EURUSD : 1.12236 (+0.35%)
Copper’s Summer Slide: Can Traders Profit from July Futures’ Seasonal Drop?

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What is moving the markets now?

Markets started the week strongly, buoyed by progress in U.S.-China trade negotiations and renewed hopes for peace between Ukraine and Russia. However, underlying economic risks persist and should not...

GCM25 : 3,195.8 (-1.60%)
Dollar Surges and Gold Plunges as US-China Trade Tensions Ease

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today rallied sharply to a 1-month high and is up by +1.30%. The dollar is surging today after the US and China agreed to temporarily lower tariffs on each other’s products....

DXY00 : 100.621 (-0.38%)
GCM25 : 3,195.8 (-1.60%)
SIN25 : 32.565 (-1.62%)
^USDJPY : 146.047 (-0.97%)
^EURUSD : 1.12236 (+0.35%)
What a Slide in Gold! What a Jump in the USDX!

Both are completely unsurprising, as the technical analysis (and common sense) provided insights beforehand.

Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Sell Signal with a Weak Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 34.218
2nd Resistance Point 33.827
1st Resistance Point 33.463
Last Price 32.555
1st Support Level 32.708
2nd Support Level 32.317
3rd Support Level 31.953

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52-Week High 36.100
Fibonacci 61.8% 32.947
Last Price 32.530
Fibonacci 50% 31.972
Fibonacci 38.2% 30.998
52-Week Low 27.845

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